Sunday, May 27, 2018

Posted 27th May ...Evening:

The Low AS-3 has formed off the Karnatak/Kerala coast, as estimated in our 24th post. The Low is embedded in the off shore trough, and is not expected to strengthen much, but only strengthen the trough. 
SST have dropped off the Somalia coast ..with the latest around 22c after "Mekunu"


The South West Monsoon Northern Limit as on 27th May is seen in map below:


Monsoon will advance into Sri Lanka  by 29th May. Likely to move into South Kerala coast by 1st June. 

Mumbai will be partly cloudy . Light pre monsoon drizzles expected in some parts on 29th and 30th May. Colaba night temperatures will be around 29c ! Possibility of nearing record all time high minimum. (30.2c on 10th June 2016..http://vagariesmum.blogspot.in/). 
Water levels o Lakes (supplying water to Mumbai ) will be put up on 1st June.
Pune: Warm/Hot, Partly cloudy and very windy.
New Delhi: Hot, very hot day around 44-46c. But relief as a thunder storm can lash the capital on 30th May.
Kolkata: Hot and humid around 38c...but again, thunder shower likely on 29th/30th to cool down the city.

Highest temperatures of Arabia and Sub Continent on 27th May...

1      Makkah (Saudi Arabia) 47.8°C
2 Bundi (India)                 47.6°C
3 Churu (India)                 47.5°C
4 Jacobabad (Pakistan) 47.5°C
5 Nawabshah (Pakistan) 47.5°C

North India Heat 27th May...Depicted by Navdeep Dahiya:

Gujarat: On Sunday 27th May, Kandla AP touched 46.3c. Gandinagar recorded 30.5c as the minimum.

3 comments:

shiekhz said...

Sir i tried to make a forecast for sindh

Vinod Desai said...

When will mumbai get rains.

Dattaraj Joshi said...

IMD declared monsoon set into Kerala on 29-May-2018, 3 days ahead of schedule.

'grazing  ' as described by vagaries