Co Authors: GSB, Shreyas Dhavale, Pradeep John, Dr. Vineet Singh, Gokul

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

After the coldest day in the plains with a maximum at 10.6c on Wednesday 20th, Amritsar may see a low of 2/3c on Thursday morning. In fact Punjab (India & Pak) will see very cold conditions on Wed night recording temperatures around 1-3c in many places. Thick fog on Thursday in both Punjabs. 
Delhi NCR may record 2-4c on Thursday morning...

On Wednesday between 8.30 am -2.30 pm, Puri (Odisha) measured 117 mms of torrential rains.

(SCROLL DOWN FOR INDIA MAP)
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WEST MAHARASHTRA (INCLUDING MUMBAI) GETS COLD AND DRY .. 20 JAN 2016 

MUMBAI SCZ : 28.4 c(max) / 12.6 c (min) 

BADLAPUR : 27.1  c(max)  / 9.6 c (min) .. [Vagarian Abhijit's private reading]

COLDEST minimum temp IN MAHARASHTRA STATE : NASHIK min @ 5.8 c / max @ 26 c 

MAHARASHTRA MAP ..20 JAN 2016 (MAX/MIN TEMP IN C)
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INDIA ..20 JAN 2016 (MAX/MIN TEMP IN C)

Sunday, January 17, 2016

Posted Tuesday Night:

Cold days in M.P. Day Temps on Tuesday: Guna 15.2c,  Khajuraho 15.8c, Satna and Sagar 16.1c, Bhopal 18.7c.
Light rains in Jharkhand.

Rain regions withdraw from M.P. on Wednesday, moving East into W.Bengal, Odisha and NE States.
A.P. and interior Karnataka may get showers on Wednesday. Cool day in Bangalore at around 23/24c.
Kolkata can expect showers on Wednesday..around 15-20 mms expected and around 25c in the day.

Due to inflow of moisture (to the UAC over Central India), rains occurred in Karnataka and Telengana as expected. Light rains and cold day in Hyderabad. Around 22c.

An extra flow of moisture towards the periphery of the Upper trough, brought unexpected rains to Karachi early Tuesday. 3 mms were recorded.
See Report in Vagaries Pakistan

Thursday, January 14, 2016

Posted Monday,18th Night:
Bhopal had 21 mms of rain in the day on Monday..Along with rains in many places, Cold day in most M.P. on Monday 18th, with Satna seeing a high of 17.3c, Jabalpur & Gwalior 20.0c, and Khajuraho 18.6c.
Rains and Hail expected on 19th in M.P, Chattisgarh, Jharkhand, East Vidharbh, Telengana (Hyderabad) and Interior Karnataka (Bangalore).

Gurgaon (NCR) saw a low of 3.2c and Meerut 2.8c.
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See Rohit's Page for Mumbai Surroundings ...17th Jan 2016

Posted 14th Jan Night:
Thursday 14th: Day Temperatures dip in Punjab....Ludhiana saw a high of 12.4c, Patiala and Ambala 15c and Amritsar was 15.7c as the maximum.
Delhi centres recorded 19c in the day. The first day in the season to fall below 20c !
In the Mountains, Srinagar was at 7.6c in the day, Simla saw a high of 9.9c on Thursday.
In the East, Cherrapunji was at 16.2c as the high at low was 5c..(no rains).
Pakistan: Muree saw a high of 8.5c, Lahore was 15.5c, while Islamabad was at 18.0c.

This comes as a relief to Northern India. Most of the Northern regions have been experiencing warm weather. After Christmas, the peak winter period, the days started getting warmer....the temperatures are above normal from 2c to 7c. 


In Kumaon, which is getting unusually warm temperatures, the fruit trees have started flowering, almost 45 days in advance. 
Day temp Anomaly from 13th Dec 2015-13th Jan 2016.

