Tuesday, November 05, 2019

Most common mistake by layman..Maha effect in interior Western India ...corrected. Image of Wednesday eveining  5 pm IST


Posted 6th afternoon:
"Maha" moves Eastwards, and weaken as mentioned constantly. After crossing 69E, will weaken rapidly to a Depression...Heading as a Low towards North of Mumbai.
(Forecast valid as Below)
BB-20 now a Deep Depression at 13.4N and 89.3 E..moving as expected.

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Posted 5th November Afternoon;

"Maha" has re curved. Now entering drier air and resistance and weakening (Quite fast) as it tracks E/NE..finally a Low over South Gujarat.
Heavy rains in South and Coastal Saurashtra and Navsari, Surat and Bharuch Dist with windy conditions from 6th Evening to 8th Morning.
North Konkan to get windy and moderate rains with few patches of heavy rains on 7th .

BB-20 is now a depression and strengthening with favourable conditions...to be a cyclone in 24 hrs.."Bulbul"....Tracking NW and along coast then.

See Image Below

Veraval and Coastal Saurashtra: Heavy showers on Wednesday 6th/Thursday 7th.
Surat/Valsad/Bharuch: Moderate to a few heavy showers on Thursday 7th/Friday 8th.

Mumbai/Pune:  Wednesday 6th, Thursday 7th, Friday 8th. 
Some showers in parts of city, varying intensity ..Pune might get heavy on Wednesday.

1 comment:

rajesh said...

Recently for the first time, in so many years, admin has deleted a few comments. This was never done before, as we are free to express our individual thoughts.
But repeatative comments makes one feel foolish, as if we have not understood what the comment writer is expressing. The same point repeated over and over again makes mockery of the blog.
Point may be valid, but stressing with exaggerated highlights is underestimating the Vagaries' readers.

Posted Monday 18th November : Unseasonal extra rainfall for some cities from cyclones Mid October-Mid November ----...