Tuesday, April 22, 2014

 Mumbai Forecast for Saturday, Sunday and Monday..Updated on Mumbai Page on  Saturday Morning

Monsoon Watch -3 will be on Vagaries on Sunday 27th Night  (IST)
Posted 25th Night:

Friday sees Pune cross 40c...Air Port at 40.6c ansd City 39.6c...Minimum at Airport Friday was 23c and City 19.6c...Our Tuesday Night Forecast was ;" Pune: With the rains staying away, the mercury is all prepared to shoot to the 40c mark. Next 3 days will see very hot days at 40/41c and nights warm around 23c."

Mumbai breathes easy, as the Day's high on Friday fell to 33.8c at Scuz and 32.6c at Colaba....The humidity increase was mentioned also, so has made the sweaty feel more uncomfortable..


Vidharbha is hot, and as shown in Map, has crossed the 40c mark, with Wardha at 43.5c, Brahmapuri 42.7c, Akola 42.6c,  Nagpur 42.2c and Yeotmal 41c.

Good News for Kolkata....Kolkata will have to bear the heat for one more day, Saturday 26th. Saturday will see isolated Thunder Showers popping up in Central Bengal. Sunday and Monday, South/South-West winds will dominate, and gust at 35 kmph. Sunday onwards, Kolakata sees a fall in day temperature to below 40c....


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Posted 24th April: ..And Mumbai Heat continues for the 4th day running....for those Interested, See explanation on Mumbai Page

Hot on Thursday  in AP, Vidharbh, and Odisha...Hottest in India on Thursday was Rentachintala-43.4c, Bhubaneshwar 
Bankura-42.8c, Bhawanipatna, Bramhapuri and Angul-42.7c, Barmer-42.6c, Titlagarh-42.5c, Jalgaon-42.3c, Akola and Anantapur-42.1c and Baroda-42.0c.

But, as expected, the heat in Konkan is easing, with the day temperatures on Thursday showing a moderate fall..some Thursday readings from Konkan......Panji and Dahanu 34.9c, Ratnagiri 33.4c, Alibag 32.2c..Mumbai Scruz 36.5c, Vagaries 36.5c and Colaba 33.4c...See Mumbai Page for Latest Update and forecast 

As expected, Nawabshah touched 44c on Thursday, and Islamabad reached 33c, on its way to the 34c "sceduled " for Friday.

A-5, projected for Thursday is also on schedule, and has started precipitating in Pak Punjab and Kashmir. Will move East into India on friday. As mentioned in previous article (below), will precipitatae in Kashmir, HP, parts of Punjab and Haryana getting isolated thunder squalls.

LWD in the Peninsula is getting into shape. We can expect good rains in Interior Karnataka and Kerala.







What's in store now for the Sub Continent ?

Now, by the 25th, a weak WD would move into the Northern Parts of the Sub Continent, the Northern most parts.
Rains would be seen in the Extreme North of Pakistan and in the States of Kashmir, Hills of HP and some thunder squalls in the Plains of both the Punjabs. Rains would be precipitating on 24th and 25th.
Most Cities of Punjab ( including Malout) and Haryana will be around 37-39c till Friday.Thunder squalls likely on Thursday/Friday in Punjab.

By the 25th, Heat would have enveloped all of Regions as shown ( Red) in the Vagaries Map.



The LWD in the Southern peninsula, would bring Thunder Showers to S.I. Karnataka and Southern Coastal Karnataka and Kerala.
On 24th and 25th, rainfall effected will be Karnataka regions of Hassan, Kodagu and Mysore. Mangalore could get the Thundershower. Adjoinig Kerala would see Thunder Showers.


City Forecast for Wednesday 23rd, Thursday 24th and Friday 25th:

Mumbai:Wednesday, Thursday and Friday will see a hazy sky and hot temperatures. With humidity increasing, the sweaty feeling is going to increase, with the day temperatures around 35c and nights around 26/27c.
Pune: With the rains staying away, the mercury is all prepared to shoot to the 40c mark. Next 3 days will see very hot days at 40/41c and nights warm around 23c.

Goa: Sunny, living up to its reputation. Days warm/hot and humid, at 35c.
Nagpur: Hot and dry, with day temperatures gradually shooting up , and reaching 42/43c by Thursday/friday.

Bangalore: With no rains in the next 4 days, would expect partly cloudy with hot days. Days around 36c, and nights also warm by Bangalore standards around 22c.

Delhi NCR: No rain, but an odd thunder squall on Thursday/Friday. Would say 40c would elude Delhi proper till Saturday. but we may see 40c in the vicinity by Thursday.

Kolkata: We have been reading in vagaries about the heat in the Bengal region. And sure its going to stay next few days..rather its about to be extreme. Would expect Kolkata to ready itself for 43c bu Thursday...but Humidity decreasing.

Pakistan:
Islamabad: Partly cloudy. Warm/hot day, temperatures gradually rising from 31c on Tuesday to touch 34/35c by Friday.

