F-1 Forecast on Schedule ....Brings Season's first snowfall in Srinagar.

Sunday 1st February:

Srinagar and most other parts of Kashmir plains received the season's first snowfall on Sunday 1st February. Snowfall began throughout the valley, including Srinagar, in the wee hours of the day. However, rains overshadowed the brief spell of snow and later it was a mixture of the two lashing the city as the day progressed.
It started snowing in the city at around 2.45 pm after intermittent spell of sleet since this morning and heavy cloud cover throughout the day on Saturday.

Pictures of Srinagar from Press...and Banihal Railway

 Kokernag hill resort in south Kashmir recorded a minimum of minus 0.5c.

The Kashmir region received snow and rain on Sunday 1st February. The snowfall across the Valley, including in Srinagar, began early morning and continued intermittently throughout the day.

The  snow was received at all stations, including in north Kashmir’s Gulmarg skiing resort and south Kashmir’s Pahalgam resort. Kupwara district and south Kashmir’s gateway Qazigund town also received snow during the day.

Monday 2nd :
Intermittent snowfall continued for second day on Monday in Kashmir, with ski-resort of Gulmarg recording about 45.7 cm of snow till 8:30 am this morning.

The minimum temperature in the resort, registered an increase of about two degrees from minus 6.0c to settle at minus 4.2c.

Pahalgam hill resort in south Kashmir, which serves as the base camp during the annual Amarnath yatra, recorded a jump of nearly 3c in the mercury from the previous night’s low of minus 3.4c  to settle at minus 0.6c. Pahalgam received 8.6 cms of snowfall during the night.
Srinagar, recorded 2.5 cm of snow and the minimum temperature in the city settled at a low of minus 1.0c, about a notch below yesterday’s minus 0.2c.

Kupwara received 5.2 cm of snowfall


"Vagaries' Maximum Temperature/Rainfall Contest - Part 1- Feb/ Part 2- Mar/ Part 3- Apr 2015"
The First Part ( Part -1-February) is up on the "Vagaries' Max Temperature/Rainfall Contest Page"...Please submit your Entries Before 8th February..

Mumbai Weather Forecast for 2nd Feb on Mumbai Page ..and Mumbai averages

As Forecasted , F-1 coming...See Vagaries Pakistan Updated with the WD Report

From Rohit...See More on Rohit's Page

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Posted Thursday 29th Night:

Friday 30th/Saturday 31st/Sunday 1st:
Weather expected for Indian Sub Continent:
-Most of the precipitation from F-1 from Monday 2nd into Tuesday 3rd.
-Precipiataion in UP and Eastern MP on 3rd.

Mainly dry on Friday with weather getting cloudy in Northern Pakistan and Upper Sindh on Saturday. As F-1 advances, precipitation commences in Northern Pakistan on Sunday 1st February and light drizzles from overcast skies in Upper Sindh and Pak Punjab.

Rains increase on Monday 2nd thru Tuesday 3rd in North Pakistan and Northern Indian States of Kashmir, HP, Punjab.

Islamabad gets light rains on Monday 2nd, with maximum temperatures dropping to 15/16c.

Lahore can get more rains , upto 5-7 mms on Monday 1st and 2nd.

Gujrat (Pakistan) can expect good rains from Monday night into Tuesday, upto 15-17 mms. Day cools down on Tuesday to around 14c from 20c during the weekend.

Sunday 1st evening and Monday 2nd, F-1 moves into North Indian Hill States of Kashmir, HP with precipitation. Cloudy and light showers in parts of Punjab on 2nd.

On Sunday 1st February, Strong SE winds in Delhi NCR, with gusts. Very windy in NCR on Monday 2nd, the odd chance to expect light showers.

Light rains in Chandigarh from Monday Night into Tuesday.

Gusty S winds expected in Nagpur on 2nd.

Rains appear in Eastern MP and region around on 3rd February. The Winds turn South in East UP, thus creating a LWD in the Chattisgarh region.

Mumbai: Clear skies, with low at Santacruz about 16c on Saturday and 18c on Saturday and Sunday. Days getting to 31c by Saturday. NW winds upto 20 kmph on Friday and Saturday evenings.

No Change in Mumbai Weather next 2 days, with temperatures around 28/29c and 17/18c at SantaCruz. Day may get a bit warmer on Saturday/Sunday, to around 31c.

WD precipitating in North Pakistan on 31st and North Indian States of Punjab , HP. JK and Uttarakhand from 31st thru 2nd February. 
Eastern MP and Chattisgarh get showers on 2nd and 3rd February.

Annual Summary from Rohit Aroskar...and more about Mumbai region on Mumbai Page..

Kashmir...Superb Picture of Frozen Water on Rocks..A man walks on a snow-covered path at Aharbal in Kulgam on Tuesday. PTI .

