Sunday, February 25, 2018

Konkan Region in Maharashtra gets heated today! 
As Mentioned in this Blog on the 20th of February, 
From last week Interior Konkan was witnessing daily rise in day temperature and today much of coastal area also joined the league with hot land breeze from N/NE and absence of WD's cold winds penetration making early heating up like situation. 
Means after mid March weather pattern witnessing in Feb end itself. 

Map by Vagarian Tejas & Data by Vagarian Abhijit

Similarly S.Konkan also witness the heating today ! Some max temp in Celsius on 25/02/18:

Ratnagiri 38.3 (above normal by 7c!)
Panaji 36.3 (above normal by 4c)
Vengurla 36.1 (above normal by 4.4c)



Cumulus arjun said...

This year the start of "summer" in fact is late when compared to last year, because in last year, temperatures started to soar to 37C+ itself in mid February.

Rajesh said...

Good Information.. nicely presented.
Yes, The Konkan coast and Inland regions are heating up to above normal temperatures. Was mentioned in the 20th blog.The Western Disturbance F-3 was weakish, and had no impact in the central regions due to lack of penetrating cold North/NW winds.
Heat is due to a Ridge joining two High Pressure Areas from Gujarat/North Mah to Odisha.

Rajesh Kumar said...

Hope PreMonsoon Rain also starts early.

Konkani Don said...

Unbearable heat. Yes I hope for pre monsoon showers.

Abhijit Modak said...

@ Cumulus Arjun. Summer starting with early 37+ is not criteria.. Even in Jan Mumbai can see 36c if winds are from east so that doesn't means summer started ! Just 1 or 2 days spike and later falling back to normal is understood !!

But here saying early summer means consistency in high temp for prolong days/weeks which is generally seen after mid march is witness now itself ! As Interior Konkan is seeing 36/37c+ temp on daily basis from 15th Feb onward and also temp is increasing gradually day by day..

Abhijit Modak said...

@ Konkani Don, Where are you from Chiplun ?

As per skymet aws, Chiplun max was 42c today ! And as per observation, seeing Chiplun daily hitting 40c mark since 17 Feb 2018..

NilaY Wankawala said...

Credit Australian government bureau of meteorology

Issued 27 February 2018

The latest ENSO Wrap-Up and Climate Model Summary are now available on the Bureau's website.

La Niña retreats

La Niña continues its decline, with sea surface temperatures in the central tropical Pacific Ocean warming over the past fortnight. Most models indicate a return to neutral conditions is likely early in the southern autumn.

The decline of this La Niña is evident in oceanic and atmospheric patterns, with several indicators recently returning to levels more consistent with a neutral ENSO phase. Sea surface temperatures are very close to neutral levels, cloudiness near the Date Line has increased, and trade winds are generally near normal across the equatorial Pacific. However, the current pulse of the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) has been strong, and the effects of wind variations associated with it, is likely to have amplified the decline. As the MJO progresses east, its effect will reverse, meaning some La Niña indicators are likely to strengthen briefly.

Four of eight international climate models surveyed by the Bureau maintain La Niña values through March. By May, only one model still exceeds La Niña thresholds. For July, all eight are within the neutral range. This ENSO event has had relatively little effect on Australian rainfall patterns over the 2017–18 summer.  

The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral. IOD events are unable to form between December and April. 

More information

Media enquiries: (03) 9669 4057
Next update expected on 13 March 2018

Cumulus arjun said...

Thanks abhijit sir for correcting me!

30th March Weather 👇 Weather outlook till Friday 31st March - As we calculated in mid March after the Heat spell,  remaining days of March ...