Posted 15th Thursday Night:

Mumbai: 

After the upcoming weekend temperatures around 34c in the day and a " pleasant " 20c at night, Mumbai all set to feel a drop in temperatures from Monday 19th.

Pleasant weather Mumbai style next week,  around 30c (days) and 17c (nights) can be expected. 

Later, After 25th, warmer weather ahead.. 

Pune: Current Temperatures will continue till Monday 19th. Next week expect a slight drop and cooler nights. 

North India: Fresh WD. this weekend:

After a week of dry days and  warmer nights, parts of North and Northwest India are set to welcome another Western Disturbance,  with wet weather yet again from this weekend onwards.

 Under its influence, light to moderate intensity rain/snow accompanied by thunderstorms and lightning, are expected across the Western Himalayan Region from Saturday to next Wednesday (Feb 17-21).

Places in Jammu-Kashmir, Ladakh, and Himachal Pradesh will also be in for heavy rain and/or snowfall  on Sunday (Feb 18).

Precipitation will also cover the northwestern plains—of Punjab, Chandigarh, Haryana, Delhi and West Uttar Pradesh— from Sunday to next Wednesday (Feb 18-21).

Delhi: Cloudy days, some rain, thunderstorms, lightning, and strong winds are coming back, making it feel a bit like winter again.The cold will slightly return, with temperatures dropping at night, before it gets warmer again.

Strong winds to bring back some winter feel  until February ends.

 

Ashok Patel’s  (GujaratWeather.com) Analysis & Commentary : On Latest ENSO Status...on World Weather News Page

 13th Evening Posting:

Overall March 

Max Temperature Estimate (IITM)👇 Above Normal

March Rainfall Estimate (IITM) : 👇

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Mumbai: 

Currently temperatures at 32c - 17c.

Expected:14th - 19th : Slight warming in the coming days with days around 34/35c,- 20c

19th - 21st: Drop 30c - 18c

Interior towns ( Panvel, Karjat, Navi Mumbai, Badlapur) may touch 38 or more next few days.

Pune :

Current Temperatures : 34c - 12c

14th - 19th: Slightly warmer nights: 33c- 14c 

19th - 21st: Better at 31c - 12c.

Gujarat:

Partly cloudy weather in Kutch on 14th. Very light drizzles on South Gujarat. 

Dry and  getting warmer.

Bharuch: Getting warmer during the week, as temperatures rise to 33/34c.

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Climate Change and Warning Models and Observations... Worth thinking over on the facts..on " Climatology Data Page " of this Blog.

12th February 2024:

East M.P. & Vidarbha rainfall Today 

Strong W.D Effect in Middle East:

12th Satellite Image👇

Rain in UAE: Hail in Abu Dhabi, heavy rain, thunder, and lightning in parts of Dubai, Ras Al Khaimah, and Fujairah

Rainfall last 24 hrs:

U.A.E.

1Dubai International Airport (United Arab Emirates)41.0 mm

2Sharjah International Airport (United Arab Emirates)28.2 mm

Oman:

1Sohar Majis (Oman) 76.8 mm76.8 mm

2Buraimi (Oman) 61.4 mm61.4 mm

3Marmul (Oman) 55.0 mm55.0 mm

4Sunaynah (Oman)21.8 mm

5Al Amerat (Oman)21.4 mm

6Sur (Oman)19.0 mm

7Nizwa (Oman)17.2 mm

8Qumaira (Oman)12.2 mm

9Seeb, International Airport (Oman)11.0 mm

10Jabal Shams (Oman)7.4 mm

 Long, But Must Read the New Article on .."Climate Change and Warning Models and Observations"..By Roy Spencer , Former Scientist NASA

Worth thinking over on the facts..on " Climatology Data Page " of this Blog.

Meteorologist and Journalists, please read this article.

"Believe it or not, very little research has ever been funded to search for natural mechanisms of warming…it has simply been assumed that global warming is manmade. This assumption is rather easy for scientists since we do not have enough accurate global data for a long enough period of time to see whether there are natural warming mechanisms at work.

It is simply what the climate system does. This is actually quite easy for meteorologists to believe, since we understand how complex weather processes are." ...Spencer.

Cold Wave Continues To Persist In North India, Widespread Snowfall Witne...

8th February Posting 

Rain, cooler temperatures in Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh: 9th- 12th February:

This is the position of the very meagre rainfall in Vidharbh this year...from January. 👇

Maharashtra and Chhattisgarh have recorded less than 1 mm of rain this month. Madhya Pradesh fared slightly better with 1.5 mm accumulated between Feb 1-7.

But, some positive news on the cards.

From 12th -15th, fairly good rains are expected in Vidharbh and East M.P.

Even parts of Marathwada can expect showers. 

Rainfall Expected on 12/13th February ( NCMRWF)👇