Thursday, August 24, 2017

Posted Thursday Night:

Seems possibly a wet weekend with heavy showers for West M.P, adjoining NW Maharashtra and adjoining Eastern Gujarat.
BB-8 could form in the North West Bay by 26th. Can track Westwards, and later strengthen on land. Could be heading towards Gujarat as a Well Marked Low.

Mumbai: The short dry spell will end on Friday with moderate rains. Friday may see frequent showers, some heavy with around 40-50 mms rains (between the 2 stations). Saturday & Sunday will continue to get frequent intermittent showers, some heavy in Mumbai.
Pune: Weekend will be partly cloudy with light rains in some parts of Pune. A few scattered moderate showers on Sunday.
Roha and surrounding areas may see moderate to heavy showers on Friday ( 45-65 mms).Rain intensity may decrease on Saturday and Sunday, but frequent heavy showers continue.

Indore: Frequent rains for a slightly wet weekend.
Ahmadabad: Heavy thunder showers/showers likely on Saturday/Sunday.
Surat will see some frequent showers on Friday and Saturday.

15 comments:

Ishan Vajpeyi said...

Rajesh Sir, what scenario do you have in mind regarding the monsoon lingering on in NW India during the month of September?

parshuram shinde said...

Rain started in Mumbai...

sset said...

Rajesh sir forecast spot on! Torrential rains lashing entire night over Navi Mumbai- now non stop!
GUJ again in radar - some anomaly GUJ/RAJ becoming increasing wetter. Again to reports extreme rains over GUJ/RAJ for sustained period in july was more intense than NE India!

Otherwise drought over KAR Cauvery basin and KER Waynad forced KAR govt to perform cloud seeding - resulted awaited! Hopefully interiors get some thunders before Bay low intensifies.

Akshay Shah said...

Hi can anyone confirm whether there were non stop downpours in navi Mumbai since yesterday night?

abizer Kachwala said...

Rajesh sir,the amount of rains you have mentioned for nagothane and roha region is quite less .....rains are falling here continuously since 5am in the mornong and are very heavy in intensity....I think the figure of 100mm might have already been crossed and more to come...

Vinod Desai said...

Heavy shower have begin

Vinod Desai said...

Heavy rain continuing since late morning/afternoon.

Abizer Kachwala said...

Rajesh sir,I think in nagothane as its raining torrentially since morning rainfall amount may have already crossed 200mm...its much more than your forecast.

Abhijit said...

@ Akshay Shah. Don't believe in SSET. He always create fake hype to be in news !! Last low around 20 Aug also said 200-300mm dumping rain in Navi Mumbai. And in actual Belapur got 82mm on 20Aug and 75mm on 21 Aug 2017 So 157mm in 48hrs of LPA Rain. And not a single century in Belapur yet for August !! Hope now current active conditions produce some

Abhijit said...

And today's Belapur not reported but nothing much rain overnight . Thane 16 mm & Panvel 39 mm ending 8.30am today. Tomorrow good figures expected

sset said...

After 2 years since 2015 Cuddpah district received good rains! Now since Bay low enters most favored router orissa,MP,MAHA,GUJ thunders over south will reduce.

Nilay Wankawala said...

Source IMD

CRF TILL 25 08 2017 ALL OVER INDIA ACTUAL 634.1 MM AGIANST NORMAL (51-2000) 671 MM INDICATING % DEPARTURE NEGATIVE -5.4%.

Abizer Kachwala said...

Abhijit and other vagarians,nagothane experienced floods today....and I am not lying....though there might be no more rain in panvel and your areas ....its raining lightly still......from morning 6am...how can you say we're lying?

Abizer Kachwala said...

And yes the rains commenced from morning 6 am and weren't from entire night....don't know whether some people exaggerate the situation by adding more to it...,but really the river in Nagothane was flooded with incessant rains ....confirm with rain figures here...please

Abhijit said...

@ Abizer. Not taking about you. I know Roha taluka gets more rain than Mumbai region So taluka avg is also more at 3500 mms annually way 1000mm more than Mumbai !

Roha 57mm ending 8.30am today. Tomorrows figure may be in triple digit ! Also @ Abizer are on facebook ? If yes then join Vagaries of the Weather FB group. There we have mostly daily rainfall map of Maharashtra coastal & ghats section. So you can get ur Roha/Nagothane/Pen figures.

Here we talking about SSET fake dumping of torrential waterfall rain of 200-300mm always, when it start raining over Navi Mumbai !