Friday, November 08, 2019


2019.. The year of records ..8 Nov 2019..

Mumbai (IMD Scz, Vile Parle) :

  • First September monthly rain with 1116 mms and monsoon total with 3670 mms 
  • Then annual with 3791 mms 
  • Now, with heavy rains today morning .. Mumbai (IMD Scz) break it's all time November monthly rain record ..new record is 109 mms 

Clouds shine over IMD Scz today morning (8 Nov) as rain records tumble..

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After Cyclonic disturbances (Kyarr and Maha) .. 
I continue with the festive weather series part 2 

HAPPY DIWALI ..

Vagaries exclusive .. Festive weather series..Part 2..

Past 20 years Diwali days (Narak Chaturdashi / Lakshmi Poojan / Balipratipada /Bhaubij )  weather averages of 16 cities..

(period .. 17 Oct to 16 Nov )

Part 2  ..Kochi , Chennai , Bengaluru , Hyderabad..

stay tuned for..Part 3 ..Delhi , Dehradun , Kolkata , Bhubaneshwar, Guwahati


Diwali marks the transition season on the way to cooler weather over most parts of the country.

1. South India coastal plains  :
Kerala coast remains range bound (around 31 / 24) throughout October and November .
Tamilnadu coast alongwith Kerala coast is the rainiest part of India during this season.

Diwali days weather averages (past 20 years .. Diwali 1999 to 2018)
As Diwali is a multi day festival , average of each city is for 3 days of 
Narak Chaturdashi / Laxmi poojan / Bali Pratipada /  Bhaubij

Average of each city is for 60 days .. (20 years x 3 days of Diwali per year = 60 days)
KOCHICHENNAI AP
IF DIWALI IS IN OCTOBER 31.3 / 24.133 / 23.7
IF DIWALI IS IN NOVEMBER31.1 / 24.130.8 / 23.6
AVERAGE TEMP31.2 / 24.131.8 / 23.6
AVERAGE RAIN PER DAY5.6 mms9.1 mms
RAINY DAYS OUT OF 6018 days 24 days
HIGHEST MAX34.2 c35.5 c
LOWEST MAX28.8 c25 c
max below 30 c
(out of 60 days)
6 days8 days
max above 35 c
(out of 60 days)
0 days3 days
HIGHEST MIN25.6 c26.3 c
LOWEST MIN21.6 c19.5 c
min below 20 c
(out of 60 days)
0 days1 day
min above 25 c
(out of 60 days)
10 days4 days
HIGHEST RAINFALL ON 
A DIWALI DAY
58 mms86 mms

2. Deccan Plateau (South India) :
Bengaluru and Hyderabad have fine weather during this period.
Bengaluru can be cloudy ,cool and rainy during this time.
Hyderabad is drier.

Diwali days weather averages (past 20 years .. Diwali 1999 to 2018)
As Diwali is a multi day festival , average of each city is for 3 days of 
Narak Chaturdashi / Laxmi poojan / Bali Pratipada /  Bhaubij

Average of each city is for 60 days .. (20 years x 3 days of Diwali per year = 60 days)

BENGALURUHYDERABAD
IF DIWALI IS IN OCTOBER29.3 / 18.932.2 / 19.8
IF DIWALI IS IN NOVEMBER27.6 / 18.631 / 18.8
AVERAGE TEMP28.3 / 18.731.5 / 19.2
AVERAGE RAIN PER DAY3.4 mms0.1 mms
RAINY DAYS OUT OF 6011 days2 days
HIGHEST MAX32 c35.1 c
LOWEST MAX19.8 c27.6 c
max below 30 c
(out of 60 days)
47 days11 days
max above 35 c
(out of 60 days)
0 days1 day
HIGHEST MIN21 c23 c
LOWEST MIN13.4 c14.3 c
min below 20 c
(out of 60 days)
45 days32 days
min above 25 c
(out of 60 days)
0 days0 days
HIGHEST RAINFALL ON 
A DIWALI DAY
63 mms3 mms


7 comments:

rajesh said...

Good and Glad you posted this...shows a lot of effort ..

rajesh said...

Recently for the first time, in so many years, admin has deleted a few comments. This was never done before, as we are free to express our individual thoughts.
But repeatative comments makes one feel foolish, as if we have not understood what the comment writer is expressing. The same point repeated over and over again makes mockery of the blog.
Point may be valid, but stressing with exaggerated highlights is underestimating the Vagaries' readers.

Rohit Aroskar said...

Thanks Rajesh sir

Manoj said...

Good information by Rohit...why the delay ?But waiting for the next part

Manoj said...

good information and at last some information away from cyclones...waiting for next part.

Unknown said...

Hi Rajesh, thanks again to you and Vagaries team for covering the extended rains this year right till the last day. Has been an awesome season.

Could you also give your views on how you think about the NEM panning out in the coming one months ? I have read a lot of conflicting reports last few days but your view would make things more clear.

Suresh

sset said...

Suresh this was expected and you were constantly opposing. NEM is disaster for TN and AP - lifeline for these 2 states. 2 systems - 1 went to GUJ, 2nd went to WB. Peak period is dry for TN/AP unless revival happens. Looks only -IOD and El-nino favours NEM, otherwise since 2015 this is failing, in-fact after 2010 we see many climate variations.

Posted Monday 18th November : Unseasonal extra rainfall for some cities from cyclones Mid October-Mid November ----...