Thursday, December 06, 2012

Main Concentration on the North:

D-1 is moving across the Pakistan Sindh region and Northern areas. Most of the Balochistan and Sindh region are cloudy, with the trough bringing in moisture from the SW. No substantial rain reports are in yet.
D-1 will normally move NE now, and on Friday, bring rain/snow to Northern Pakistan, moderate rains to Upper Sindh and Pak Punjab. Cloudy weather for rest of Sindh and Karachi on Friday, with the city seeing rise in night temperatures.

D-1 will effect the Indian regions from Saturday. Initially with rain/snow in Kashmir and HP. Saturday/Sunday will be cloudy, with light rain in Punjab and parts of Haryana.

Delhi NCR will be partly cloudy on Saturday and Sunday, with rise in night temperatures to 10c/11c.  NCR starts clearing from Sunday evening. Night temperatures will drop from Monday morning.
We cannot expect extreme cold yet, as back to back we may have D-2 coming.
D-1 has no effect in Nepal.

Another WD, D-2, which will arrive in Balochistan on the 12th, will be stronger, and should have its effect in precipitation from Karachi to Northern regions of Pakistan. Moving into India from the 13th/14th, will have good effect in Punjab, Haryana and Delhi NCR. 

Currently, Western coast off shore trough, is pushing in some high clouding into Mah, which on inter acting with a warm front, is likely to bring light rains to Madhya Mah (Pune) and some pockets in N.Konkan and adjoining Gujarat coast and parts of Saurashtra. Clouds will clear off by Sunday. 

Nagpur and adjoining Vid gets cloudy on Monday 10th with moderate rains. Rains move NE into Chattisgarh and into Kolkata by Monday evening or by Tuesday 11th. Kolkata can get some rains on Monday evening or Tuesday.

Mumbai City: Cloudy with high clouds and warm and stuffy till Saturday night. Clouds clear by Sunday, and day temperatures leave the mid 30s range and return to 30/31c level from Sunday. Night temperatures drop from Sunday night. 
Currently at 22/23c, will be back to 19/21c by Monday morning.

Pune sees cloudy weather till Sunday, and fall in night temperatures by 6c, from the current 18c levels by Monday morning. Crisp cold mornings next week.

Detailed publications will not be put up till Monday evening, as author is travelling. Brief informations will be posted. 


Abhijit said...

@ Rajesh Sir. Nice graphical & easy language explanation Sir. And all forecast in line until you back in Mumbai. Happy Journey..

GSB said...

Wow , Cheerapunji has done thrice already what Santacruz (Mumbai suburbs) witnessed only once causing mayhem. Of cource it is not developed as Mumbai and therefore the damage if any would be minor... and it looks at first reading 'only 100' but when you see it is cm and not mm that's awesome....!!!!!

GSB said...

I will be submitting my December entries by Saturday... request others also to start the process .... little more than a week remaining...

Dolores Faulk said...

Weather variations can be observed from climate. similarly Temperature Recorders are used for measuring heat.

sset said...

Record dryness over TN in month of NOV and DEC. NEM seems to have ended with no rains. This may be worst NEM in decades.

santosh subramanian said...

sset , tn will receive good rains in 3rd and 4th week of december . so at least it wont be that bad .

Arpit Sharma said...

Rajesh Kapadia
Ayanagar imd obs located in vast
open area.shall be going see
gurgaon location tomorrow after
birding at
warming up and should touch
26-27 here.getting ready for d2

Arpit Sharma said...

Max/Min/24 hrs RF(mm)
Date:09-12-2012 Port
Blair 30.6/21.2/
NIL, Anantapur 33.0/15.0/
NIL, Hyderabad 32.5/18.2/
NIL, Kakinada 31.7/20.2/
NIL, Kurnool 34.2/20.2/
NIL, Nellore 32.4/23.0/
NIL, Nizamabad 33.5/18.8/
NIL, Ramagundam 33.0/18.4/
NIL, Tirupathi 31.8/19.8/
NIL, Max/Min Temp /24 hr RF
(mm) Vijaywada 33.3/19.2/
NIL, Visakhapatnam 28.9/20.3/
NIL, Itanagar 25.9/16.1/
NIL, Passighat 21.8/17.0/
NIL, Dhubri 24.5/17.7/
NIL, Dibrugarh 26.0/15.8/
NIL, Guwahati 27.4/15.8/
NIL, Jorhat 25.5/15.5/NIL, North
Lakhimpur 27.4/12.0/
NIL, Silchar 25.3/15.4/
NIL, Max/Min Temp /24 hr RF
(mm) Tezpur 27.7/15.0/
NIL, Bhagalpur 20.6/13.2/
NIL, Chapra --/--/NA,
Forbesganj --/--/NA,
Gaya 28.1/8.3/
NIL, Muzaffarpur --/--/NA,
Patna 26.0/10.1/
NIL, Purnea 25.0/10.0/NA,
Raipur 32.9/17.3/NIL, Delhi
(Palam) 25.8/10.7/NIL, Max/
Min Temp /24 hr RF(mm) Delhi
(Safdarjung) 26.8/9.0/
NIL, Panjim 33.8/22.2/
NIL, Ahmedabad 32.3/12.4/
NIL, Baroda 33.4/18.0/
NIL, Bhuj 32.0/19.6/
NIL, Deesa 31.4/13.6/
NIL, Dwarka 19.8/23.2/
NIL, Naliya 29.7/19.1/
NIL, Porbandar 34.0/21.4/
NIL, Rajkot 32.6/20.7/
NIL, Max/Min Temp /24 hr RF
(mm) Surat 33.1/19.2/
NIL, Veraval 35.0/20.0/
NIL, Ambala 23.0/8.1/
NIL, Bhiwani 26.6/--/
NIL, Chandigarh 24.9/8.4/
NIL, Gurgaon --/--/
NIL, Hissar 28.4/7.8/
NIL, Karnal 25.4/--/
NIL, Kurukshetra --/--/
NIL, Narnaul 29.0/7.0/
NIL, Max/Min Temp /24 hr RF
(mm) Rohtak --/--/
NIL, Sirsa --/--/
NIL, Chamba 14.2/6.5/
NIL, Dharamsala 21.4/8.8/
NIL, Kalpa 15.6/-1.0/
NIL, Keylong 7.9/-4.3/
NIL, Kullu 23.6/2.2/
NIL, Manali 16.8/1.0/
NIL, shimla 18.0/9.9/
NIL, Solan 23.5/3.8/NIL, Max/
Min Temp /24 hr RF
(mm) Sundernagar 24.7/3.1/
NIL, Banihal 19.7/4.9/
NIL, Batote 19.4/6.8/
NIL, Bhaderwah 19.4/2.5/
NIL, Gulmarg 4.2/-5.5/0.60
mm, Jammu 25.4/9.2/
NIL, Katra 22.2/11.0/
NIL, Kupwara 14.2/-1.7/
NIL, Leh 6.8/-10.0/
NIL, Pehalgam 10.0/-3.0/
NIL, Max/Min Temp /24 hr RF
(mm) Qazigund 12.0/-1.6/
NIL, Srinagar 12.4/-1.7/
NIL, Belgaum 31.6/15.5/
NIL, Bellary 33.6/16.4/
NIL, Bengaluru 28.5/17.0/
NIL, Bijapur 30.5/17.0/
NIL, Chitradurga 31.3/14.3/
NIL, Gadag 32.0/17.0/
NIL, Gulbarga 34.9/20.6/
NIL, Hassan 31.8/16.2/
NIL, Max/Min Temp /24 hr RF
(mm) Honnavar 34.9/20.3/
NIL, Madikeri 26.5/11.6/
NIL, Mangalore 36.0/22.8/
NIL, Mysuru 29.2/13.9/
NIL, Raichur 34.2/

Arpit Sharma said...

