Wednesday, September 20, 2017

Tulsi Lake received 248 mms and Vihar 2200 mms till Wednesday Morning...All Lakes total above 3000 mms...
Total Lake Storage 14.28 Mcum out of 14.47 Mcum full capacity, 98% full.
Lake info from Vagarian Jayesh Mehta.




Special Ghats data by Vagarian Abhijit Modak


Posted Tuesday Night:

Torrential Rains lashing Mumbai post Afternoon 19th Tuesday.
Some of the figures are crossing 300 mms in the suburbs as shown earlier.

The Current Low (Vortex) over Mumbai will gradually weaken and fizzle out inland East of Mumbai by Wednesday Morning.

Hence, we can expect the rainfall over Mumbai to decrease in intensity Wednesday morning. Moderate intensity till morning. But less rains on Wednesday , and we can expect ( after Scruz recorded 225 mms and Colaba 169 mms till 11.30 pm IST) around 35-40 mms on Wednesday till evening, meaning a heavy shower or two possible. However, it will remain windy with gusts till evening. Otherwise, situation will be much under control with no prolonged heavy showers. 

BB-12 has moved inland into Odisha. Will track towards M.P. and first strengthen on land, but fizzle out suddenly over West M.P. 
Monsoon Withdrawal has commenced from Extreme Western parts of Rajasthan. 

35 comments:

Abhijit Modak said...

Some more Rain figures around Mumbai till 11.30pm:

Badlapur 165mm
Palghar 132mm
Thane 83mm

Shri said...

Rains have eased off here in Mira Road.

sset said...

Torrential rains hitting Navi Mumbai - even after 24hrs now heavy.... MUM (SCZ) may cross 3000mm by sept end.

sset said...

Mumbai / MAHA wettest September ever recorded!
West coast trough + Bay lows + UAC over GUJ/RAJ/MP create havoc over MAHA/GUJ Arabian sea... this has happened multiple times 2017 monsoon - strange fact they all appear at same time.

sset said...

Non stop torrential - increasing every minute- heaviest september seen, stat of art infrastructure Navi Mumbai flooded - huge waterfall from all hills gushing down, streams overflowing.. nature anger mode!

Cumulus arjun said...

Santacruz - 275.7 mm
Colaba - 191 mm 5:30am

Avtansh said...

Mumbai Scz 303mm.
2nd triple century this season. Has that ever happened earlier? Not sure.

@Rohit, also, 13 times in 44 years is when we take 8.30am to 8.30am recordings. If we take any 24 hour cut then the number of such high rainfall events will be even higher. As an example, I remember 30 June 2007. Nearly 400mm but got split between two tecordings on either side of 8.30am. Therefore, such events aren't uncommon and fairly regular in our region.

Cumulus arjun said...

Raining very heavily here

Cumulus arjun said...

But if we go by official IMD statistics this year there are 2 instances of extreme rain. This might be the first instance in recent years when here are 2 extreme rain events in a single monsoon.

Khan Gazanfar said...

No rains in mira road
Thanks Rajesh u rgreat.

Khan Gazanfar said...

Thanks rajesh bhai

Rohit Aroskar said...

Yup ..that is there Avtansh

Rohit Aroskar said...

Avtansh..300+ more than once within a season has occured at Mumbai earlier

Unknown said...

as this system fizzles out , sir do you think again there will be thunderstorms before withdrawal may be in sep end from extreme north side ?

Unknown said...

after this low pressure fizzles out , sir do you think mumbai will experience thunderstorms again just before withdrawal i mean by sep end or oct first week from extreme north ?

Avtansh said...

@Rohit - Interesting. Which year? And which station - Scz or Clb? Would be great in case you could share the figures. Many thanks!

sset said...

Borivali 350mm++, world largest forest within city limits -> Sanjay Gandhi National park - stretching from Borivali - Thane - Virar, catchment for many lakes, mountains - not sure what will happen to LIONS ??

Rohit Aroskar said...

Contrary to the belief ..Mumbai didnt have more than 300 mms 24 hr official rain event for past 11 years ..This is surprising as the city gets such events 2 to 3 times each decade..So those barbs about extreme rain events due to climate change need to tone down..

