Monday, March 27, 2017

Heatwave Conditions Grips in West & Central India



On this auspicious occasion of Gudi Padwa, May you be endowed with happiness, prosperity and success. Happy Gudi Padwa & Best wishes for the New Year to all Vagarians  !


With widespread High pressure area sitting stationery over Saurashtra on 500 hPa wind level chart as we can see in above image so under it's influence hot N/NW breeze prevailing on surface level over West & Central India and thus witnessing first heat wave spell of year 2017 !


Today's top 20 hottest centers of India below dated (27-03-2017) :

1.Barmer (Raj) 44.4 °C
2.Deesa (GJ) 43.4 °C
3.Surendranagar (GJ) 43.3 °C
4.Gandhinagar (Guj) 43.2 °C
5.Akola (MH) 43.0 °C
6.Amreli (GJ) 43.0 °C
7.Chandrapur (MH) 43.0 °C
8.Ahmadabad (GJ) 42.8 °C
9.Baroda Aerodrome (GJ) 42.7 °C
10.Khargone (MP) 42.6 °C
11.Jaisalmer (RJ) 42.3 °C
12.Malegaon (MH) 42.2 °C
13.Bhuj (GJ) 42.0 °C
14.Jalgaon (MH) 42.0 °C
15.Nanded (MH) 42.0 °C
16.Anantapur (AP) 42.0 °C
17.Rajkot (GJ) 41.9 °C
18.Parbhani (MH) 41.8 °C
19.Adilabad (Tel) 41.6 °C
20.Ratlam (MP) 41.6 °C

Overall 71 places have recorded above 40°C temp today.



Aurangabad 40.5°C
Nashik 40.3°C
(Both missed all time highest max temp record of March month by 0.2°C but hottest in last 10 years !)

Pune (AP) 41°C 
Pune 39.7°C (which is hottest temp for March month in last 10 years).



As HPA is near of N.Konkan so Interior Konkan is also witnessing heat wave conditions from past 3 days !!

Official IMD Mumbai max temp reading was Santacruz 38.4°C & Colaba 33.4°C for today on 27 March 2017.


We Vagarains are monitoring temperature privately(so +-1c error may be applicable)  

Thane to Badlapur/Karjat belt is recording 40C or above mark temp for 3rd consecutive day today !! And today recorded highest max temp in Thane-Karjat belt since we are tracking temp privately as part of self recording as an weather enthusiast !!

Vagarian Puneet reports from Dombivli that never seen such severe and intense long lasting heat in my entire life. Today is one of the remarkable day for Interior Konkan , Dombivli recorded max temp of 43.3°C with 27% humidity. #ExtremeWeather




Vagarian Ameya Swar reported Thane max as 43.1°C today.



Myself from Badlapur reporting that for the first time my device has clocked 42+ since I tracking temps from 2012 🔥😱 Record breaking Heatwave. #Summer2017 #sunburning#heatwave


Badlapur max temp 42.8°C with 11% humidity today. 

Vagarian Tejas Baxi reported Borivali max 38.8°C today.

Vagarian Salil Kawli reported Dadar max 34.1°C today.


19 comments:

Nilay Wankawala said...

Credit Australian Government Bureau of Metereology

Latest ENSO Wrap-Up issued 28 March 2017

The latest ENSO Wrap-Up and Climate Model Summary are now available on the Bureau's website.

El Niño WATCH remains

The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral. However, the Bureau's ENSO Outlook status is at El Niño WATCH, indicating around a 50% chance of El Niño developing in 2017.

Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean have steadily warmed since the start of the year. In waters near the South American coastline, some areas are now at least 3 °C above average. However, all indicators of ENSO remain within neutral levels. In the atmosphere, recent fluctuations in the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) can be attributed to movements in the monsoon trough associated with severe tropical cyclone Debbie, and are not indicative of ENSO.

All international models surveyed by the Bureau suggest that the current steady warming of the tropical Pacific Ocean is likely to continue in the coming months. Seven of eight models indicate that sea surface temperatures will exceed El Niño thresholds during the second half of 2017. However, some caution should be exercised as models have lower accuracy at this time of year.

El Niño is often, but not always, associated with below average winter–spring rainfall over eastern Australia and warmer than average winter–spring maximum temperatures over the southern half of Australia.

