Co Authors: GSB, Shreyas Dhavale, Pradeep John, Dr. Vineet Singh, Gokul

Thursday, December 05, 2019

Posted 5th December morning :

5th official (IMD) cyclone in the Arabian Sea, equals the 1902 record for maximum number of cyclones ever recorded in a year in AS.

Mumbai got its share of some rains on Thursday morning as expected..
Vagaries mentioned on 2nd the system AS 6 will "meet with stiff resistance in many parameters" and not to "expect much". System is weak now and weakening and moving away.

Mumbai/Pune : cloudy in the day and clearing later. AS 6 has moved away.. Let's look forward to winter temperatures now.

A trough in the Comorin region will result in a low in the Southern Arabian Sea area by Saturday. Will deepen.
Don't look with any chances in our seas... Will track SW. 

Wednesday, December 04, 2019

Posted Wednesday morning :



Again, for the 2nd time this year, 2 deep depressions simultaneously in the Arabian Sea.
Wednesday morning scene





AS 6 likely to track NW and move away from the Indian coast.
Chances of some rain from the "outer bands" along Konkan.
Chance of rain in Mumbai on Wednesday /early Thursday.

Pune cloudy ⛅ and cool next 2 days.

AS 5 likely to become a cyclone and track towards Somalia. 

Monday, December 02, 2019

Posted Monday evening 2nd

AS 6 located off kerala coast at 9N.
As mentioned and explained in earlier post on Sunday.,system is meeting with resistance in several parameters. SST is 27c, and shear and convection structure not positive. Loose wrapping in centre.estmated 1010 mb.

Expected to track NW and go to "well marked" stage.
Not much expected subsequently.

Mumbai : cloudy ⛅ on Tuesday with light rain overnight on Wednesday. Hot.. Waiting for winter as AS6  moves away.

Pune : cloudy ⛅ with light rains on Tuesday. Warm temperatures. Again, waiting for winter.

Goa : cloudy with showers on Tuesday and Wednesday.
No effect other than coastal Karnataka, Goa, Konkan and madhya Maharashtra. 

Sunday, December 01, 2019

Posted Sunday evening

Chennai received good ☔ rainfall on the weekend as mentioned earlier.
Meena recorded 70 mms till Sunday morning on Saturday and another 42 mms on Sunday till evening.
Nunga recorded 59 mms on Saturday and another 18 mms on Sunday till evening.

Posted 1st December morning

Seeing the low development in the South East Arabian Sea, all attention again on the Arabian Sea sector.

The low will meet with some ridge, low humidity ( dry air), and shear resistance to track absolutely North.
We can expect a NORTH WEST track
.
Rains expected in Lakshdweep and Kerala now. Immediate rains there for 2 days.
Hence as of now, track prevailing, rains will lessen on west coast.
Light rain or showers in South Madhya Mah including Pune on Tuesday /Wednesday.
Cloudy over Mumbai on Tuesday /Wednesday.
A weak WD over N. India Hills from 2nd. 

Wednesday, November 27, 2019

Posted Friday 29th Morning:

FIRST SNOWFALL OF THE SEASOn in SHIMLA

 snow has been recorded in Badrinath, Kedarnath and Rohtang Pass with Shimla observing the first snowfall of this season during the last 24 hours.


Posted Thursday 28th Morning:

Srinagar and higher reaches of Kashmir received snowfall, while rain lashed other parts of Jammu and Kashmir on Wednesday. Snowfall also occurred in some parts of Ladakh.

In Uttarakhand, higher reaches of the mountains in both Kumaon and Garhwal regions of the state including Badrinath, Kedarnath, Gangotri, Yamunotri, Auli, Hemkund Sahib and Munsyari received heavy snowfall

Many parts of Kinnaur received around 10 inches of snowfall.
 32 cm snowfall was recorded in Kalpa till 8.30 am on Wednesday and the minimum temperature dropped to minus 1.6 degrees Celsius.
Lauhal Spiti

With this, most areas in Haryana and Punjab recorded "satisfactory" or "good" air quality, the first time in the last two months.(See Latest Snippets)
Delhi rains


Posted 27th Evening:

A low is expected to form in the South Arabian Sea on 30th November . Location is at around 5N and 57E. It will mostly track Westwards or even South Westwards.and deepen.
Due to this track, Not likely to have any effect on India's West coast.