Avtansh said...

@Rohit: Agree. Nothing has changed much. In fact, many times in past decade, Mumbai just missed out on these extreme rains. Just last September Dahanu had two of them. In general, Southernmost Gujarat and North Konkan are prone to and have always got such events. Even South Konkan doesn't get many - It is similar to Goa, Coastal Karnataka and North Kerala. They get more average rainy days than us but lesser extreme rain spells. There are various factors at play, every area is unique and, therefore, I hope we can stop comparing weather across geographies.

Hrishikesh said...

Rain started again with high winds wind and extremely dark clouds in west winds from east

Unknown said...

Serious rains happening for past 2 hours in Goregaon

VISHWAS said...

Medium to heavy rain in santacruz.

sset said...

Avantash - In that case even if u take average annual rain - KAR, KER are unable to reach top 10 -5 slots - all taken by MAHA. But 10-20 years back atleast in top 5 KAR. KER used to appear. Definite decrease in monsoon over SW India. Not only this same goes to SriLanka rains in lower latitudes are decreasing. (I know people may laugh but that is observation)

sset said...

At present Santacruz - Mumbai overtakes Mangalore. Mumbai-Santacruz excess of +800mm. Very soon entire Konkan will go into excess zone! Is it wettest september?

sset said...

Mumbai is following similar pattern to 2016 SWM....
(below taken from vagaries blogs)



Mumbai Rainfall Stats:( 25th September)

Seasonal Totals:
Colaba: Mumbai Colaba crosses 2500 mms for this season...2507 mms As on 26th September.
Recent crossing 2500 mms was in 2011 when Colaba measured 2879 mms ( Full Season) and in 2010 when this station saw 3291 mms till Monsoon withdrawal.
Highest ever Seasonal total for Colaba is 3482 mms in 1954.
Santacruz: Total on 26th September for this season stands at 2893 mms.
Recently in 2010, SCruz measured 3392 mms till Monsoon withdrawal. Highest ever at Scruz is 3785 mms in 1958.

September Totals;
Colaba: This year 2016, as on 25th September, this Month has recorded 731 mms , while wettest ever September was in 1988 and 1993, when 832 mms was recorded.
Santa Cruz:2016 September, Scruz has received 703 mms, still short of the record september of 1993 when the month saw 905 mms.

Incidentally, 2011 had the Longest Monsoon Season for Mumbai, when the Monsoon withdrew on 24th October, after lasting 141 days !

Rohit Aroskar said...

Cool day conditions at Mumbai today..24 c temp during afternoon..with intermittent heavy showers and very dark

Vinod Desai said...

Rains continue since morning moderate heavy at times.
September months average rain in a day and half.

Unknown said...

@sset : you bombard this blog with irrelevant, and fictional statistics. And then frequently you keep referring to Kea blog. I also visit that blog regularly but I don't see you posting similar comments there. Or if so, could you tell us under what name do you do so ? According to me, you would be thrown out of that blog if you try such comments there. I made this statement to you last year too. But you do not seem to be heeding good advice. So I again request you to try to posting these comments there and maybe let Vagaries be enjoyed by genuine monsoon lovers without biased comparison.

Suresh

Unknown said...

@sset - And please have the basic protocol to atleast enter your name rather than hiding behind an anonymous series of alphabets. That is the least you can do to respect Vagaries and a request made by Rajesh to you multiple times.

Suresh

sset said...

Navi Mumbai no respite water falls like rain falling down.....

Rohit Aroskar said...

Scz max 25 c / 54 mms ; Clb max 24.8 c / 69 mms

sset said...

Atlast rain has calmed down - unbelievable September - rumbling of rain, noise of water, no sun... hope rain leaves forever - next BB12 is waiting? Hope it fades over MP monsoon withdraws soon allowing NEM to set over SE India...

VISHWAS said...

Now everywhere is fog.(santacruz)

Abhijit Modak said...

Matheran 362mm today, with this crosses 500cm seasonal mark as 5130 mms till today

himashankar 187mm today, with this crosses 500cm seasonal mark as 5006 mms till today

Abhijit Modak said...

Badlapur max temp 23.6°C today, so an coolest day of 2017 so far !

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