Monday 13th evening precipitation

 

 12th October...

Monsoon Withdrawal details and withdrawal limit in images 

 See also Author's Page

Harold] Pierce says:

October 11, 2025 at 4:26 PM

There is no such phenomena as anthropogenic climate change because most of the earth is water, rocks, sand, ice and snow. Activities of humans are not going to effect the climate of the vast Pacific ocean, the Andes mountains or the Sahara desert. However, activities of humans in urban areas can effect local climate due to the UHI effect. In some countries, humans can cause local desertification by stripping the land of plants for firewood and for food for animals.

One extreme weather event are Atlantic hurricanes
, the frequency of which has greatly declined since 1900. So far this hurricane season has been a bust.

 11th October 

First Snowfall

Gulmarg, Sonmarg and Rohtang : Season’s First Snowfall

The first snowfall of 2025 has turned the Western Himalayas into a winter wonderland.

Popular hill stations like Gulmarg and Sonmarg in Jammu & Kashmir and Rohtang Pass in Himachal Pradesh have been blanketed in snow, marking onset of winter.

Extract from " Weather &Radar"

 Monsoon arrived in Mumbai/Pune: 26th May...

Monsoon Withdrawal for 

Mumbai/Pune: 10th Oct:

(Total Monsoon rainfall from May - 10th October 

Mumbai Colaba: 2838 mms

                Scruz: 3522 mms 

WSC: 3552 MMS

Pune:1101 mms.)

On Vagaries estimated date...

10th October...Southwest Monsoon has withdrawn from Mumbai, Pune and most of Northern Maharashtra!

SWM withdrawal from Mumbai/North Konkan and Pune/North Madhya Maharashtra declared

Mumbai & Interior Maharashtra, Hot daytime weather likely, lower humidity...but night and early morning can be slightly pleasant.

Mumbai nights can drop to 21/22° 

Humidity will fall to 60%..sweaty feel may decrease.

Pune Nashik Sambhajinagar to 17/18° from 10th to 16th.

*Note: Chances of post monsoon rain/thundershowers  for Mumbai/Pune/Konkan/Ghats from 17th October, so plan Diwali shopping activities accordingly*

Mumbai has slight chances of light post monsoon showers on 17th,18th,19th.

Pune post monsoon rains on 16th,17th,18th a surety.

Sambhajinagar look out for post monsoon rains on 16th to 19th.

Please complete harvesting till then.

10th October Post

Please Read ENSO Scenario on Current Weather Page

A lot is being "heard" about La Nina event possibly occurring this winter...and North India should be prepared for an extreme winter !

On Current Weather Page ...Please read  the explanation and current scenario of La Nina.

Indicates possibility of the event only after December 2025.

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Is North India Heading for an Extreme Winter?

A lot is being “heard” about a possible La Niña event developing this winter — with suggestions that it could bring a harsh season for North India.

However, the La Niña indicators currently point to it's start only after December 2025, meaning the most pronounced impact may be felt in January–February 2026.

❄️ Overall Outlook

The North Subcontinent is expected to witness a higher frequency of Western Disturbances, bringing more rain and snow to the northern hills and plains.

This will translate to colder-than-normal conditions, especially in January 2026, which could see multiple cold day and cold wave events.

“Possible La Niña After December — Signs Point to a Colder, Snowier Winter Across North India”

🏔️ North India

Frequent Western Disturbances likely.

Heavy snowfall expected in Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh.

Day temperatures in the plains (Punjab, Delhi, Haryana, West U.P., Rajasthan) may hover between 10°C and 15°C.

Night temperatures near freezing in Punjab, Haryana, and Rajasthan.

Sub-zero readings likely in Churu, Shekhawati, Alwar, and Mount Abu.

Maharashtra

Cold wave conditions will set in late December and continue through January.

Nashik and Pune: Lows below 7°C during cold waves ( January).

Ahilyanagar and Sambhajinagar: Around 8–9°C on coldest nights (January).

Mumbai:

December to remain near-normal with 16–20°C lows.

January may turn notably cooler, dipping to 12–15°C during cold spells.

Gujarat

Cold wave likely from late December through January.

Kutch region: Lows near freezing possible.

Saurashtra and Gujarat region: Minimums of 7–10°C on cold wave nights.

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