Forecast and Outlook of Major events for November:
An effective W.D. around 20th. November will bring rain and snow to the Kashmir, H.P. and Utteranchal mountains.The plains of Punjab and Haryana could also get some rainfall with the coming of the W.D. Delhi could get its first winter rains from the W.D. after the 20th.
Temperature wise, normally the night temperatures drop at a faster rate in November, and the diurnal range is almost 15c.or more. After the middle of the month, the days will get cooler, and
The mean minimums in
Around the 2nd of November, a low forms in the
Its precipitation effect will be maximum in Kerala and S.Coastal Karnataka.
Chances of another low pressure system forming in the
Gujarat and coastal Maharashtra have heated up abnormally in October, touching alsmot 40c in
Estimating the nights to go to the 15c region in interior Mah during the 1st week, and nights dropping in
Mumbai's cooling now depends on the systems forming in the
Vagaries' October forecast had estimated a "moderate to average NEM" after the setting phase.
NEM will continue to depend on "in situ" systems forming in the Bay. It seems a depression is likely to form in the
It should be borne in mind, that the MJO phase becomes weak after the 20th in the
Western and Central regions of
Northern regions of
Coastal Sindh will get cloudy weather and rains for a couple of days around the 1st and 2nd, as AS-2 spreads its clouds towards the region. We will wait and watch, and track the movements of another low in the
These estimates are my personal views, and should not be depended upon for commercial uses. Reader's views and suggestions most welcome.