Sunday, September 22, 2019

Posted Tuesday 24th Morning:

Pune region lashed by strong Thundershowers overnight:
Rainfall: Talegaon 73 mms, Welu 60 mms, Pune City 56 mms, Chakan 55 mms, Bhosari 54 mms, Hadapsar 51 mms, Chinchwad 42 mms, (All figures from Vagarian Abhishek)

Marathwada: Beed 140 mms, Wadawani 52 mms, Shirur (Latur) 40 mms, Dharmabad (Nanded) 35 mms.

Posted Monday Afternoon:
Cyclone "Hikaa"
Location: 20.3N/65.0E ....Winds (Kmph)70-80 gusting to 90...... Cyclonic Storm
Posted Sunday Night:
Depression AS-2, now located at 20N and 68.4E...Likely to strengthen. 
According to IMD, to strengthen to Cyclone strength.

Observe the raining segment of the system.
 AS-2 will move away from the Indian Coast North/North-Westwards.
Coastal Saurashtra may get moderate rains on Monday. 
More rains to come next week to Saurashtra.
Marathwada & Vidharbh to get good rains Monday thru Wednesday..

Karachi may see light showers on Tuesday.

The 200 level jet stream has formed into a trough like position over the NW India. 
The Divergence in the 200 levels will not encourage the withdrawal for a few more days, even though the Monsoon axis has moved Southwards.
The resultant withdrawal has been thus delayed by a few days, as the needed anti cyclone over the NW India in the upper air level will now form after 3 days. 

Mumbai: Monday will be partly cloudy with sunny periods. Tuesday evening thunder shower possible in some parts of city.
Wednesday will see some increase in rains with thunder.
Pune: Increasing rainfall on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Delhi NCR: Warm and partly cloudy next 3 days. Stray shower in some parts. Possible increase by weekend.


shiekhz said...

Thanks for update sir...light rain today over western outskirts of the city

shiekhz said...

It covered scattered parts of city with winds around 11mm

Saurabh said...

Thanks Rajesh.

Anyone knows when was the last time monsoon withdrawal did no start in September?

sset said...

Seems hyperactive Arabian sea is going to spawn one more cyclone - towards MAHA/GUJ after Vayu, Hikaa !Looks like SWM will extend till Dec 2019 !

Pune hit by heavy rains!

Any hope for NEM ?

Cumulus arjun said...

Contrary to what people are saying that not all areas in maha/gun are rosy. Marathwada is deficit by 14% and it’s welcome rains there now not excess ‘waste’ rains. Meanwhile in south India most areas are normal/excess. NEM also has never made its onset in September.

Saurabh said...

You are right Arjun about the rainfall distribution. Here is the district rainfall map from IMD.

NEM starts only after 15th October.

Darshit said...

Chennai received very Good rains this month.

sset said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
sset said...

Cyclonic circulation forms over south GUJ. Rest is anyones guess - deadly Mumbai rains will unleash. GUJ UACs always stay days together only waiting for bay lows to join them. Entire SE India goes in clear state as GUJ/MAHA dominates once again. My observation is rains over GUJ/MAHA will never allow rains over SE India.

sset said...

IMD - very heavy rains for MAHA/GUJ...

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