AS PREDICTED NEM HAS ENDED ON 5th OF JAN.
TOP 25 STATIONS OF TAMIL NADU ABOVE NORMAL
(from 1-10-2015 to 6-1-2016)
STATION		ACTUAL	NORMAL	%DEP
KANCHEEPURAM		1815	646.4	181
TIRUVALLUR		1466.6	593.5	147
TIRUNELVELI		1050.6	476.1	121
VELLORE		747.7	351.1	113
CHENNAI		1608.6	795.3	102
VILLUPURAM		928.1	504.3	84
PUDUCHERRY		1556.6	855.7	82
CUDDALORE		1240.5	706.7	76
KANYAKUMARI		780.6	500.8	56
TOOTHUKUDI		664.7	431.1	54
KRISHNAGIRI		442.4	291.7	52
NAGAPATTINAM		1378.8	958.9	44
TIRUVARUR		1022.3	729.4	40
PUDUKOTTAI		573.6	410.7	40
DHARMAPURI		449.6	333.1	35
TIRUVANNAMALAI		595.8	450.3	32
SALEM		488	373	31
ERODE		396.8	315.6	26
THANJAVUR		693.5	556.9	25
KARAIKAL		1316	1064.2	24
ARIYALUR		681.2	551.7	23
Tomorrow, figures for KERALA and KARNATAKA
			SOURCE	IMD CHENNAI

Posted Thursday 7th Night:

What is in store for the Weekend ? Friday 8th, Saturday 9th and Sunday 10th January....

Mumbai: Partly cloudy weekend. Comparatively warmer weekend ahead ( Day around 31c/32c) compared to the pleasant weather last week. Nights rising slightly to 19/20c ( Friday/Saturday) and dipping again from Sunday night/Monday morning by 2/3c.

As the Western Disturbance J-2 moves away, we have some precipitation left over on Friday in Kashmir, H.P, Uttarakhand and West U.P.
Saturday and Sunday seems to be dry in the sub-continent.
Another Western Disturbance moves in on the 11th.

As seen in the map below, the day temperatures are higher than normal in the North and North west plains of India and  adjoining Pakistan plains. 
The day temperatures will drop by 4c from these levels on Friday and Saturday. Punjab cities wll see a drop also by 4c to below 20c from current 23/24c.

Delhi NCR being partly cloudy on Friday, will drop from 25/26c (last 2 days) to around 21c. Saturday onwards, clear skies will low of about 8/9c.

Resultantly, the nights will also get cooler from Saturday night. Nights will be cooler in Rajasthan, M.P, Gujarat and Interior Maharashtra ( Pune /Nasik/Aurangabad) will get cooler from Sunday/Monday.(Will include Konkan and interior Konkan cities like Panvel, Roha and surrounding).

Pune and Nasik will go down to 8/9c levels again from Sunday/Monday.
Surat nights getting to 14/15c from Sunday.

Srinagar: Light rain on Friday, and dry on the weekend. Nights dropping ot -2/-3c.

Chennai: With the NEM gone, the weather will be between 30/31cc and 20/22c in the city. 

TAMILNADU (SOUTH INDIA)WINTERS.. 6 JAN 2016
For North India type winter chill ..visit Ooty , Coonoor ,Kodaikanal

For West India type winters (warm days/cool nights) ..visit Hosur , Valparai

For East India type winters ..visit Yercaud

For South India type warm cosy winters alongwith some tennis action (Chennai open tennis ) ..visit Chennai  

To enjoy tropical paradise ..visit Kanyakumari , Nagapattinam, Pamban


(click and enlarge the map below for a better view)

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NORTH INDIA .. WARMER THAN NORMAL..7 JAN 2016(morning)

many stations in North India have reported temperatures 5 c to 10 c above normal

DELHI .. 4c to 6c above normal..

GWALIOR(M.P).. max 30 c (8 degrees above normal) / min 11 c (4 degrees above normal)

BIKANER(RAJ)..max 25 c (3 degrees above normal) / min 15 c (8 degrees above normal)

ALLAHABAD(U.P)..max 30 c (7 degrees above normal) / min 12 c (3 degrees above normal)

Posted Tuesday Night:

The J-2 trough in the upper atmosphere descends Southwards till 30N..and is currently around 55E.
The Western Disturbance, J-2 , mover Eastwards and the trough will bring light rains to Sindh ( Karachi and Hyderabad) onThursday 7th. 