Current WD is having good precipitation effect on the plains and hills of North/North/west India.
Patiala 50 mms, Ambala 32 mms, Chandigarh 15 mms, Bhatinda 12 mms.

Effect of precipitation will last till Thursday , and then clear weather.
New Delhi will have some showers and hail on 27th and 28th. Clear weather from Friday. Night temperatures expected to fall from Saturday to 10-12c . Foggy mornings on Friday/Saturday.

Mumbai: 28th Thursday/29th Friday /30th Saturday/1st Sunday: Warm day around 33/34c as E/SE winds continue for next 4 days. Hazy conditions. Minimum at night around 20/21c.

Pune: Next few days around 29c -14/15c range.

Chennai: An approaching Easterly Wave will bring good rains to this weekend.
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A picture worth Sharing:

It is a photograph of a gigantic jet as observed by pilot Chris Holmes as he traveled at 35,000 ft over the Gulf of Mexico near the Yucatan Peninsula. He noticed the big thunderstorm (or cumulonimbus cloud) producing lots of lightning with sprites and jets. 

Rare gigantic jet snapped, this time over the gulf of Mexico - plus a 'pancake' sunset in N. California

credit Spaceweather.com

Monday, November 25, 2019

Posted 25th November

The Cold....

Leh shivers at minus 6.3 degrees Celsius;

The high altitudes of the Union Territories of Jammu and Kashmir, and Ladakh including Gulmarg experienced fresh snowfall, while the plains were lashed by light to moderate rains between November 21 and 23.

Besides Leh, he said the nearby Kargil town and the famous ski resort of Gulmarg in north Kashmir also recorded sub-zero night temperatures of -3.8c and -1.3c, respectively.
The high altitudes of the Union Territories of Jammu and Kashmir, and Ladakh including Gulmarg experienced a fresh snowfall, while the plains were lashed by light to moderate rains between November 21 and 23.
Minimum Temperatures start to fall in Maharashtra...The lows on 25th Morning:
Ahmednagar 12.5c, Osmanabad 12.8c, Nasik 14.0c, Mahableshwar 14.5c, Pune 14.6c, Mumbai Scruz 22.2c, 
Jabalpur was 14.0c.
And...The Heat.

Australia is battling through its ‘most significant‘ heatwave for 80 years that has seen temperatures soar above 40c for six consecutive days across the country. 
Roads melted, animals dropped dead and fires raged as temperature records tumbled across New South Wales, South Australia and Victoria. 
Hundreds of Australians have flocked to Bondi Beach in Sydney to cool off from the extreme summer temperatures.  
The latest mind-boggling figure was reported in the town of Noona, in New South Wales, which reported an overnight minimum temperature of 35.9c on Thursday – a new record for the whole of Australia. 
Roads melted across Australia as temperatures soared into the 100s for the fifth consecutive day amid a record-breaking heatwave that has broken records
On Wednesday alone, New South Wales broke 14 all-time heat records and eight January records, including in the town of Griffith which suffered through 46.4c heat.
Menindee, in the far west of the state, was due to hit  45c on Friday having broken its all-time record with a temperature of 47.8c earlier in the week. It hasn‘t seen a daytime high below 45c since Monday.
Broken Hill airport, Whitecliff, Wilcannia, and Albury all saw their hottest days since records began on Wednesday. 
Meanwhile Marble Bar, in Western Australia, recorded the highest temperature of the last seven days with a blistering 49.1c on Sunday, marking a January record. Tarcoola, in South Australia, also hit 49c.  
From Stock Daily Dish

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