The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has little influence on Australia from December to April. Current outlooks suggest a neutral IOD is likely to remain at least through to the end of winter.

Next update expected on 11 April 2017.

Nilay Wankawala said...

Nice & Fast update on heatwave Abhijit

Rajesh Kumar said...

Waiting for Rajesh sir's Monsoon Watch-I , as this parameter looks good at least.

Cumulus Arjun said...

Thane - 43 C
Navi Mumbai - 39c

Cumulus Arjun said...

Few hazy clouds here and there. Is is beginning of premonsoon activity?

Cumulus Arjun said...

Skymet predicting below normal monsoon while the well experienced and more accurate IMD predicts normal monsoon for India this year.

sset said...

It is normal for Mumbai/konkan at times to hit 40s for couple of days during March.
Usually greatest heights to hit early is from AP - Anantapur/Rayaseema - this year 2017 it was from RAJ/GUJ, which normally hit highs in April this time it was bit early. But from Vagaries Monsoon parameters it is good sign - heating of subcontinent results in good pull - seasonal low. But what is in store for south India - back to drought 2017?

Vinod Desai said...

Cool breeze now here with clouds.
Al nino could benefit NE monsoon this year.

Cumulus Arjun said...

Partly cloudy here in mumbai

parshuram shinde said...

Low mid clouds over mumbai with wind.

Nilay Wankawala said...

CREDIT IISD / SDG knowledge Hub ( A project by IISD) BY JENNIFER ALLAN
Thematic Expert for Climate Change and Sustainable Energy (Canada)28 March 2017

World Meteorological Day Celebrates Clouds, Hears Warnings of State of Climate

23 March 2017: The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) celebrated World Meteorological Day with two reports with diverging outlooks. The revised International Cloud Atlas includes hundreds of cloud images and targets scientists and enthusiasts. The WMO also issued a warning to the UN about the state of the global climate.

The 2017 edition of the World Meteorological Day was celebrated under the theme ‘Understanding Clouds’ aptly coming at a time when clouds are considered an integral, but poorly understood, factor in the global climate. WMO stressed the crucial role of clouds in the water cycle and shaping the global distribution of water resources, and therefore linked to SDG 6 (clean water).

To mark the Day, WMO launched a new edition of the ‘International Cloud Atlas,’ an authoritative resource for identifying clouds. It features hundreds of images of clouds, for poets and daydreamers, but also navigators and researchers, including a few newly classified cloud types. The Atlas also includes other meteorological phenomena such as rainbows, halos, snow devils and hailstones. For the first time, it is available digitally, bringing 21st century technology to a 19th century tradition of cataloging and mapping the clouds.

Another authoritative statement issued to the UN had a much darker outlook. WMO presented its annual statement on the State of the Global Climate to UN Member States and climate experts at a high-level action event on Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda taking place in New York, US. It confirms 2016 as the warmest year on record – 1.1°C above the pre-industrial period and 0.06°C above the previous record set in 2015. According to WMO, the warming trend can be attributed to the powerful 2015/2016 El Niño event coupled with long-term climate change caused by greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.

Globally, average sea surface temperatures were the warmest on record, leading to coral bleaching and mortality in many tropical waters. The statement also notes important impacts on marine food chains, ecosystems and fisheries due to the warmer temperatures in the seas. This finding underscores the interconnected facets of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). While the statement speaks directly to efforts to address climate change and its impacts (SDG 13), the rise in global sea surface temperatures can diminish efforts to realize SDG 14 (life below water) and food security, which relates to SDG 2 (zero hunger).
Other trends point in equally dire directions, according to the statement. The extent of Arctic sea ice was well below the average for most of 2016. Globally, sea ice extent dropped more than four million square kilometers below average in November, in what the report calls an “unprecedented anomaly” for that month. Global sea levels rose to new record highs, particularly in early 2016.

The statement includes “noteworthy” extreme events in 2016, from severe droughts in southern and eastern African and Central America, to Hurricane Matthew, and heavy rains and floods in eastern and southern Asia. In the aftermath of these storms, was food insecurity, economic losses and widespread suffering, according to the statement.

