The avg. maximum temperature at pune shivajinagar in june 2026 1st half is 36.6c.
This is the hottest 1st half of june at least since 2014.
No rain occured in Pune Shivajinagar in 1st half of June. For the 1st time at least since 2014, that June 1st half of Pune went completely dry. Yearwise 1st half June total (mm) as follows2014: 10.12015: 80.42016: 35.22017: 88.12018: 61.92019: 41.52020: 1122021: 57.42022: 282023: 20.42024: 231.02025: 132.9
2026: 0
14th June
Let's give credit to Delhi AQI when it's due.. Not just criticising always **↓
ENSO OUTLOOK:
ENSO-neutral conditions are present.
* Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are mostly above average across the central and eastern Pacific Ocean.
*El Niño is likely to emerge soon (82% chance in May-July 2026) and continue through Northern Hemisphere winter 2026-27 (96% chance in December 2026 – February 2027).*
Above Histogram shows intensity of El-Nino getting stronger and effective after August and more after September.
El Niño: characterized by a positive RONI greater than or equal to +0.5ºC. La Niña: characterized by a negative RONI less than or equal to -0.5ºC.
[El Niño: characterized by a positive RONI greater than or equal to +0.5ºC. La Niña: characterized by a negative RONI less than or equal to -0.5ºC.
By historical standards, to be classified as a full-fledged El Niño or La Niña episode, these thresholds must be exceeded for a period of at least 5 consecutive overlapping 3-month seasons.
These anomalies must also be forecasted to persist for 3 consecutive months]
Due to Image shown, the Monsoon hiatus is prevailing today:
The Monsoon "weak surge" into South Konkan and North Konkan is expected to take a "push" from 17th, resulting in convective thunder showers in scattered areas.
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Mumbai Rain this season till 13th June: Colaba 04 mms (-97%)..Scruz 13 mms (-91%).
Rainfall to increase over Mumbai..(not to expect too much ) from17th to 23rd...just about 20-25 mms accumulated depending on the local rainfall...and we can hope to get the Monsoon set in by the 22nd/23rd of June..hoping that the all time late arrival date of Monsoon (25th June) is not reached this year !
Pune will see an increase in rainfall from the 17th and thunder showers in parts of Pune..though not much can be expected ..Monsoon still evasive till 23rd at least. Pune rain this season is 0 mm.
Marathwada: Some local thundershowers expected from 18th..for 3 days...maybe heavy in Southern Marathwada ( Beed, Latur, Nanded,Dharashiv (30-40 mms accumalated) regions.
Sambhajinagar may get 20-30 mms from 18th -21st..
Monsoon evasive till 24th at least.
Farmers' Advice: If the decision to sow the seeds is taken after 16th, please note that a semi low rain period may follw till Monsoon moves in around 24th/25th. Precautions have to be taken.
मराठवाडा: १८ तारखेपासून.3 दिवसांसाठी...काही स्थानिक ठिकाणी मेघगर्जनेसह पावसाची शक्यता आहे..
Plain Language Summary:
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After a weak onset and a sluggish start, the summer monsoon rainfall is now heading towards a significant hiatus over the Indian subcontinent during the next 10 days. Numerical Weather Prediction and AI based model guidance from various modeling centers across the globe indicate that the progress of monsoon rains over India could see a temporary halt as the monsoon circulation and rainfall pattern is all set to weaken and dry air advection could take a dominant role. Rainfall is expected to be subdued across the Western Ghats, the west coast, central and major parts of western and peninsular India. This could be a serious concern for the Agrarian community as several parts of India could see a delay in the sowing activities where irrigation is not available. Models although indicate some revival after the 20th of June, uncertainty prevails as of now on the date and pattern of revival. The situation needs continuous monitoring in the days to come with El Nino strengthening along side.
Scientific Diagnostic Reasoning:
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Analyses of the observed global tropical circulation pattern during the past 2 weeks suggests that the Indian summer monsoon rainfall onset phase found itself struggling against a backdrop of unfavorable sub seasonal and low frequency modes of tropical variability. RMM and 200 hPa Velocity Potential based MJO indices indicate that large scale eastward propagating wave saw itself working constructively with the evolving Low frequency ENSO state over the central and eastern Pacific during the past 2 weeks. The Monsoon circulation caught on to some westward propagating mode to help breath itself for a brief period to make some progress, but it could not stand against the other giant suppressing modes and eventually is giving up on further progression (temporarily). Extended range forecast charts indicate the presence of persistent lower level anticyclonic circulation and rainfall anomalies over India, and alongside dotted with some westward propagating equatorial waves in the lower latitudes. VP 200 hPa clearly indicates the strengthening El Nino conditions which could weaken the Walker circulation and hence the Monsoon in the background. The situation overall looks grim and needs continuous monitoring for management and mitigation on the agriculture and hydrological front.
Hot an humid. Temperature range 35 - 29/30°."}
Checking on the much discussed current ''hot night " in Mumbai and Pune..
The avg. maximum temperature at pune shivajinagar in june 2026 1st half is 36.6c. This is the hottest 1st half of june at least since 2014...