Karachi: Dry and mostly sunny. Gusty west winds on Thursday. Temperatures in the 36c and 26c range.
Larkana and Nawabshah can see a dust storm with light rains. Maximum around 41c.Interior Sindh going up to 42/43c from Thursday.

Now you can get complete All India Daily Rainfall details in Pradeep's Page in Vagaries
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No more worries about missing rainfall data, the one page information in Vagaries will contain Daily Rainfall, Rainfall Toppers, Norwestor, Cyclone Speeds, Top 24 hr Rainfall, Wettest Spells and Rainfall Records etc

37 comments:

Junaid said...

Sir what about the outer townships of mumbai?similar weather to mumbai or hotter?

Rajesh Kumar said...

Finally summer coming in full fledged.. in North.
.....I liked the word "warm by Bangalore standard"...:) Bangalore is facing very harsh weather nowadays...

Hrishikesh said...

well after a pleasant spell mumbai will have to brace for hot days but that is at least good news for the formation of seasonal low

Hrishikesh said...

Sir the times of india site has written that IMD has forecasted pre monsoon showers in mumbai in next two days are they possible I believe on ur forecast as IMD is wrong most of the time to see the news this is the link http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/mumbai/Despite-drizzle-Mumbai-continues-to-sizzle-at-39-degrees-Celsius/articleshow/34083006.cms

rajesh said...

Junaid: Eastern outer townships wll be hot on Wednesday, around 40c, but with "flat" clouds from Thursday, days will be couple of degrees less, and nights warmer.

Hrishikesh: They have also said that Colaba was 39c on Tuesday in ame article, which was of course wrong...no pre monsoon showers yet.

KHYATI PANDIT said...

sir is there going to be any seasonal low or any chancess of rain in mumbai to beat the heat of mumbai

prabhu archana said...

sir will there be thunder showers in kerala this month and will the monsoon be normal in kerala idukki dist

Abhijit said...

Severe Heat wave in North Kokan today!

Record of consecutive 40c mark temp for straight 3 days in a row !!!

Some max temp from the region below dated (23-4-2014)..

Badlapur(private reading)temp 41.4°C with min humidity of 15%.
Thane Enviro AWS temp 41.4°C with min humidity of 24%.
Thane IMD AWS temp 42.1°C with min humidity of 19%.
Karjat AWS estimated temp 43.3°C with min humidity of 13%
Bhira max temp 43.0°C.
Palghar max temp 39.3°C with min humidity of 21%.

Mumbai max temp : S'cruz 37.9°C with min humidity of 29% & Colaba 33.0°C.



Wasim Athar said...

Why is calcutta havung such high temperatures at a stretch without a single squall in April when can we get relief from this dry hot weather?

Neeraj said...

Quite hot today with high of 32.6 c, low still in the manageable range , 12.5 this morning @kathmandu. Hope it would not get hotter than this - though it's not very uncomfortable even during the hottest time of the day with humidity at around 30% at 2 o clock.

rajesh said...

Khyati: No seasonal low forming near about Mumbai to bring rain...shall keep all informed on blog if any

Prabhu Archana: Possible thunder showers in Kerala in last week of april...regarding quantum of rain in Idduki, i am making an analysis now, but will first reveal the date in Monsoon watch series. Quantum will be in early May. Actually if you read the MW series, i have mentioned it is very difficult to give the amount of rain at this stage..

Wasim: Kolkata is now experiencing a phenomena called temperature inversion. The warm air is trapped at sea level. due to lack of winds, the air is trapped, and that is the reason why the nights are also hot.
Expect the SSE winds to start from Friday, to provide some relief..Have forecasted hot till then..

Ron said...

thought the humidity was on a lower side today..it was more of dry air than anything.Made it unbearable

santosh subramanian said...

Agreeing with rajesh sir ,
The temp inversion can also lead to pollution such as smog being trapped close to the ground which currently kolkata is experiencing at morning hours, with possible adverse effects on health.
and than to add , up to this effect,
we come across another weather event known as "capping inversion" ,
here the temp inversion has the ability to suppress convection(thunderstorm forming process) by acting as a "cap"
//
so if this capping effect is broken for any of several reasons, convection of any moisture present can then lead into violent thunderstorms , .....
now we need to see weather we end up with this event on the later part of this week or starting of next week in kolkata , though , we also need unstable atmosphere , for this event to take place, so even though the tunnel is dark , we have a small light appearing at the end of the tunnel ...

KHYATI PANDIT said...

Sir when we Mumbai people would get relief from such high temperatures of 37 n 39 degress

Hrishikesh said...

A high of 38C forecasted for Mumbai even today hopefully Mumbai will soon get strong thundershowers which will bring down the temperature Mumbai can only pray for a miracle with easterly winds and 36C at 11:30am would expect temps to bake Mumbai at 3pm

sset said...

AP Guntur Rentachantala continues to be above 40c for 2 months. Today now it is 43c!!

Hrishikesh said...

