Monday, September 01, 2014

Pics taken by Usman and sent by Vagarian Waqas from Gujrat , Pakistan...Super Shelf formation clouds ...Must See Inter Active Page

Low forms SW off Saurashtra Coast on Tuesday Evening...Likely to merge with Seasonal Axis.
UAC can form off the Odisha Coast around 5th..

MONSOON REPORT (16-8-2014 TO 31-8-2014)
TOTAL ALL INDIA RAINFALL (as on 31-8-2014) 589.8 mm
SEASON +/- -17%
RAINFALL THIS FORTNIGHT (from 16-8-2014) 99.4 mm
TO ACHIEVE BY 30TH SEPTEMBER          required per day------->    mm
MINIMUM                             700   mm 3.67
AVERAGE                                890   mm 10.01
MAXIMUM                          1100   mm 17.01
CURRENT RAINFALL PER DAY  6.41 mm
AVERAGE RAINFALL PER DAY THIS FORTNIGHT 6.21 mm
REQUIRED PER DAY TO ACHIEVE SEP AVERAGE (174 mm) 5.8 mm
AUGUST RAINFALL 236.6 mm
AVERAGE AUGUST RAINFALL (113 YEARS) 262 mm
DIFF +/- -25.4 mm
TOP FIVE SUBDIVISIONS THIS FORTNIGHT    mm
COASTAL KARNATAKA 407.7
ARUNACHAL PRADESH 351.3
SHWB & SIKKIM 342.6
LAKSHADWEEP 318.7
KONKAN & GOA 311.4
BOTTOM FIVE SUBDIVISIONS THIS FORTNIGHT     mm
EAST U.P. 27.7
WEST RAJASTHAN 12.6
WEST U.P. 9.6
PUNJAB 6.9
HAR. CHD & DELHI 6.7
TOP FOUR SUBDIVISIONS ABOVE NORMAL (1-6-2014 to 31-8-2014)   
S. I. KARNATAKA 22%
N. I. KARNATAKA 9%
TAMILNADU & PONDICHERRY 7%
ODISHA 6%
ARUNACHAL PRADESH 4%
BOTTOM SIX SUBDIVISIONS BELOW NORMAL (1-6-2014 to 31-8-2014)
MARATHWADA -39%
EAST U.P. -41%
WEST U.P. -59%
PUNJAB -65%
HAR. CHD & DELHI -66%
TOTAL ABOVE AVERAGE DAYS (1-6-2014 to 31-8-2014)    27 (29%)
TOTAL BELOW AVERAGE DAYS (1-6-2014 to 31-8-2014)    65 (71%)
TOTAL ABOVE AVERAGE DAYS IN AUGUST       10 (32%)
TOTAL BELOW AVERAGE DAYS IN AUGUST      21 (68%)
source -IMD

21 comments:

sset said...

Agriculture related areas of south east interior KAR have received very less rain since june ( 200mm) - Chintamani, Chikhanali, Mandya, Hassan - major Ragi producing areas are in water crisis. Bangalore has received only 250mm of rain since june. September will rains come to BANG?
GUJARAT past 5 years is observing extreme rains - Saurashtra/Kutch - 300-400mm in 24hrs is becoming normal - huge change in climate pattern.

sset said...

As indicated by Abhijit figures Badlapur receives more rain than Mangalore,Madikere,Goa...

sset said...

Strange weather phenomenons... weather theory in beginning stated el-nino conditions will bring more rains to south america..but intense drought hits south america

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/08/30/world/americas/central-america-hit-by-severe-drought.html?_r=0

while India intense rains hits central India,MAHA,GUJ,RAJ.

sset said...

http://www.npr.org/2014/08/29/344193332/drought-conditions-wreak-havoc-on-latin-america

http://www.npr.org/2014/08/29/344193332/drought-conditions-wreak-havoc-on-latin-america

Looks like in next coming years sustainable monsoon will be only over orissa,central india, MAHA,GUJ rest of India has great risk..

Abhijit said...

After long gap, widespread overnight Heavy Rain lashed North Konkan.

Some rainfall in mms ending 8.30am today (01-09-2014):

Alibaug 175
Mokhada 141
Bhivandi & Murbad 120
Santacruz 116
Jawhar 114
Thane & Vikramgadh 110
Wada 99
Kalyan 87
Shahapur 82
Vasai 81
Tulshi lake(Mumbai) 80
Ulhasnagar 78
Vihar lake(Mumbai) 77
Ambernath & Karjat 70
Harnai 64
Colaba 60
Uran 50
Surya Dam 42
Barvi Dam(Badlapur) 41
Panvel 37
Dahanu 30
Palghar 28
Talasari 25


Mumbai water supplying lake rainfall ending 8.30am today:

Vaitarna 126
Tansa 85
Bhatsa 82
Modak sagar 71
Middle Vaitarna 58


Ghat section rainfall ending 8.30am today:

Mulshi 168
Mahabaleshwar 153
Lonavala 137
Walvan,Lonavala 98

sset said...

