Monsoon Watch- 2 (Abridged)...20th April 2021
1. Cross Equatorial Flow:
As discussed, we should normally see a low sometime after the 15th of April.
No model can commit today when the Monsoon can arrive.
Quantum of rain forecasting in April for June right through September is an impossible task. Things get clearer by last week of April. Vagaries' (in MW) normally remains true to estimates around early May.