The cold wave returned in the Kashmir division as the night temperature in most places, including Leh, plunged further below the freezing point followed with clear skies and unusual sunny days. The night temperature fell by 5°C in Leh town of the frontier region of Ladakh to settle at -12.9°C, making it the coldest place in Jammu and Kashmir, a MeT Department spokesperson here said. 
Leh recorded a low of -7.6 °C the previous night. In Kargil town, the minimum temperature improved by 6°C to settle at -8.0°C. The town has recorded a low of minus 14.4 °C yesterday. 

The night temperature registered a dip in the famous ski resort of Gulmarg in north Kashmir to settle at -8.4°C against the yesterday’s -7.0°C, the spokesman said. Gulmarg experienced moderate snowfall last week. The southern Pahalgam hill resort recorded a minimum of minus 4.4 °C, down by 1.2 °C compared to the previous night, the spokesman said. Kupwara town in north Kashmir, which recorded a low of 1.1°C yesterday, also registered a dip as the night temperature settled at minus 1.4 degrees Celsius, the spokesman said. Qaizund recorded an increase of about two degrees as the night temperature there settled at 0.2 °C against -2.0 °C the previous night. 

—PTI

Mumbai likely to get Cold on Tuesday Night/Wednesday Morning. Wed Morning Low expected 13/14c at Santa Cruz and 16/17c at Colaba.

North Konkan Coastal towns will see dip to around 14/15c.

Goa can drop to 17c on Wednesday Morning.

  7:23 a.m. Tuesday: Up to 25 inches of snow have fallen in the greater Boston area.

New York City....Big Daddy Snowstorm with Possible Blizzard Conditions...Heavy Snow Storms for NYC...Read here

Heavy Wind and Snow for New York City from Monday 26th thru 27th. 

Minimum expected on Monday -7c, with the High not going over -4c on Tuesday 27th. Tuesday night could drop to -8c. Weather clearing Wednesday.

Big Asteroid 2004 BL86 Buzzes Earth on January 26:A rare opportunity then to see an Earth-approaching asteroid easily...See Detailed animation on Space News Page

Mumbai Region Temps on Rohit Aroskar's Page..

m Rohit  

Light drizzle in South Mumbai on Thursday Night...

Rain Areas as on 24 hrs ended 0830 hrs IST Friday...Compare with Vagaries Estimate of same period..Ended 0830 hrs 23rd ..In previous Post

Posted 21st Wed Night: Showers in Rajkot accumulate 6 mms till 8.30 pm IST Wed. Rajkot max temp 27.7c. Light rains in Veraval and Dwarka.

Posted 20th Tuesday Night:Light rains in parts of Mumbai on Thursday 22nd, and partly cloudy Wednesday.
Parts of Saurashtra (Rajkot included) get some rain on Wednesday.

Rain areas marked in Map (1st Map fro 0830 hrs 20th) got rainfall, including Karachi ( 1 mm).Other figures from Western Pakistan:Turbat 32, Nokkundi 24, Jiwani 19, Gawadar, Ormara 18.

Forecast Posted on Sunday Night:
Monday 19th: Will be dry in the region.
Rains expected in Muscat .Heavy rains in Dubai....
Posted Monday Night::And Rains in Muscat and Hail in Dubai on Monday. 44 mms in Al Amerat (Oman), 14 mms in Muscat..Max temp in Dubai 19.6c.Pics from Oman and Muscat and Dubai on Inter Active Page.


Next 3 days 20th, 21st and 22nd January....>>>

Main Cities of India /Pakistan Temperatures Anomaly for last 30 days( Mid Dec 2014-Mid Jan 2015)...See Current weather Page

Rain Expected in Muscat (Oman) from Monday evening. Thunder likely on Monday Night..and rains and cloudy weather extending into Tuesday 20th. Monday will be around 26c, but Tuesday will be cool with the maximum at 21c. 

Posted Friday 16th Night:

Forecast for Saturday 17th and Sunday 18th:

Dry weather in the Sub Continent. 
Mumbai will be clear and cool. 
Delhi NCR will be cold and with a foggy morning. Day temperatures around 20/21c and nights at 8/9c.
Thunder showers expected on 21st and 22nd. 
Chennai: The pleasant nights warm up a bit with cloudy conditions. Showers expected on 21st.

A brief report on Next Week's Weather systems....More in details on 18th Night.

20th: A WD, J-2, will bring precipitation to Western Pakistan and Coastal Sindh (Including light showers in Karachi).

21st: showers move into Northern regions of Pakistan and India. That is Pak Punjab and Extreme North Pakistan. 
Indian Punjab, North Rajasthan, Kashmir and HP get precipitation.Heavy snows expected in Kashmir and HP. 
Light rain expected in parts of Saurashtra.

22nd: Northern Sub Continent and North MP get rains. 
Cloudy and light drizzles for Mumbai.
More rain for Interior Maharashtra after 25th.

GFS on various site being upgraded. As per information given, the resolution is being upgraded to 13 kms from 27 kms. Parameter changes also might be made ..Now the Back Propagation Algorithm technique is being improved upon. Temperature varies and other parameters predicted with respect to temperature.Due to this sites will be blacked out for few runs (maybe 48 hrs)..Will not work on older versions.