Monday, November 07, 2016

7th November 2016..
This Image of 7th November reminds me words of the Carpenters' Song...."Not a Cloud in the Sky, Got the Sun in my Eyes..."

Synoptic Situation on 7th November 2016 over Sub Continent:
Low Pressure : Nil
UAC : Nil
Trough : Nil.
WD: None over Sub Continent

Day Temperatures  Departure from Normal:

Night Temperatures Departure from Normal:

Delhi NCR Air Pollution:
International Business Times: "Nasa images expose ugly truth about hazardous air pollution in Delhi
Nasa images indicate it's not Diwali but the smoke released from burning of crop stubble that could have chocked Delhi.
An estimated 32 million tons of leftover straw is burned by farmers for winter wheat crop, according to the NYT."


Nilay Wankawala said...

Credit Australian government Bureau of meteorology

Latest ENSO Wrap-Up issued 8 November 2016

The latest ENSO Wrap-Up and Climate Model Summary are now available on the Bureau's website.

Some La Niña indicators strengthen; negative IOD nears end
The tropical Pacific Ocean remains El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) neutral, while the negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has continued to decay over the past fortnight, and is likely to be near its end.

In the tropical Pacific some indicators, such as cloudiness near the Date Line, show La Niña-like characteristics, whereas sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the central tropical Pacific Ocean and the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) remain at neutral levels. Recent strengthening of the trade winds in the western tropical Pacific brings the potential for some further cooling of ocean waters. However, this strengthening is likely the result of a Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) pulse. Trade winds are likely to weaken in the coming weeks as the MJO passes. Hence it does not appear that the tropical Pacific atmosphere and ocean are currently reinforcing each other, as they would during the developing stages of a La Niña.

Most climate models predict the tropical Pacific Ocean will remain cooler than average, but ENSO-neutral, through until the end of the 2016–17 summer. Only one of eight models suggests the Pacific may briefly reach weak La Niña levels towards the end of 2016. A La Niña developing this late in the calendar year has only occurred once since 1980.

Warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures to Australia's north suggest that some La Niña-like impacts may occur, even if an event does not fully develop.

The negative IOD, in place since late May, has weakened over the past fortnight. The monsoon trough has begun to move southward over the IOD region, which changes the wind patterns. This change means the negative IOD event is near its end, and this is supported by model outlooks. Both a negative IOD and La Niña typically contribute to increased rainfall in spring for eastern and central Australia.

Next update expected on 22 November 2016

rohit aroskar said...

Mumbai @ 16.7 c (today morning)

Cumulus Arjun said...

Complete clear skies in whole India. Meanwhile, is Mumbai is unusually cooling in the last few years including this year? I have noticed colder winters since the cold wave of 2008 in Mumbai. Mumbai 16.7 C today morning.

Prabhakaran Subramaniyam said...

Is this dry condition for interior tamilnadu means,no reasonable rain this year here after.? And if La Nina in December,will it help interiors of TN in getting rain.? And I recently read, any happening in gulf of Mannar result in widespread rain in TN. I could remember many circulations formed near to south ,east Sri Lanka. Why no trough formations near south east coast this year.. please help me to understand.

sset said...

WD has stopped by sign of NEM? Nature warning bells... TN /AP/KAR govt should be alert...

Shivkumar Mogal said...

Early winter in Nashik. Nashik saw such minimum temperatures generally in December month. But in this year Nashik feels cold early in November. Nashik Average minimum temperatures (1 Nov - 10 Nov) as follows
2016 = 11.3°C
2015 = 15.5°C
2014 = 14.6°C
2013 = 15.5°C
2012 = 13.6°C
2011 = 14.8°C
2010 = 17.6°C
2009 = 15.2°C
2008 = 13.1°C
2007 = 19.3°C

Shivkumar Mogal said...

Last 5 days minimum temperature of Niphad (Dist-Nashik, Maharashtra)

6 Nov = 9.4°C
7 Nov = 9.0°C
8 Nov = 10.2 °C
9 Nov = 8.0°C
10 Nov = 7.8°C

Shivkumar Mogal said...

Last 5 days minimum temperature of Nashik (Maharashtra)

6 Nov = 11.4°C
7 Nov = 10.2°C
8 Nov = 11.6°C
9 Nov = 10.1°C
10 Nov = 9.5°C

Karan Kumbhar said...

Similar is the case with Pune
Today minimum recorded was 9.9 °C.
This year is surely bringing the chills.