Cloudy weather in Saurashtra on  Thursday/Friday. Very light rain possible in some isolated pockets of Kutch on Thursday/Friday.
Further, system will move Eastwards to bring light scattered Precipitation on Thursday 7th/Friday 8th to Central India (M.P, parts of Rajashan) and few parts of Haryana and Delhi NCR.

Inputs :
From Vagarian Vineet (Meerut)
Maximum temperature rose sharply in west UP delhi, parts of uttarakhand and are now way above normal...Some above normal temperatures are
Jhansi :- 26.5 (6 degree)
Allahabad:- 26.4(3 degree)
Agra :- 25.6 (4 degree)
Moradabad :- 25.5 (5 degree)
Bareilly :- 25 (5 degree)
Dehradun :- 24.2 (5 degree)
Bhopal :- 29.1 (5 degree)
Some records also broken just in the first week of Jan itself
Maximum temperatures in delhi (sfd) has broken the record of last 5 years
In dehradun maximum temperatures has broken the record of last 6 years
In Bhopal maximum temperatures has broken the record of last 4 years.

From Arpit Sharma
Delhiites enjoying March like weather in January...
Safdarjung max today: 26.5c(+7)
Palam max: 26.7c(+7)

From Vagarian Gaurav (Junagadh)
It's really rare to see above 20C minimum temp during first week of January.....junagadh recorded 21.5C minimum temp today. ...at least 10C above normal.....
Source : imdaws

From Abhijit Modak:
Colaba max temp 33.8c which is higher than Scruz max 32.6c today !!



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Something New and Different from Rohit for our Eastern Region Readers..Available only on Vagaries:

Posted Monday 4th Night:

J-1 was precipitating rain and snow in Kashmir and H.P. hills on Monday...Moving away from Tuesday.
Srinagar had 7 mms of rain and snow, with the day's high at 3.3c. 

Mumbai: Cooler days ahead..Tuesday 5th and Wednesday 6th sees a cooler day around 30/31c...(Gone are the 32c/33c days)... and Wednesday morning the Low will be around 13/15c at Scruz and 20/21c at Colaba. 
Thane remains cooler at night around 15c.

From Wednesday night, the North winds get stronger, bringing a colder "real feel" to the City. Thursday will see cool winds , with the day around 28/29c, and Friday morning seeing around 14c at Scruz and 19/20c at Colaba. Sky getting partly cloudy.


Possibility of further fall in Mumbai temps from Friday...Fresh Update on Mumbai on Tuesday Night..
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Posted Saturday Evening:

Western Disturbance J-1 moves into Abu Dhabi  and West Pakistan on Sunday. And into Pakistan (North/Central) on Sunday evening and on 
Monday 4th Jan into India (Kashmir, H.P. and Utterakhand. Cloudy weather with isolated rain in Punjab).
Shimla and Srinagar could get snow.

A trough ( We may label it J-2) in the upper levels brings rains to Central Sindh on Thursday 7th Jan and North (Delhi) and Central India on Friday 8th Jan.

North East Monsoon Withdraws from South India on 5th January.

There's a Heat Wave in the North Pole 
Cyclone and Above Normal Temperatures over North Pole:
Why not call it a Cyclone or Hurricane ??

Author's Note: Before reading this article, please do not link it with the "Climate Change" buzz...Changes and violent storms have occured in the region before. It would be too hasty, however, to pin last week's extreme weather directly on the manmade climate change phenomenon, rather than on a discreet anomaly.

From 27th December evening to 28th December morning, a mind-boggling pressure drop was recorded in Iceland: 54 millibars in just 18 hours. 
This triples the criteria for “bomb” cyclogenesis, which meteorologists use to describe a rapidly intensifying mid-latitude storm. A “bomb” cyclone is defined as dropping one millibar per hour for 24 hours.
NOAA’s Ocean Prediction Center said the storm’s minimum pressure dropped to 928 millibars around 1 a.m. Eastern time, which likely places it in the top five strongest storms on record in this region.

