In a follow up of the last blog (1st Aug)...
There it is ! The UAC from the Bay has determined its course, and entered inland, thru the Orissa coast. With good clouding in the eastern segment, our prediction is honoured.
Good rainfall today (Wednesday) is recorded in Vidarbh and Eastern M.P. Nagpur measuring 61 mms till today evening. Jabalpur in East M.P.saw 57 mms, and Gondia recorded 27 mms. Several stations in the region had 25-35 mms.
And, the UAC over Gujarat persists at 700 mb level.
Holding on to the forecast of some rains along the N.Konkan coast on Thursday, as the UAC moves westwards and weakens. Mumbai, you will recall, has been tipped off (Monday Blog) to get some rainfall Thursday/Friday.
The Monsoon trough should shift North on Friday. After Friday, I see the whole scene going "slow" on the rainfall front in the regions south of the axis, and additional rain north of it.
Seeing good rainfall increase in Nepal from Friday, but nothing meaningfull in Southern Pakistan.
See International Page for a detailed Report : Mark Vogan's Preliminary UK-Europe Winter Forecast 2011-2012