12th February
Special Pune Information
This February so far, till 12th, Pune Shivajinagar has already seen 5 days with maximum temperature above 34c.
Last year first above 34c temperature was recorded on 21 February...(Vagarian Vineet)
Reasons for heavy rainfall over UAE and parts of Oman Clarification of some doubts, Vagaries briefly explains the reasons behind the recent...
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Wettest Monsoon Day in 2013 for maharashtra...See pradeep's Page BB-4 lingers on, and on Tuesday, was located as a weak low over N... -
Pune recorded 87 mm ending 8.30am today. With this achieved 1000 mm mark! Seasonal Rainfall stands on 1018 mms now. Last night Widespread...
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Credit Australian government Bureau of metereology
Issued Tuesday 14 February 2023
The latest Climate Driver Update and Climate Model Summary are now available on our website.
Climate drivers in transition
La Niña continues in the tropical Pacific Ocean. While oceanic indicators, including sea surface temperatures (SSTs), have weakened to ENSO-neutral values, the atmosphere has been slower to respond and remains La Niña-like. Even as La Niña weakens, it can continue to influence global weather and climate.
All models anticipate SSTs in the central Pacific Ocean will warm further, but remain at neutral levels (neither La Niña nor El Niño) until at least mid-autumn. As accuracy is generally lower for long-range ENSO forecasts made during summer, ENSO outlooks that extend past autumn should be viewed with caution.
The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral but is expected to briefly dip into negative values before remaining neutral for the coming weeks to months. During summer, a negative SAM typically suppresses rainfall over south-eastern Australia.
A strong Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) pulse is currently over the western Pacific and is forecast to move into the eastern Pacific next week. While in the western Pacific, it will likely support ongoing monsoonal activity across northern Australia, although its influence will reduce if it moves into the eastern Pacific. An active pulse of the MJO over the Pacific Ocean may reduce trade wind strength and hence further weaken La Niña.
Warmer than average sea surface temperatures persist in an area around Tasmania, south-east Australia, and New Zealand; around the west coast and north-west of Australia; and parts of the Coral Sea. Warmer waters around Australia, especially in the tropics, can result in greater evaporation, humidity, cloudiness, and rainfall.
Climate change continues to influence Australian and global climates. Australia's climate has warmed by around 1.47 °C over the period 1910–2021. There has also been a trend towards a greater proportion of rainfall from high intensity short duration rainfall events, especially across northern Australia.
More information
Media liaison (03) 9669 4057
Technical enquiries helpdesk.climate@bom.gov.au
Next update expected by 28 February 2023
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