Vagaries of the Weather ©

Wednesday, August 05, 2026

5th August Post

Rainfall details of Today 5th

Bihar rain deficiency at -40%

Jharkhand defciency at -32%

East UP deficiency at -32%

Haryana deficiency at -30%

Punjab deficiency at -34%

HP deficiency at -8%

East rajasthan deficiency at -21%

East MP deficiency at -22%

West MP deficiency at -14%

Goa deficiency at -36%

Andhra Pradesh deficiency at -35%

Karnataka deficiency at -19%

4th August

Good News for Marathwada 👍

Specific rainfall in Sambhajinagar Region

संभाजीनगर भागातील पावसाची आकडेवारी

Next few days till 10th, Sambhajinagar District can get light to medium showers in patches.. Up to 5 mms per day.

पुढील काही दिवस, १० तारखेपर्यंत, संभाजीनगर जिल्ह्यात तुरळक ठिकाणी हलका ते मध्यम पाऊस पडू शकतो. दररोज ५ मिमी पर्यंत पाऊस पडण्याची शक्यता आहे.

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Mumbai :This week, from 5th to 9th August, city weather will be partly cloudy with few passing showers, in short heavy bursts.

Warm and stuffy nights.

Pune: Partly Cloudy with sunny periods and few spells of light rains.

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As the Monsoon Axis is shifted North, U. P, Bihar, Delhi and Punjab can get good rainfall in the current area week.

Indian Ocean Diapole... 4th August

Positive IOD

Temperature & Winds – The western tropical Indian Ocean becomes warmer than normal, while waters near Indonesia and Australia cool.
Impact on India – A positive IOD frequently strengthens the Southwest Monsoon, bringing increased moisture over the Indian subcontinent which can help offset dry conditions caused by El Niño.

Currently in neutral phase.

*IMD’s models, and some others, forecast a neutral dipole across the four monsoon months.

*Australian Bureau of Meteorology allows a slim chance of a positive turn late in the season, in August or September.

Positive IOD may ease impact of El Niño, improve monsoon prospects in the Peninsula Region.

It can provide some relief by supporting better seasonal rainfall than what was expected under El Nino conditions.

(Recollect the encouraging news on 20th May in Vagaries before the SWM set in...) Here is the story of 20th May 👇