“According to the center’s records, the all-time strongest storm in this area occurred on Dec. 15, 1986, and that had a minimum central pressure of 900 millibars,” Mashable’s Andrew Freedman reported on Tuesday. “The second-strongest storm occurred in January 1993, with a pressure of 916 millibars.”

Weather authorities blamed the 30th December temperature spike on the freak storm ( Why not call it a Hurricane?) which has already brought record Christmas temperatures to North America and lashed Britain with winds and floods.
The System then moved over Iceland and churned up hurricane force 75-knot winds and 30- foot waves in the north Atlantic while dragging warm air northwards.

Scientists from the North Pole Environmental Observatory said that the temperatures had climbed suddenly. An Arctic monitoring point 300 kilometres from the Pole that had been recording -37c degrees on 28th had shot up to -8c by 30th, said senior researcher James Morison.

The sudden heat wave is the result of a peculiar storm system that has produced a bizarre assortment of tornadoes and flooding across the southeast United States.
Earlier, meteorologists tracking the path of a powerful North Atlantic storm over Iceland had forecast that the Arctic temperatures could peak above freezing, with the storm being one of the strongest on record and wind speeds of up to 230mph (370km/h).

After tormenting the North Atlantic, the depression is expected to head towards Russia's Siberia, where the inhabitants can expect a heat wave of sorts.

Temperatures at the North Pole may not have topped the freezing mark — there are mixed reports from different weather buoys 
— but it was an unseasonably warm 30th December 2015 at the top of the globe. The storm system that brought spring-like Christmas warmth, along with deadly floods and tornadoes, to eastern North America swept across the pole with raging winds that sucked warm Atlantic air in its wake.

An international network of buoys sends back data from the high Arctic, and one of those — located at 87.3 degrees north latitude — recorded a high of just under 34 degrees (0.7 degrees Celsius) on 30th December. But another, located a fraction of a degree further north at 87.5 N, only reported 16 degrees (-8.5 C) — still nearly 28c above the usual temperature for the end of December.

On the Norwegian island of Svalbard, the northernmost permanent settlement on Earth, Wednesday's high was nearly 9c. 

December's weather has been setting records, The unusually warm Atlantic has been fueling storms that are smashing ashore and causing heavy flooding in the U.s. and The U.K.

According to ocean measurements from the North Pole Environmental Observatory, the mercury tipped -1.9°C (28.6°F) on 30th as the Arctic bathed in an unseasonably warm spell.

Weather Underground meteorologist Bob Henson said, In New York, December temperatures at Central Park never dropped below freezing. In every previous December since 1871, temperatures had fallen below 0c at least six times."To me, these readings are even more impressive than the record warmth where nobody lives," Henson said.
. 
And in central England — where temperature records date back to 1659— December is expected to end with a record average high.In Britain, a week of excessive rainfall has pushed rivers and streams well beyond their banks, stranding vehicles and buckling bridges.

The North Pole crossed over the freezing mark at least three times in previous Decembers — in 1959, 1990, and 2014, Henson said. This time, temperatures within a couple of hundred miles appear to have approached that point. 

Excerpts from Washington Post, vice news,Japan News,Pune Mirror, 

Posted 1st January 2016 Night...
A review of December temperatures....(See All India Deviations and City deviations below)

Now for a little Surprise...
So, you think Mumbai is hot, hottest in Asia etc..Well, see this..On final tally, the average, Maximum and minimum combined, temperature at Mumbai SCruz in December has  been below Average for the month..below by - 0.42c. That is because the minimums have been very low, bringing down the average.

In contrast, in Ratnagiri, along the same coast,where the nights have not been as cool, and the days were hot, most of the month of December shows "Red" colour, that is the monthly average temperature was above normal by 0.72c.

All India Deviations of Max and Min in December...See Cities below Map

some more cities in December:

This Date ..1 Year ago....
Fantastic Headlines...of 1st January 2015 ..See here

Thick Fog Envelops Aurangabad (Mah) on Friday Morning. Visibility reduced to 50 metres.

Madhya Pradesh records 1st 100 mm rainfall of 2015
New year brings heavy rain to dry regions of TN
New Year welcomes Maharashtra with heavy rains...

Normal Weather for January: