Co Authors: GSB, Shreyas Dhavale, Pradeep John, Dr. Vineet Singh, Gokul

Sunday, September 08, 2024

Gujarat

Posted 8th. 





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Decreasing rains for Gujarat now.

A moderate spell on 10th/11/12th for Gujarat Region (Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad, Anand,  Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Dang, Tapi, Navsari, Valsad) and Coastal  & Eastern Saurashtra. 

After the 13th, the rain intensity and frequency will decline to almost dry conditions.  

Hotter days then.

Saturday, September 07, 2024

vagarieswk.blogspot.com..updated

7th September:



But, good rainfall in East Rajasthan before Monsoon Withdraws:






Friday, September 06, 2024

Vagaries' Views

7th September 

Indications of timely Monsoon withdrawal from extreme NW India.

Normal date is 17th September. 

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Vagaries' expects,  along with latest NWP model forecasts, a timely withdrawal of monsoon rains  from extreme North Western parts of India and adjoining Pakistan by the third week of September.

  Lower tropospheric anticyclones/ridges are trying to make frequent attempts to establish over NW India.These are indications seen.

This could could interact with the weakening seasonal background monsoon circulation to initiate dry processes associated with monsoon withdrawal.

 Until then, the monsoon circulation and moist processes will continue over central and eastern parts of India (core monsoon zone) leading to marginally enhanced rainfall in these regions. 

All India cumulative rainfall rainfall departure in the past 24 hours has started decreasing and stood at + 7.8 % yesterday.

Compiled by Vag.Gokul 

 6th September..

Mumbai Santacruz Rainfall touches the 2500 mms mark today, and stands at 2501 mms.

Thus touching the Normal for the full season which is 2502 mms.

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Parts of the U.S. braces for the first significant cold air mass intrusion of the Fall season 2024

September starts with nice and dry fall weather, but more dramatic weather changes are shaping up on the horizon late this week and over the weekend. A frontal system emerging from the Midwest will cross the Great Lakes and the Northeast by Saturday, resulting in stormy weather and local heavy rain. Behind the front, significantly colder air from central Canada spreads deep south across the eastern third of the U.S.

Wednesday, September 04, 2024

Forecast for next 8 days

Pune forecast
5-7 September: 2-3 passing light rain spells of short duration, not more than 1-3mm/day.
8-10 September: An odd drizzle per day, no significant rain, significant sunshine, generally dry.
11-12 September: 1-2 light rain spells of short duration, no major rain.

Mumbai forecast
5-7 September: 2-3 short spells of moderate rain/day.
8-12 September: 1-2 spells of light rain, no major rain.

Delhi forecast
5-7 September: 1-2 spells of short duration of rain per day.
8-12 September: generally dry.

The forecast will be reviewed again on 7th September.

Tuesday, September 03, 2024

 


4th September: 

Good Rainfall in Marathwada and Sambhajinagar first 3 days of September boosts prospects of very good crops and improves the water storage in this normally deficient region.

Rainfall in mms:


पैठण / Jayakwadi Dam - Paithan, Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar. At 85% of its full capacity of 2,170,930 million litres.

The dam is the primary source of water for irrigation, drinking and industrial use in eight districts of the Marathwada region, including major industries in Aurangabad and Jalna, as well as to nearly 2.5 lakh hectares of farmland.

Lower Manar Dam - Nanded. At 100.00% of its full capacity of 138,210 million litres, compared to 52.56% at the same time last year.

Sambhajinagar Region will get reduced rains this week, around 5-7 mms per day, with some needed sunshine.

संभाजीनगरात पुढील ५ ते ६ दिवस कमी पाऊस पडेल. आता थोडासा सूर्यप्रकाश हवा आहे.


Mumbai will get some passing local showers till this weekend. Sunny periods will make it warmer.
Thursday may get more frequent showers with around 30 mms of rains.

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