Tuesday, October 13, 2015

Posted Tuesday Night:

Mumbai: After slight chances of very light drizzles in some areas on Wednesday, Monsoon season to be over from Thursday 15th October. Winds change from Thursday to NW direction, and drop in humidity. 
Pune: Pune remains dry now onwards as the Monsoon season gets over from Thursday. Drop in night temperatures to 17/18c expected from Friday morning.

1.South West Monsoon has Withdrawn from Marathwada, N.I. Karnataka, Telengana and Chattisgarh. Further withdrawal from Bengal, Madhya Maharahtra, Konkan and Goa  on Friday 16th October.
Coastal regions of Kerala, Odisha and A.P. get some rains till this weekend.
Axis moves southwards does not have distinct wind contrasts.

SW monsoon rains continue in Kerala till Sunday. 
Chennai: Though winds become Easterly, we do not see a systematic easterly trough developing till Sunday to herald the NEM. Chennai will not be getting any meaningful rains this week. ( Vagaries will put up the introductory article on NEM on Wednesday 14th October.) 
As of now, according to Long Term Forecast of Vagaries, NEM seems to enter TN earliest not before 24th October.

Kolkata will see some light rains till Friday.Monsoon withdraws this weekend.

Delhi NCR remains dry and warm. Thursday may be partly cloudy with chances of light rains in some parts.

AS-2, A Low Pressure now, moves towards Oman coast. 
By Thursday, S/SW winds enter the Sindh coast along with clouding. More moisture is attracted towards Central Sindh and parts of Pak Punjab from the Arabian Sea due to the WD passing over North Pakistan.
Rains likely in Pak Punjab, Central and upper Sindh and parts of coastal Sindh on Thursday 15th and Friday 16th. 

Clouds and rain likely in Oman and Muscat on Friday and Saturday.


Narayanan chennai said...

Thanks sir for clarifying on nem onset..eager to know your forecast

Rawat said...

It is mid october and min temp in Delhi is 26 °c.Hope thunderstorm will drop it down.

Strong Western Disturbance is seen affecting the country and the subcontinent. Heavy rain and snow reported from Himalayas, and rain/thunder...