|Jammu and Kashmir September 2014 Historic Rains|
|Place / Date||4th||5th||6th||7th||Total|
More Details on Kashmir Deluge in Vagaries Rainman
SWM 2014 thus far. An brief Review....6th September
From a threatening -47% down to -12% today. The country has received 655 mms against a normal of 765 mms till date. Thats the overall All India Monsoon Position. Thanks to massive rains in Jammu Kashmir and Punjab last few days, the overall deficit has come to almost reasonable and "civilised" levels.In fact, a few more % points reduction and the dubious label of "drought" will be wiped out. IMD considers a drought year if the deficit falls below -10%. Seems likely to be covered this year.
India normally receives 890 mms in the 4 months of SWM season as a long term average.
Situation is far better than the worst year 2009. That year, the deficit at the end of the season was -23%.
But, still there are a few areas of concern. Punjab, UP and Marathwada amongst them. I would put it like this: the situation in these few regions is still far from being "drought free".Marathwada may see very good rains next few days from BB-8.
However, thinking positively, the late surge of rains in Punjab and Rajasthan and NW India, will benefit the rabi season immensely. It will be saturating the soil with sufficient soil moisture.
But, the water position may not be as comfortable. The overall water reservoir stocks is below normal,except in Central India. North ndia, which has seen the maximum shortage of adequate rainfall, sees the stock of reservoirs at 79% ( 93% last year) of full capacity. Eastern India stocks show 68% (75% last year) of full capacity. Western India 70% (76%) of capacity and South India 68% (81% last year. Central India is the lone zone seeing better than last year levels at 74% (58% last year).
The Overall country average is 71% ( 87%) of capacity against full level.
See Mumbai Page for Mumbai Monsoon Review and next few days forecast for Mumbai
BB-8, centred over Coastal Odisha Saturday evening, will deepen and track West initially on Sunday and Monday. Precipitation over Odisha , Chattisgarh and then into Vidharbh and Madhya Maharastra on Sunday/Monday.
Congrats Puneet for taking the lead. Abhijeet and Chaudhary are very close at 2nd spot.
For the Month of August Rohit has topped the points.
Please check your points, in case of any corrections please msg to my FB message box.
The finale is there. Please participate and win your deserving certificates from Vagaries for the season ending Contest. Post your entries in the below link
Vagaries Season Ending contest 2014