NIL, Kannur 34.0/23.9/
NIL, Kottayam 34.7/23.2/
NIL, kozhikode 33.7/23.8/
NIL, Thiruvananthapuram
NIL, Agati 32.0/26.5/
NIL, Max/Min Temp /24 hr RF
(mm) Amini Divi 32.7/25.5/
NIL, Kavarati 31.0/26.0/
NIL, Minicoy 31.8/25.4/0.80
mm, Bhopal 32.2/16.2/
NIL, Gwalior 29.9/9.5/
NIL, Indore 31.6/16.0/
NIL, Jabalpur 30.1/17.3/
NIL, Akola 35.1/20.1/
NIL, Aurangabad 33.6/19.1/
NIL, Dahanu 29.5/20.5/
NIL, Max/Min Temp /24 hr RF
(mm) Harnai 31.0/23.6/
NIL, Mahabaleshwar 27.6/16.6/
NIL, Mumbai 33.3/20.2/
NIL, Nagpur 34.2/15.5/
NIL, Nanded 34.0/14.0/
NIL, Nasik 33.3/17.3/
NIL, Parbhani 34.0/17.5/
NIL, Pune 32.9/17.6/
NIL, Ratnagiri 35.0/19.2/
NIL, Sangli 33.5/18.9/
NIL, Max/Min Temp /24 hr RF
(mm) Sholapur 33.7/18.5/
NIL, Imphal 23.4/7.8/
NIL, Cherrapunji 19.0/6.4/
NIL, Shilong 15.6/8.3/
NIL, Aizwal --/--/
NIL, Lengpui 22.0/10.0/
NIL, Kohima 16.7/7.6/
NIL, Angul 32.4/15.0/
NIL, Balasore 30.7/14.5/
NIL, Bhubneshwar 32.1/16.5/
NIL, Max/Min Temp /24 hr RF
(mm) Cuttack 29.8/14.5/
NIL, Gopalpur 31.1/18.3/
NIL, Jharsuguda 31.4/15.1/
NIL, Koraput 25.5/11.0/
NIL, Paradip 28.8/19.2/
NIL, Puri 30.2/19.5/
NIL, Sambalpur 30.0/13.8/
NIL, Titlagarh 31.0/17.1/
NIL, Pondicherry 31.6/22.4/
NIL, Amritsar 25.5/7.4/
NIL, Max/Min Temp /24 hr RF
(mm) Anandpur Sahib --/--/
NIL, Bhatinda --/--/
NIL, Chandigarh 24.9/8.4/
NIL, Jalandhar --/--/
NIL, Ludhiana 26.0/8.4/
NIL, Pathankot --/--/
NIL, Patiala 26.1/8.3/
NIL, Ajmer 29.9/12.7/
NIL, Barmer 27.6/12.4/
NIL, Bikaner 30.8/11.5/
NIL, Max/Min Temp /24 hr RF
(mm) Churu 31.0/7.3/
NIL, Jaipur 30.2/11.1/
NIL, Jaisalmer 30.4/14.2/
NIL, Jodhpur 29.4/11.2/
NIL, Kota 29.5/13.8/NIL, Mount
Abu 24.0/7.4/
NIL, Sriganganagar 28.3/7.9/
NIL, Udaipur 28.8/11.2/
NIL, Gangtok 11.8/9.2/0.30
mm, Tadong 17.4/12.2/
NIL, Max/Min Temp /24 hr RF
(mm) Chennai 30.8/21.4/
NIL, Coimbatore 32.6/22.2/
NIL, Kanyakumari 32.6/25.7/
NIL, Kodaikanal 18.9/9.0/
NIL, Madurai 33.8/22.7/
NIL, Nagapattinam 30.4/24.6/
NIL, Pamban 30.5/25.5/
NIL, Salem 33.0/19.3/
NIL, Tiruchirapalli 32.8/24.2/
NIL, Vellore 30.3/17.4/
NIL, Max/Min Temp /24 hr RF
(mm) Almora 23.0/--/
NIL, Dehradun 24.3/8.6/
NIL, Haridwar 21.9/4.1/
NIL, Joshimath 21.8/7.9/
NIL, Mukteshwar 18.5/4.2/
NIL, Mussorie 13.8/8.3/
NIL, Nainital 20.0/9.0/
NIL, Pantnagar 23.5/5.6/
NIL, Pithoragarh 22.3/5.5/
NIL, Roorkee 22.5/6.4/
NIL, Max/Min Temp /24 hr RF
(mm) Tehri 20.2/6.0/
NIL, Bankura 29.2/13.0/
NIL, Coochbehar 26.0/14.0/
NIL, Digha 30.5/14.5/
NIL, Jalpaiguri 25.1/14.3/
NIL, Kolkata 29.2/14.4/
NIL, Krishnanagar 25.5/12.0/
NIL, Malda 25.3/14.9/
NIL, Sriniketan 28.1/11.2/NIL,

sam khan said...


emkay said...

another hope dashed. Bopha recurving has ruled out any possibility of a pulse to BoB:(
Scary situation in Kerala on water storage front

rajesh said...

Emkay. Low can form in bay later this week.updating late tonite.

Abhijit said...

Today Badlapur min temp got dip as 17.5 C at 7am.So drop in min temps is not seen only in Badlapur..

But Mumbai, Pune & Nashik temps are also got dip today as:

Mumbai : Santacruz 19.8 C, Colaba 22.5 C, Pune 16.1 C & Nashik 14 C today morning .

rajesh said...

Temps falling as expected n trough forming for w d

Unknown said...

Rajeshbhai, whats long cast for New Delhi in first week of Jan 13....will be in thick of fog season??

Bracing for traffic and air travel chaos ??


Abhijit said...

Rajesh Sir. I have an doubt that which system combination is responsible for inducing rains over East India (Kolkata region ) !

sset said...

Santosh Subramaniam - I doubt any revival of NEM. Much of SE interior India is in danger of desertification - Infact it rains lesser than Raj/Kutch.

Abhijit said...

Today max temp further reduced in
Badlapur and left the 30s C mark for the first time in current season. It's 29.5 C max temp at 2.30pm.

Posted Wednesday evening : BB 8 tracks over M. P. Bringing good rainfall.  East MP 5-16 vms, West M. P up to 12 cms and a good 4-16 cms ...