Saturday, January 19, 2019

Posted Saturday 19th Afternoon:

Western Disturbance J-4 will approach the the Northern Parts of the Sub Continent from 19th as mentioned. 
All regions of Pakistan are expected to get showers, with snow in the North on the 20th (Sunday)

Karachi will get moderate rains , maybe thunder on Sunday. Day temperatures expected to drop on Sunday. After Sunday, day and night will be cooler with the minimum dropping 3//5c .

North and Western India in for another cold spell...Gujarat will get colder too...
Kashmir/H.P. will get rain/snow this Sunday 20th thru Tuesday 22nd.. Wintry rains are likely in Punjab, Haryana, North Rajasthan , parts of Kutch,, parts of M.P, West U.P. and Uttarakhand.

New Delhi will get rains on Monday and Tuesday. Rains could linger on for another day on Wednesday. Cooler weather next week, with the day around 16/17c on Wednesday.

Mumbai expecting another cold spell next week...

Mumbai: Temperatures start dropping from Monday 21st. 
Tuesday  22nd/Wednesday 23rd expected to be cooler in the day, around 28/29c, and nights around 13/14c.

Pune also expected to cool from Monday. On Tuesday and Wednesday, we may see the day dropping below 29c again, and nights around 9/10c.


NilaY Wankawala said...

Wonderful sir to keep us updated

shiekhz said...

Great to hear the karachi in for rains ;) thnx sir rajesh

sset said...

North is enjoying rains due to Western Disturbances....
South East India is facing horrible drought - north east monsoon failure.

WD are no good for NEM progress... NEM has ended .. but actually when did this start? - Non-existent monsoon.

NilaY Wankawala said...

Credit Australian government bureau of meteorology ENSO wrap up

Issued 22 January 2019

The latest ENSO Wrap-Up and Climate Model Summary are now available on the Bureau's website.

ENSO Outlook lowered to El Niño WATCH

ENSO Outlook
Our ENSO Outlook provides
up-to-date information on the likelihood of an El Niño or La Niña developing.

ENSO Outlook dial showing El Niño WATCH status
Current status: El Niño WATCH

Recent observations and climate model outlooks suggest the immediate risk of El Niño has passed.

However, there remains an increased likelihood that El Niño will develop later in 2019. The Bureau's ENSO Outlook has therefore moved to El Niño WATCH, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of El Niño developing during the southern hemisphere autumn or winter.

Tropical Pacific sea surface and sub-surface temperatures remain warmer than average, but since late 2018 they have cooled from El Niño-like values towards ENSO-neutral values. Atmospheric indicators such as cloudiness, trade winds and the Southern Oscillation Index all continue to generally remain within the ENSO-neutral range.

While most climate models indicate ENSO-neutral conditions for the immediate future, the current ocean warmth and likelihood of ongoing warmer than average conditions mean the risk of El Niño remains. Three of eight models suggest that El Niño may establish by mid-2019.

The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is neutral. The IOD typically has little influence on Australian climate from December to April.

More information

Media enquiries: (03) 9669 4057

Next update expected on 5 February 2019

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