1st Official Title by Vagaries...well deserving to Vineet Singh for his sincere and deep research
*"Cyclone Man of Vagaries "*
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5th December
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Estimated correctly by Vagaries on 3othNovember and again 2nd December with correct wind speeds
2 comments:
Credit Australian government Bureau of metereology Issued 05 12 2023
Issued Tuesday 5 December 2023
The latest Climate Driver Update and Climate Model Summary are now available on our website.
El Niño continues; positive IOD likely past its peak
The long-range forecast for Australia indicates December to February rainfall is likely to be below median across much of northern and western Australia. Warmer days and nights are very likely for almost all of Australia.
El Niño continues in the tropical Pacific. Climate model forecasts indicate sea surface temperatures will remain above El Niño thresholds early into the second quarter of 2024.
The positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) event continues. All international climate models surveyed by the Bureau suggest the positive IOD is likely to ease in December.
The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) index is currently neutral, and likely to remain so for the next fortnight.
A moderate to strong Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) pulse is currently over the Maritime Continent. International climate models suggest it will move across the Maritime Continent and into the western Pacific over the coming fortnight.
Global warming continues to influence Australian and global climate.
Read the full report on our website. It includes the latest updates on climate drivers in the Pacific, Indian and Southern oceans, and the tropics.
More information
Media liaison (03) 9669 4057
Technical enquiries helpdesk.climate@bom.gov.au
Next update expected by 19 December 2023
Kudos Vineet! Truly happy to see a dedicated band coming up under Rajesh's guidance, whether it be Shreyas, Abhijeet, GSB or anybody else!
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