Exclusive Mumbai Weather Outlook will be published on Sunday, 20th May @ 10.30pm IST: On Mumbai Page.
A low likely to form in South Arabian Sea around the 19th of May. It will be probably in the 60E and 10N area. Due to the dominant High Pressure in the Northern Arabian Sea, the system will not gain much, and will track Westwards.
A low (B-2), gaining to depression strength, could form in the Bay. Initially, on the 23rd, it may hover around the Andaman Islands, and then intensify and move first Northwards. Later, it seems at this stage it would probably cross the Bangladesh/Myanmar coast as a depression, or a deep depression. Difficult at this stage to estimate the exact track and date.
Temperature Anomaly Last Week:
Weather Developments likely this week from Tuesday, 15th of May
M-3 precipitates rain over Northern Pakistan on Wednesdy/Thursday. Islamabad will get light rains on these days keeping the temperatures in the 35c-20c range.
Moves into Northern India on Thursday thru Saturday. Rainfall will be light in Punjab and Haryana and moderate in Kashmir and HP and Utteranchal.
M-3 will not move into Nepal but track NNE.
Expecting a drop in day temperatures by around 2c in Kutch and South Rajastan regions, and Balochistan and Coastal Sindh (Pakistan) on Thursday. Karachi to be around 34/35c ehile sukkur remains at 43c.
Tuesday/Wednesday and Thursday will see Moderate rains in Kerala and Coastal Karnataka. Decrease in rains in these states from Friday.
Heavy rains in NE states.
MW-6 will be published on 19th May.