OMG I really pray for the people in Rentachantala hope they get rain by some low pressure

Abhijit said...

Heat wave continues on Election Polling day in North Kokan today!

New Record of consecutive 40c+ mark temp for straight 4 days in a row !!!

So this may be one of the reason for less voting turnout here !

Some max temp from the region below dated (24-4-2014):

Badlapur(private reading)temp 40.4°C with min humidity of 14%.
Thane Enviro AWS temp 40.5°C with min humidity of 22%.
Thane IMD AWS temp 40.9°C with min humidity of 18%.
Karjat AWS estimated temp 42.0°C with min humidity of 12%.
Palghar AWS temp 37.1°C with min humidity of 30% today.

S'cruz temp 36.5°C with min humidity of 35% so real feel of 38c!
Colaba temp 33.4c with min humidity of 60% so real feel of 41c!

santosh subramanian said...

oh no!!!!
just falling short of 0.1 C from setting a 10yrs record ... kolkata alipur max ........ wow close , close enough,,,,
Kolkata max temp:- 24th April 2014
Kolkata alipur : 41.1 C (+7)
Kolkata dumdum : 41.2 C (+7)
wow , we are in a furnace ......

KHYATI PANDIT said...

sir now how many days the mumbai people hve to bare this heat or are there any chances of any thundershowers in mumbai to get a relief from the soaring heat

prabhu archana said...

thanx 4 d prompt reply sir... we have been experiencing heavy rainfalls yesterday and today (1.6 inches of rain in two days)... im into cardamom planting and ur heads up on the monsoon would save me in lakhs...:) thanx again rajesh sir...

rajesh said...

Khyati: see Mumbai Page

sset: rentinchintala again high...43.4c !

rajesh said...

Kolkata readers, vagarian Santosh from Kolkata has prepared a good note on temperature Invesion...shall post in Inter Active Page

rajesh said...

Kolkata readers, vagarian Santosh from Kolkata has prepared a good note on temperature Invesion...shall post in Inter Active Page

rajesh said...

Prabhu Archana: I see regular , thunder showers in Kerala till end of this month...afternoon showers on the hills will be frequent...will keep you updtaed in blog...and be free to ask..i will try to share as much information as i can.

rajesh said...

Prabhu Archana: I see regular , thunder showers in Kerala till end of this month...afternoon showers on the hills will be frequent...will keep you updtaed in blog...and be free to ask..i will try to share as much information as i can.

Abhijit said...

Finally after 4 days period, today's temps are below 40c mark (except Karjat & Bhira) in North Kokan !

But still it is hot & above normal temp!

Some max temp from the region below dated (25-4-2014):

Thane IMD AWS temp 38.2°C with min humidity of 14%.
Badlapur(private reading) temp 39.4°C with min humidity of 19%.
Karjat IMD AWS estimated temp 41.5°C with min humidity of 13%.
Bhira temp 43.5c

Palghar temp 35.3°C with min humidity of 34% today.
S'cruz temp 33.8°C with min humidity of 47% today.Real feel of 37c !
Colaba temp 32.6°C with min humidity of 64% today. Real feel of 40c !

Abhijit said...

Pune AP sees first above 40c+ temp for current summer season today!

Pune AP temp 40.6°C with min humidity of 9%
Pune city max temp 39.6°C.

Abhijit said...

Belgaum AP recorded 12mm rainfall till 5.30pm today and temp drops to 25.4c at 5.30pm from max of 37.3c ! So drop of 12c temp within few hrs..

Bangalore max temp 36.5°C with min humidity of 37% today ! So real feel of 39c !

prabhu archana said...

thanx rajesh sir...

ANOOP RAWAT said...

New delhi (palam) 40.5 c .today but with low humidity not so bad!

Wasim Athar said...

It has become extremely humid since last Night and the southerly winds have Sarted blowing . Is a squall round the corner to provide temporary relief?

KHYATI PANDIT said...

sir what are your predictions for mumbai for saturday ,sunday n monday are the temperatures going to soar up like last week of 39degrees

Rajesh Kumar said...

Today TS over most part of south karnataka except kolar and Bangalore (SE Karnataka)...

Abhijit said...

Again Int N.Kokan got sizzled in heat wave today !!

7 times 40c plus temp recorded in current summer season! In which 6 times in April itself for Thane to Badlapur belt !

Some max temp from the region below dated (26-4-2014):

Badlapur(private reading)temp 40.4°C with min humidity of 14%.
Thane IMD AWS temp 41.2°C with min humidity of 18%.
Karjat AWS estimated temp 43.0°C with min humidity of 12%.
Bhira temp 44.0c

Palghar AWS temp 38.6°C with min humidity of 26% today.

Abhijit said...

S'cruz temp 35.5°C with min humidity of 34% today. So raised by 1.7c from yesterday's level !

Colaba temp 33.0c

Abhijit said...

Pune sees first above 40c+ temp for current summer season today!
City temp 40.3°C with min humidity of 6%.
Pune AP temp 40.6c today.