Monday, November 12, 2007

A short posting on the development of the strong system in the Bay. The IMD has positioned the "deep Depression" at 10.5N and 91.5 E at 05.30 hrs today. The JTWC has positioned it as "no name " cyclone 06B at the same position.

According to JTWC, the sub tropical ridge will steer the movement towards the North-West. COLA also forecasts a similar movement direction. So, I feel, looking at the various forecasts, and the actual facts, the STR , along with the fairly strong Northerly winds in the upper half of the Indian Sub continent, the system will grow into a named cyclone, and cross the Indian coast, along the Orissa/W.Bengal coast, maybe around Friday.

Please give your views on this development on this blog for all the readers to share and, or at
kapadais@gmail.com


1 comment:

Ashok Patel said...

Official Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre (RSMC) for the North Indian Ocean basin is IMD New Delhi. They monitor the Tropical Cyclones in the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea. As per RSMC (IMD) BOB03 had not been named then as Tropical Cyclone "YEMYIN" June 25/26 2007.

However, in the 'End of Monsoon Report 2007' IMD states "The Cyclonic Storm, ‘Yemyin’ (25-26 June) formed from the remnants of a Deep Depression which formed over the Bay of Bengal and emerged into the Arabian Sea as a low pressure area after traversing the peninsula. This system moved away north-westwards and crossed Pakistan coast, without affecting the weather over the country."

Hence we can presume that if the ongoing Deep Depression in the Bay of Bengal gains further stregth, it will become named Tropical Cyclone "SIDR", the name contributed by OMAN. There are eight countries who have contributed to the list of North Indian Tropical Cyclones. These countries are Bangala Desh, India, Maldives, Myanmar, Oman, Pakistan, Sri Lanka & Thailand.