WMO has issued statements on the State of the Global Climate as an authoritative reference for over 20 years. The statements are based on multiple international datasets that are independently maintained by global climate analysis centres. The statements also use information submitted by dozens of WMO Members National Meteorological and Hydrological Services and Research Institutes. For the first time, the report includes economic and social impacts, with information for these impacts derived in partnership with other UN organizations.

sset said...

IMD says AP will hit all time highs warning - 47c !
This will be disastrous for southern India - 2-3 years of drought, cauvery dry, dams dry, no fodder for cattle, no good for farmers. Heat is no good.

Vijay Anand said...

sset [satish shetty] any comments on latur and vidarba.....

Vijay Anand said...

SSET : SATISH SHETTY :

In the last two years back-to-back droughts have ravaged the cane crop in Maharashtra, the country's top sugar producer.

http://www.newindianexpress.com/business/2017/jan/05/indias-sugar-production-to-drop-by-43--in-2016-2017-sources-1556458.html

Cumulus Arjun said...

Cloudy in Mumbai.

Abhijit said...

Badlapur got first light drizzle of 2017 from low sea clouds today morning.

Nilay Wankawala said...

Credit Zee News

Heatwave in India: IMD trains states as temperatures soar above normal
By Zee Media Bureau | Last Updated: Thursday, March 30, 2017 - 11:56

Heatwave in India: IMD trains states as temperatures soar above normal

New Delhi: In wake of the country facing a structural shift in weather, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) is training state governments to improve their preparedness measures to deal with the persistent heatwaves.

Currently, some states across India are reeling under sweltering heat, with some cities recording temperatures above normal during this time of the year.

On Tuesday, Bhira town in Raigad district of Maharashtra recorded unusually high temperature of 46.5 degrees Celcius, more than 7 degrees Celsius above normal.

Heatwave across India: Bhira in Maharashtra records 46.5 degrees; IMD to verify readings

Akola, also in Maharashtra, recorded 44.1 degrees Celsius on Wednesday, whereas Barmer in Rajasthan recorded a high of 43.4 degrees Celsius. Narnaul in Haryana sizzled at 42 degrees Celsius, nine degrees above normal.

In Uttar Pradesh, the maximum temperature crossed 40 degree Celsius in Varanasi, Allahabad, Hamirpur and Agra.

The maximum temperature in Delhi on Wednesday settled at 38.2 degrees Celsius, six notches above the season's average.

In 2016, there were 1,111 deaths from heatwave conditions in the country.

According to IMD, temperatures across India have been rising on an average of 0.7 degrees every decade, with 2016 the hottest so far.

In face of large casualties from heatwave conditions and as the country braces for extreme heatwave – like the one that claimed over 2000 lives in 2015 - the IMD has tied up with state disaster management commissioners and health secretaries to formulate plans.

The National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA), on its part, has reportedly prepared a standard operating procedure template and a sequence of actions to be triggered during a severe heatwave.

Heatwave, typically occurs between March and June - and in some rare cases even extend till July - is a period of abnormally high temperatures, more than the normal maximum temperature.

When actual maximum temperature remains 45 degrees Celcius or more irrespective of normal maximum temperature, heat waves should be declared, as per the NDMA. When temperatures soar above 47 degrees Celsius, it is known as a severe heatwave.

The health impacts of heatwaves typically involve dehydration, heat cramps, heat exhaustion and/or heat stroke.

The IMD had predicted that several states may witness heatwave conditions and that the northwest region of the country would be the worst affected with temperatures of more than one degree Celsius above normal.

sset said...


http://bangaloremirror.indiatimes.com/bangalore/cover-story/Ghat-Busters-More-trees-being-chopped-in-Western-Ghats-many-tributaries-will-dry-up-experts-say/articleshow/57879437.cms

This is way Karnataka government - no concern for environment cutting trees - what happens to Cauvery?

Vijay Anand said...

SATISH SHETTY [SSET]

LOSS OF 2800 TREES LOOKS HORRIFYING [MUMBAI METRO PROJECT]

http://mumbaimirror.indiatimes.com/mumbai/cover-story/loss-of-2800-trees-looks-horrifying-but-the-net-environmental-impact-of-the-project-will-be-positive/articleshow/57503907.cms