The Uttarakhand and H.P. regions along with the Northern plains are also very dry with very little precipitation. Some hill stations and regions in Uttarakhand have not even received the first snowfall yet.
Precipitation anomaly ( % of normal Rains) from 13th December 2015- 13th Jan 2016.

Monday, January 11, 2016

Wither Global Warming ?

2015 v/s 2014....Antarctic Sea Ice Extent


2014

2015 

In 2015, sea ice coverage was greater than average around the Antarctic Peninsula, the Weddell Sea, and the Wilkes Land coast, according to an analysis by the National Snow & Ice Data Center. The Ross Sea and the Indian Ocean-facing coast had below average sea ice.
2015: 18.83 million square kilometers (7.27 million square miles).Maximum on 6th October. 
2014: The second image shows the annual maximum on September 20, 2014, a record-high extent of 20.14 million square kilometers (7.78 million square miles). 

Scientists think the strong El Niño could have had an effect on Antarctic sea ice in 2015. El Niño causes higher sea level pressure, warmer air temperature, and warmer sea surface temperature in the seas off west Antarctica—all of which affect the sea ice distribution.

“After three record-high extent years, this year marks a return toward normalcy for Antarctic sea ice,” said Walt Meier, a sea ice scientist at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center.
Sea ice atop the Southern Ocean around Antarctica reached its annual maximum extent on October 6, 2015. The extent was less than the previous three years, which brought consecutive years of new record highs.

 From NASA Earth Observatory.

Some more Interesting Readings and Weather Phenomena...




Sunday, January 10, 2016

Posted Sunday Night 9 pm IST:
The night temperatures have started dropping as noted in Thursday's Post:

Mumbai Santa Cruz which saw 16c on Sunday morning, will see a further fall Monday morning, with Mumbai Colaba heading for a fall after 20c on Sunday morning. Pune which was 10.9c on Sunday morning will see a further drop.
Delhi was 8,8c on Sunday morning, and seeing more cold Monday morning.
Srinagar, as expected was -3.8c on Sunday morning, Gulmarg -9c and Leh plummeting to -15c. 
In H.P, Keylong recorded -11c.
Surat, reached 15c on Sunday morning.....

Let's see the next 12 hrs now...
TOP 10 STATIONS OF KERALA ABOVE NORMAL
(from 1-10-2015 to 6-1-2016)
ERNAKULAM 857.9 491.8 74
KANNUR 527.4 345.2 53
PATHANAMTHITTA 957 628.1 52
THIRUVANANTHAPURAM 790.9 526.5 50
KOTTAYAM 722.1 538.6 34
KOZHIKODE 558.7 422.6 32
MALAPPURAM 558.4 448.4 25
KASARAGOD 407.2 338.1 20
ALAPPUZHA 686 576.6 19
KOLLAM 759.2 642.5 18
SOURCE  IMD CHENNAI
TOP 20 STATIONS OF KARNATAKA (DESCENDING ORDER)
(from 1-10-2015 to 6-1-2016)
STATION ACTUAL NORMAL %DEP
KOLAR 481 229 110
CHIKABALLAPURA 410 226 81
TUMAKURU 317 207 53
BENGALURU URBAN 342 232 47
MANDYA 296 214 38
CHAMARAJANAGAR 319 245 30
UDUPI 410 317 29
DAKSHINA KANNADA 402 335 20
BENGALURU RURAL 273 242 13
RAMANAGARA 274 244 12
CHITRADURGA 176 159 11
MYSURU 231 214 8
CHIKKAMAGALURU 256 238 8
HASSAN 213 222 -4
SHIVAMOGGA 170 190 -11
KODAGU 232 292 -21
UTTARA KANNADA 162 210 -23
DAVANGERE 132 177 -25
HAVERI 116 170 -32
DHARWAD 105 167 -37
SOURCE  IMD CHENNAI

FINAL MONSOON REPORT 2026

X-axis represents years with monsoon rainfall, lowest of 697.4mm in 1972 (extreme left) to the highest of 1124.2 mm in 1917 (extreme right)....