Co Authors: GSB, Shreyas Dhavale, Pradeep John, Dr. Vineet Singh

Thursday, October 09, 2025

10th October Post
Please Read ENSO Scenario on Current Weather Page

A lot is being "heard" about La Nina event possibly occurring this winter...and North India should be prepared for an extreme winter !

On Current Weather Page ...Please read  the explanation and current scenario of La Nina.
Indicates possibility of the event only after December 2025.
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Is North India Heading for an Extreme Winter?

A lot is being “heard” about a possible La Niña event developing this winter — with suggestions that it could bring a harsh season for North India.

However, the La Niña indicators currently point to it's start only after December 2025, meaning the most pronounced impact may be felt in January–February 2026.

❄️ Overall Outlook

The North Subcontinent is expected to witness a higher frequency of Western Disturbances, bringing more rain and snow to the northern hills and plains.

This will translate to colder-than-normal conditions, especially in January 2026, which could see multiple cold day and cold wave events.

“Possible La Niña After December — Signs Point to a Colder, Snowier Winter Across North India”

🏔️ North India

Frequent Western Disturbances likely.

Heavy snowfall expected in Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh.

Day temperatures in the plains (Punjab, Delhi, Haryana, West U.P., Rajasthan) may hover between 10°C and 15°C.

Night temperatures near freezing in Punjab, Haryana, and Rajasthan.

Sub-zero readings likely in Churu, Shekhawati, Alwar, and Mount Abu.

Maharashtra

Cold wave conditions will set in late December and continue through January.

Nashik and Pune: Lows below 7°C during cold waves ( January).

Ahilyanagar and Sambhajinagar: Around 8–9°C on coldest nights (January).

Mumbai:

December to remain near-normal with 16–20°C lows.

January may turn notably cooler, dipping to 12–15°C during cold spells.

Gujarat

Cold wave likely from late December through January.

Kutch region: Lows near freezing possible.

Saurashtra and Gujarat region: Minimums of 7–10°C on cold wave nights.

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