Last year 01/sep/2013 and 04/sep/2013 - vagaries published about SWM withdrawal - same period 2014 we are in middle of very vigorous monsoon over NW India. Many places over TN < 100mm of rain since june. Adiramapatanam(86mm), Coimbatore(60mm), Palayamkottai(10mm), Pamban(no rain), Tondi(70mm).. Left at mercy of NE monsoon (will fail if SWM refuses to withdraw soon and take reverse route like sept 2013). SE interior KAR - kolar,BANG,mandya,chintamani,chikanhalli,hindupur,hassan very less rain (200mm)

rajesh said...

sset: Strange facts abt el nino...surprised !

GSB: As usual, excellent presentation and stats...

Yesterday's rain in Mangrol (surat Dist) 220 mms,
Junagadh...Junagadh city 95 mms, Manavadar 67 mms, Vanthali 63 mmms, Mangrol 59 mms. southwards, Veraval saw 54 mms and Talala 42 mms.

sset said...

Navi Mumbai seems back to July. Day and Night raining like roaring water falls- look like rains are bent on pouring at-least 200mm-250mm... soon become like Amazon rain forest...

KHYATI PANDIT said...

There is a possibility of heavy rains on Saturday.you said in your sunday blog.so sir where is it going to rain so heavy.

ANOOP RAWAT said...

Forecast for uttrakhand

Abhijit said...

Widespread Moderate to Heavy Rain was observed in North Konkan yesterday.

Some rainfall in mms ending 8.30am today (02-09-2014):

Uran 122
Barvi Dam(Badlapur) 88
Vihar lake(Mumbai) 79
Tulshi lake(Mumbai) 77
Ulhasnagar 76
Colaba 75
Murbad 74
Ambernath & Karjat 66
Panvel 62
Thane 58
Kalyan 56
Wada 45
Santacruz 43
Bhivandi 40
Alibaug 38
Vasai 23
Shahapur 20


Mumbai water supplying lake rainfall ending 8.30am today:

Middle Vaitarna 46
Tansa & Vaitarna 38
Bhatsa 33
Modak sagar 26



Ghat section rainfall ending 8.30am today:

Lonavala 91
Walvan,Lonavala 76
Mulshi 58
Koyna 52
Mahabaleshwar 33

abizer Kachwala said...

rajesh sir, is there going to be a low forming again in the arabian sea bringing heavy rains in konkan and maharashtra along with gujarat.kindly inform sir sir, thanks in advance.

rajesh said...

Anoop: Please specify for which period you require forcast for Uttrakhand...very difficult for me to guess when you want the forcast for.
Khyati: Please understand I have said rains MAY increase on Saturday for Karachi. See it is in the Pakistan para.

abizer: A low has formed in North Arb sea today...will effect North Sea and not directly Konkan

Farhad Ali said...

rajesh sir what will be effect of that ARB low after merger in seasonal axis with ragard to sindh gujrat region?????

moon toon said...

still no rain in karachi

ANOOP RAWAT said...

Actually i belong to uttrakhand . Now i live in NCR and imd forecast for heavy rains warning for next 3 days in utt. On 15 august we lost a big piece of land swept away by a cloudbrust in my village in pauri district of uttrakhand near devprayag . At least 4 poeple died in neighbourly village . Sir will intensity of rains will be same this time

sset said...

North Gujarat - extreme rains - Dessa - 240mm in 24hrs. Equal to BANG rain since june!!

rajesh said...

Delhi and Punjab rains as expected on 3rd Wednesday...some comments from there in fb:
Vineet Kumar 7:06pm Sep 3
Raining in meerut from 6:30pm.

RK Chaudhary..After a long time two spells of Heavy Rain lashed Greater Noida this evening. So, finally it rained here after a month. - feeling happy.
Arpit... Raining heavily here in Chandni Chowk from the past 25 minutes...

Sukhwinder...after Long Drought of 35 Days Light
Rain in My area
Start 14:00 end 14:31
15mm
@kabarwala, PB :)
EXTREAM RAINFALL
45MM
START 20:20 END 20:50
Rain rate 90mm per hour
Salil Batra..Super cell over gurgaon right now. Raining heavly with gusty winds

rajesh said...

Sukhwinder:Continew Heavy Rain in West Punjab since past Three hours
Firozepur City, PB

vishwas shinde said...

VERY HAVEY RAIN IN LAST 10MIN IN SANTACRUZ...

sset said...

Lucky Gujarat... Today Saurashtra gets pounded...Okha 250mm in 24hrs!! GUJ seems may enter into excess zone..no sign of monsoon withdrawal myself waiting for NE monsoon for my parched Rayalseema/TN.