Posted Friday 20th Morning:
1. It was mentioned in previous blogs that the pulse from BB-11 would track West into the Arabaian Sea. An explanation was given earlier about the pulse forming into a Low with the help of a trough.
A Low has formed in the Arabian Sea in the Lakshdweep region, a bit to the North of the area. Low will track West.
2. Due to the Low, Easterlies will push away the sea breeze along the Konkan coast.
Friday 20th/Saturday 21st and Sunday 22nd:
Mumbai: Weekend will be cloudy on Saturday/Sunday. As we see, night temperatures have dropped a bit to 18c on Friday morning in the suburbs. However, due to east winds we may not see any major fluctuations (eitherway) in temperatures.
Pune which is enjoying pleasant nights at 12.9c, might see a marginal rise in temperatures, as some scattered clouds will appear.
-Dense fog possible in East U.P. and adjoining Bihar.
-No major system or heavy rainfall expected.
-Heavy falls likely in patches in Coastal Tamil Nadu. A passing Western Disturbance will bring precipitation in Kashmir.
-Low will bring isolated heavy falls in Kerala and light rains in Coastal Karnataka. Some spill over showers expected in few parts of Goa.
-Partly cloudy with light isolated rain in some patches of North Konkan. Places in North Interior Konkan will be partly cloudy with light rains in some regions.
Goa may see some showers this weekend...amounting to around 5 mms.
No major changes in North India plains.