Monday, January 02, 2017

Posted 2nd January:

1.Western Disturbance J-1 moves into Northern Regions of Pakistan and into Kashmir and H.P. on 3rd January. Persisting with rains/snow in these regions till 4th.
3rd January also sees some isolated rainfall in Jharkhand (UAC).

2. J-2, a stronger Western Disturbance, moves into te Northern regions of Pakistan on 5th. Rains and snow in North Pakistan and in Pak Punjab on 5th and 6th January.
J-2 moves into Kashmir, H.P, Punjab and Haryana on 6th January. Delhi NCR can see the first rains on Friday 6th and 7th January (Cold day).

3. On 4th January, Low forms in the Bay East of Sri Lanka, around 92E. Becomes Well Marked by 6th, and moves North initially. Can track NE later.

3 comments:

Zohair said...

Great, we are still having much above normal winters temp

Nilay Wankawala said...

This morning mumbai borivali west felt cool breeze first time early morning

Nilay Wankawala said...

Credit Australiangovernment Bureau of meteorology

Latest ENSO Wrap-Up issued 3 January 2017

The latest ENSO Wrap-Up and Climate Model Summary are now available on the Bureau's website.

El Niño–Southern Oscillation remains neutral
The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral—neither El Niño nor La Niña. All but one of the climate models surveyed by the Bureau indicate neutral conditions are likely to persist until at least early in the southern autumn. When ENSO is neutral, weather patterns over the Pacific region are typically close to normal. This means there is a lower likelihood that eastern Australia's climate will be considerably wetter or drier than normal.

Although almost all ENSO indicators are firmly within their neutral range, cloud and rainfall patterns continue to show some weak La Niña-like characteristics. However, the central tropical Pacific Ocean has warmed in recent weeks, and further warming is expected in the coming months, suggesting cloud patterns are likely to return to normal during the southern summer. Similarly, warm waters in the eastern Indian Ocean have cooled considerably in recent weeks, with the onset of the southern monsoon, and hence cloud patterns have eased closer to normal.

The Indian Ocean Dipole has little influence on Australian climate during the months of December to April.

Next update expected on 17 January 2017