Co Authors: GSB, Shreyas Dhavale, Pradeep John, Dr. Vineet Singh, Gokul

Wednesday, May 31, 2017

Very heavy pre-monsoon rains at central /south konkan ( Ratnagiri/ Sindhudurg/ Kolhapur western ghats ) ..31 May 2017

• Lanja 283 mms 

(refer table below..min 65 mms ..source mahaagri)





Tuesday, May 30, 2017

South West Monsoon Sets in over South Kerala on 30th May...

Pradeep John promptly gives us the Rainfall Amounts in Kerala on Monsoon Setting ...Today the Maha giants have joined the party and the readings will be put by evening.




Monday, May 29, 2017

Posted 29th May Night:
Posted 29th May:

As we see Severe Cyclonic Storm "Mora" move towards Myanmar. the effective pulling of the SW winds will advance the South West Monsoon into Kerala on 31st May. 
The South West Monsoon may not show substantial progress beyond Coastal Karnataka till 5th June.

Mumbai: A few passing light showers on Tuesday 30th May. Development of some thunder clouds on Wednesday 31st May. Not much rain chances on 1st June.
Monsoon expected in Mumbai on date given by Vagaries in Monsoon Watch, around 11th/12th June.

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Turbat in Pakistan recorded 53.5c on 28th May, equalling the Highest temperature recorded in Asia (May). Moin Jo Daro had recorded 53.5c on 26th May 2010.

29th May readings of maximum Temperatures: Turbat 53°C, Sibbi 51°C, Lasbella 49, Panjgur, Padidan, Dadu, Jacobabad 47°C, Dalbandin, Nokkundi, Moenjodaro, Hyderabad, Larkana 46°C°C.

29th May 2017,  record temperature of 47°C observed in Panjgur. Earlier record was 43.5°C on 26th May, 2010.

26 May 2017 highest temperature ever recorded in May in Iran, 50.5C at Rasht.

To clear some confusion in our comments section, here are the world's highest temperature records...
54.0C Death Valley, eastern California,north America, 30 june 2013

54.0C Mitribah, northwest Kuwait,21 july 2016 

See world records here (scroll down).

Friday, May 26, 2017

Posted 26th May morning:

Our expected BB 2 has formed in the Bay. Due to this formation the South West Monsoon has advanced into Sri Lanka ( vagaries' expected date was 27th).
Ratnapura in Sri Lanka received 349 mms.

Wednesday, May 24, 2017

Posted 24th Night:

> Monsoon Likely to advance into Kerala on 31st May...

> UAC prevails in SE Bay and West Arabian Sea....

> Mumbai likely to get light rains on Sunday 28th and Monday 29th May (Pre Monsoon)....

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Nice encouraging message to me for our Vagaries received from Maximiliano Herrera (Thailand) ....the first part is ref to my correspondence with him for recent  Bilaspur reading...second part is what i refer to as encouraging...

Quote:-" Thanks. It seems it was dismissed , but I will be waiting for more information (also in the case it is dismissed if it was a temporaly problem or the station needs to be fixed or moved).

I see that thanks to your project Vagaries of the weather, many new Indian amateaurs are getting very skilled and they are a useful "tool" in overwatching Indian weather statistics and filling the gaps in the cases IMD might make a mistake or something.
Since you are the pioneer of the Vagaries, I think your contribution has been fundamental.
Now I am receiving many messages from Vagaries members exchanging information and ideas.
A big thank from the Meteorological Community for your relentless work.

Cheers"

My Reply to Him:-

"Thanks a lot for the kind words Max. Weather is a passion, and after starting Vagaries, we have around 400 members from India, Pakistan, Nepal and US. 
I am so happy that youngsters have taken a very keen interest in weather and studying the daily readings. The younger people are very alert, and immediately point out if something is different or out of Normal.
The younger members have become smarter than their teacher :-)
I also thank you Max for your constant support and help in correcting and updating our records. Your contribution to weather record keeping is amazing ! I still remember when, around 7/8 years back we both were tallying city by city records for many Indian Cities. We had our differences in figures, but that was for the good and proper checking.
Thanks for supporting vagaries and its young members (Vagarians as they are called).Wishing a long relationship between Max and Vagaries !
Rgards"



Saturday, May 20, 2017

Posted Tuesday 23rd Night:
A UAC has formed in the South East Bay...
Places above 44c on Tuesday (India):
1Titlagarh 46.5 °C
2Chandrapur 45.2 °C
3Bhawanipatna 45.0 °C
4Nalgonda 45.0 °C
5Ramgundam 45.0 °C
6Bilaspur 44.9 °C
7Bramhapuri 44.9 °C
8Wardha 44.8 °C
9Nagpur Sonegaon 44.7 °C
10Vijayawada / Gannavaram 44.7 °C
11Nizamabad 44.5 °C
12Daltonganj 44.4 °C
13Rentachintala 44.4 °C
14Mahabubnagar 44.2 °C
15Adilabad 44.1 °C
16Angul 44.1 °C
17Kurnool 44.1 °C
18Pbo Raipur 44.1 °C
19Rajnandgaon 44.0 °C

Posted Saturday 20th May Night:

A Low pressure (BB-2) is likely to form in the South East Bay of Bengal ( 10N, 90E) by the 23rd of May. As per the ensuing sea and pressure conditions, BB-2 is likely to strengthen in the next few days. Chances of cyclone development is 25% ( Low). But system as a strengthened force will track NW towards Odisha/North Andhra.

In the meantime, the off shore trough off the Southern region of West Coast of India will get more prominent from the 24th on wards, thereby increasing coastal rains in Kerala and Coastal Karnataka.

Friday, May 19, 2017

East Coast under heat / humid wave ..makes Rajasthan heat feel pale in comparison ( 19 May 2017 )


It's that time of the year again.. Heat/humid wave has gripped east coast (specially Andhra / Tamilnadu) during past 4 days.
It's either extremely hot and drier winds from the west (temps of 47 c)  or supressingly humid breeze from the bay ( heat index over 55 c) .
Nights are also hot and humid with temps above 30 c ( Ongole min 34 .1 c ) .

Machilipatnam was 47 c / 31 c yesterday and 40 c / 32 c today (heat index 54 , even at night heat index was above 40 c )

Bhubaneswar/Visakhapatnam AP ..39 c /29 c yesterday with heat index of 55 c

Gopalpur(by the sea) was 36 c / 28 c yesterday with suppressing humidity ( heat index approaching 55 c )

Chennai AP was 44 c / 30 c yesterday with heat index of over 50 c

Kolkata AP was 39 c / 27 c today with heat index of 47 c

>>Vagarians / readers ..please share more information on the subject 

A Low pressure area is forming in the Bay by 13th. Likely to strengthen at least to a Deep Depression later. System could track NME towards ...