High day temperatures of Wednesday, 30th May:
In Pakistan, Sibi touched 49.0c, Jacobabad touch 48.5c, While Multan sees 48.0c. Sukkur soared to 47c.
Islamabad saw an unusual high of 43c.
Wednesday,30th, in India, it was 47c at not only the usual places in Vid. like Brahmapuri reached 47.6c Chandrapur saw 47c and Wardha at 46.9c , Allahbad at 46..8c, Nagpur at 46.6c, Agra at 46.5c and c, but the 47c has crept into Punjab with Amritsar touching 47.0c and Hissar at 46.4c today.
The Rajasthan Desert is in the 45/46c range with Ganganagar reaching 47.4c and Churu 47.2c. Bikaner and Kota at 45.8c and Jaisalmer seeing 45.4c,along with Delhi ( S'Jung) also at 45.0c on Wednesday.
Nagpur's minimum bottomed at only 33.6c today.
Absence of a WD and strong dry Westerlies have pushed up the temperature levels in the region. Before another WD moves in, we can expect the
Rajasthan region to touch 48c and places in Punjab/Haryana soaring to 46/47c in the next 2 days. Delhi will remain in the 44/45c range till Saturday.
In Pakistan, Sindh region could touch 50c by Thursday/Friday, and Sukkur possibly reaching 48c.
From Monday, 4th, we can expect some relief, as SW winds start pushing thru the Sindh/Kutch coastline into the NW plains of the sub-continent. Moisture laden winds will sweep into the NW regions and bring much needed relief to the region, from Saturday.
Karachi could see some clouding and drizzle by the weekend.
Consequent to the formation of 92B, the Eastern States of Chattisgarh and Orissa got the much needed relief from the heat. Compared with last 8 days, Wednesday's highest was much lower at Titlagarh (44.5c) and Jharsuguda (44.3c). The hottest in the state was Malkangiri at 45c. Now these are lower than what the state has been seeing the last full week, 46/47c at several places.
92B, now B1, will move N/NE, and will be the depression that was forecasted by Vagaries to hit Bangladesh (see June Forecast on Current Page). B1 is currently at 17.7N and 91E. Expecting heavy rainfall in Coastal Bengal, and pulling up the SWM into the NE states.
Nepal will get some soothing rains as the system B1 moves inland/
A low AS-1, will form in the Arabian Sea around the 2nd of June around the 10N and 60E region. System, AS-1, is expected to move Northwards and deepen to some extent initially for a couple of days. By the 5th, it will weaken and fade out in the Sea out before hitting land.
Naturally, even a nominal system near the coast will "suck in" the Monsoon moisture, and weaken the SWM over Kerala. As the arrival of SWM coincides with the System, the monsoon will have an initial "resistance" to advance into Kerala, but move in it will. As it moves into Kerala by the 2nd/3rd of June, SWM could then suddenly weaken temporarily in Kerala, as the Arabian Sea low takes away all the moisture, and diverts the winds away.
If the low, even for 3 days after forming, moves North, it can always pull up a weak SWM along the Karnataka/Goa coast by the 4th of June, as per Vagaries' earlier forecast, and maybe into Mumbai by the 9th of June, a few days earlier than expected.
The SWM can, however, may be restricted to the coast, and interior Mah. and Karnataka could be almost dry till the winds get re-organised.
TN will remain devoid of the monsoon current till next week.
A deepening seasonal low in Sindh/Rajasthan at 994 mb in early June will draw moisture and clouds with strong SW winds into Saurashtra/Kutch and Coastal Sindh (East) regions, from Monday,4th June.
Later, some light rainfall and windy conditions could be expected along Saurashtra coast and Sindh (Pakistan) coast on 7th/8th.
Check Current Weather Page Regularly.