Sunday, January 22, 2023

1.Weather outlook from Monday 23rd till Thursday 27th January - Winter rain/snow for Northern states and UTs!

Mumbai: "This weekend will see overall pleasant weather...max around 31C and min around 17C. Temperature may drop from Sunday onwards. "...This is where we ended our previous post of Friday...and continuing....

Cold weather again from Tuesday 24th, due to strong cool winds (as WD J-3 starts moving away from Northern India.) Now, initially, 24th - 26th January may see days around 28°C, and night may be around 15-16°C. Very windy...
Further fall and colder after 3 days, i.e 27th -29th weekend. Expect around 13/14c.

After 29th, the night temperatures can drop significantly in Mumbai ( 12/14c) and Pune (7/9c) and may bring another cold wave towards end of January. 

Pune: Minimum temperatures rising till Wednesday 25th morning, around 14-15C. Days will be warmer than Mumbai...around 30-31°C. 
From Friday 27th, colder weather into the weekend...nights around 7/9°c

Nashik: Similar to Pune, some rise in temperature till Tuesday 24th, may drop from 25th. Min temperature to remain around 10-12°C. Max around 30°C. 

Aurangabad: Maximum daytime initially for next 3 days around 31/32c, while minimum could be 13c.
Interior Maharashtra to be less cooler in the daytime than the coast.

Note:  Third active Western Disturbance (WD) of this month J-3 will start affecting the weather over western Himalayas and Northern plains from Monday 23rd. 

An induced cyclonic circulation is seen forming over Rajasthan.

These systems combined will result in moisture transport from the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal towards North India. 

Some showers and cloud bands may develop over Uttar Pradesh and NCR from 23rd night. 
Rain/thundershowers with chance of hail likely over parts of Uttar Pradesh, Delhi NCR, Haryana, Punjab, north Rajasthan and Himalayan foothills on 24th and 25th...rain activity decreasing on 26th. 

Chances seem good for light to medium rains in Delhi ( 5-10 mms) on 26th January. Cold day on 24/25th a < 20c.

Parts of Kashmir and Ladakh may start getting snow from 23rd. Moderate snowfall expected with heavy in some high elevations of Kashmir, Ladakh, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand during 24th-25th January. 

Chance of travel disruptions/landslides over Himalayas and Yatras during this period due to rain/snow. 

Gujarat will see temperatures decreasing from 25th morning onwards with cool winds as the WD starts moving away eastwards. 

Big drop in minimum temperatures is not likely in North as another WD (J-4) in quick succession to affect Northern India from around Friday 27th. 
Point (2)👇 will be reviewed again on 25th evening)

2. Western disturbance (J-4)..back to back on 27th -29th.
Major Snowfall in the Kashmir, Ladakh, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Nepal Regions. 
Heavy rains in Northern Plains and light rainfall parts of Rajasthan, M.P. and Marathwada (Hail Possible).  

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