Co Authors: GSB, Shreyas Dhavale, Pradeep John, Dr. Vineet Singh, Gokul

Saturday, November 30, 2024

Delhi November 2024 Summary

Delhi (Safdarjung) recorded the hottest November at least since 2011 with avg. maximum temperature in this month is 29.7c.

Attached graph shows the avg. minimum and maximum temperature in Delhi Safdarjung recorded in November for the period 2011-2024.

For the first time after 2017, both October and November months went dry for Delhi.
2024 November summary for Delhi Safdarjung as follows
Lowest temperature: 9.5C (29 November)
Highest temperature: 34.1C (1 November)
Rainfall: 0mm
Number of days with minimum temperature less than 10C: 2 days
Data: IMD


 30th November Afternoon 

CYCLONE FENGAL

ANALYSIS 


ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL 



WEAKENING SIGNS AFTER LANDFALL 




Pune November highlights

The attached graph shows the minimum temperature variation in Pune (Shivajinagar) in November for the last 4 years.

Avg minimum temperature of November in Pune

2021: 18C

2022: 13.75C

2023: 17.31C

2024: 14.81C

Data: IMD 

2022 is the coldest Nov in the last 4 years

Summary of November 2024 for Pune Shivajinagar
Lowest Temperature: 9.5C (29 November)
Number of days when minimum temperature was less than 15C: 14
Number of days when minimum temperature was less than 10C: 4
Highest temperature: 33.1C (2 November)
Rainfall: 0mm
Data: IMD


Friday, November 29, 2024

29th November Night Post..

Cyclone " Fengal"...




Possible that system may travel West to re emerge in the Arabian Sea by 3rd Dec ember. But conditions not favourable to affect your Indian West Coast as system to continue to move away Westwards.

Mumbai will see pleasant weather this weekend, with nights around 17-19c. Temperatures rising a little next week (2nd-5th Dec)

Pune will be cool this weekend with temperatures around 10-12c. But with Partly cloudy skies next week ( 2nd-5th Dec), and maybe a light drizzle in parts, nights will get warmer.

29th November:

Mumbai Santacruz recorded the coldest night of the season on 29th morning at 16.5c.

However, this is the lowest for November  after 2016, when Santacruz recorded 16.3c (3.6c below the normal). But definitely not the lowest ever, as this station has recorded 13.3c on 19th November 1950.

Private reading at Vagaries recorded 19.0c.

Mumbai Colaba saw 21.4c. 

The reason for this drop is normal, as there has been  snowfall in the Northern regions, bringing in dry and cold winds from the North.

Ahmadnagar was 8.3c (-5.9c), 

Sangli (AWS) 8.4c.

Pune was 9.5c ( -3.3c) , again coldest November after 2016 when the mercury fell to 9.3c.

However, the coldest in November was in 1964, when the 27th  reading was 4.6c !

Sambhajinagar was 10.6c ( -3.7c). Lowest for November. ever was 1.9c , on 30th November 1970 !!

Mahabaleshwar was 10.5c.

The lowest temperature in Maharashtra was at Jeur which of 29th morning recorded 6.0c. (-6.6c)

Thursday, November 28, 2024

 28th Morning Post:

BB-17 system has not intensified from Deep Depression staged, winds estimated at 55-65 kmph  constantly maybe due to the dry air surrounding as mentioned...




We can expect a marginal intensification to Cyclone ( 65-75 kmph) today....sliding back to DD stage on 29th !

Heavy squally rains expected from System in Coastal T.N, Coastal A.P, Puducherry and heavy rains in Yanam and Interior T.N. and Eastern Karnataka.

Wednesday, November 27, 2024

 27th Night:

#Cyclone Fengal to form on 27th late night...in South West Bay....

Due to dry air incursion, will weaken heading towards T.N.👇



Initially skirting the Sri Lanka Island and heading to T.N.👇


No rainfall from system expected in Maharashtra or Gujarat.

-——---------—-------------------------------------------------—---—----------

Parts of Central Maharashtra is experiencing cold conditions at night, with night temperatures at 9c in Jeur and around 8c in rural areas.

Next 3 nights (28th/29th/30th) :

Cool at night, with Pune & Nasik around 10/11c, Mumbai Santacruz around 17/18c, Mumbai Colaba around 21/22c, Aurangabad around 12/13c, Mahabaleshwar around 12/13c.

Days however not cooling sufficiently below 31c in Mumbai, while Pune & Nasik will be around 28c. And Mahabaleshwar will be the place to go with the day at 25c.


Cyclone Murasu Satellite wind estimates on 2 November

Cyclone clouds reaching 15km Latest SAR estimate (2nov 6am) from NOAA shows that strongest winds in #CycloneMurasu are concentrated in east ...