19th March
Active WD brings winter back in North India.
InSome places in South Maharashtra got hails ..Sambhajinagar recorded 8 mms.
Vagaries© of the weather.blog written by rajesh kapadia & co-authors concentrating on meteorology of the Indian sub continent and extreme world weather since 55 years For Any Information taken from here, due credit must be given to Vagaries.
18th March
(2 days Rain Outlook below)
As estimated, Yesterday the temperatures in MMR reduced to normal levels
Normalised Conditions) on 17-03-2026:
Mumbai SCZ: 31.1°C ( 2.5° below normal)
Borivali: 30.7°C
Deonar: 32.4°C
Vashi: 32.7°C
Mulund &Thane: 34°C NaviMumbai Airport: 34.3°C Koparkhairane: 34.7°C Badlapur: 35.3°C
Same urban setup... same concrete...yet temperatures today are normal to slightly below of climatologica averages!
But such days rarely make headlines.
Just last week. when Mumbai touched 40°C it was widely linked to global warming or concretization.
Shows how short-term spikes vs normal variability are often selectively highlighted.
(Excerpts from Vag. Abhijit)
By Vagarian Shreyas.
With 36.47°C average maximum temperature, the first half of March 2026 in Pune Shivajinagar is the 2nd hottest since 2014. Data: IMD
Average maximum temperature in Pune in the 1st half of March from 2014-2026 is as follows:
2014 32.09
2015 30.89
2016 34.3
2017 33.6
2018 35.5
2019 34.9
2020 32.3
2021 36.4
2022 34.81
2023 34.05
2024 35.43
2025 37.25
2026 36.47
16th March post.
The recent March heat over Interior Maharashtra and Konkan is now gradually becoming less. Peak Temperatures in the State are now declining from 42°c to today's 40°c...gradual.
The Anticyclone, or High Pressure over Gujarat has now fizzled out. A Line of Wind Discontinuity (LWD) starts forming in the Central South Peninsula areas. LWD means where the winds from the West will meet the winds from the East over Central Peninsula, bringing thundershowers.
This is basically due to excess heat in the region. Thundershowers will cool down the days, and reasonably " Normal Temperatures " will prevail till March end.
The coming week will be less hot and some thundershowers expected in Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada abd and parts of South Konkan on 18th/19th/20th March ( Wed/Thu/Fri).
Mumbai: with today's 32°c, we see the day's getting to normal range soon.
Pune: Cloudy and light rains on 19th/20th. Days around 36°c, but nights warming up to 20°c. May damage the Mango Flowers incase of moderate rain .
Sambhajinagar: Be aware for some thundershowers on 19th. At this stage may be bad for the Mango Flowers.
Mahabaleshwar: Warm days leading to thunder showers on 19th/20th...nights cooling down to 17°c.
15th March..
Speculation is being heard recently about an "El Niño" development during Monsoon, which could lead to a deficit SWM.
Too early to predict the Monsoon Strength today..
See below a proper Understanding of the latest El Niño /La Niña scenario as on 10th March 👇(From cpc, ncep, noaa analysis).
10th March 2026...Evening Post
Mumbai Santacruz touches 40.0°c (+7.6°) today ! But 19th Hottest in India.
No panic situation....not unusual...reason 👇
1. As Mumbai saw a Low of 21.6°c, making aMax/Min range of 18.4°c...and getting the day's average feel temperature of 30.3°c.
2. There have been several previous March touching 40°...The earliest 40°was on 3rd March 1981, then on 16th in 2007, on the 7th in 2013, 26th in 2015, 26th in 2018, 2019 and 28th in 2021.
The reason for this year's 8 day hot spell is the "Anti Cyclone" or High Pressure over North Gujarat. This system delayed the onset of the sea breeze over Mumbai.
We see a Trough in Central India off setting the High Pressure and advancing NW winds over Mumbai by Friday 13th March. Days will stabilise in Mumbai to around 35°c from the 13th March.
Jalgaon Range:Max.40.3° [< 25 °>] Min. 15.3°
Gujarat Heat Wave ( reason given above)
Top 11 hottest places in India from Gujarat.
19th March Active WD brings winter back in North India. InSome places in South Maharashtra got hails ..Sambhajinagar recorded 8 mms.