Mahabaleshwar got 6197.5mm rain this monsoon.
No. of days with 100mm+ rain = 16 days
No. pf days with 200mm+ rain = 4 days
No. of days with 300mm+ rain = 1 day
The attached graph shows daily rain variation in Mahabaleshwar from 1 June-30 September. Data: IMD
28th Night Post: (Mumbai /Pune outlook below)
BB 14 brought rain and cooler days for Konkan and Madhya Maharashtra on 28th
And rainfall in 12 hrs 8.30 am - 8.30 pm :
Colaba : 93 mms
Scruz: 55 mms
Nasik : 50 mms
Dahanu: 87 mms
System now over Gujarat;
Heavy rains now in Gujarat.Low chances that System may strengthen to Depression.
As the system moves away from Maharshtra, we will see rainfall decreasing in Maharashtra from Monday 29th till 3rd October. ( Another Low may be brewing up by then).
Outlook for 29th Monday - 3rd October Friday.
Mumbai > Decreasing rainfall next week. Periods of warm sunshine and few passing showers.
Pune> Next week will be almost dry with light rains in patches. Cooler nights during next week around 19c.
Chances of rainfall increasing for 1)Mumbai as 2) Pune and 3) Maharashtra from 3rd/4th October ....Monsoon persisting.
Sambhajinagar: Drier week, best chance to remove and harvest the Jowar and Maize crops now.
Mumbai outlook for Sunday 28th:
Rain from late Saturday night to Sunday night can lead to localized flash flooding in some vulnerable.
Frequent/ occasional moderate-heavy rain expected, occasional thunder. Overall between in-100 mm average rainfall expected. Localized areas could get a little heavier rainfall..
Rainfall may extend into Monday.
26th Morning
Dry air trying to intrude...but halted by BB-14 low moving in from Bay and monsoon westerlies strengthening from the Arabian Sea
With the system BB 14 moving in westwards, though lagging in intensity, Vagaries will maintain its Maharashtra wet weekend outlook.
Vagaries' Orange Alert for Mumbai/Pune for Sunday 28th/Monday 30th.
Mumbai,: After a few days, Mumbai will get rains commencing from Saturday 27th. Heavy rains on Sunday 28th and Monday 29th. Cumulative on Sunday/Monday could be between 100 - 150 mms. Very heavy falls in some areas.
Heavy rain expected in Thane, Raigad and Palghar districts
Pune: Clear skies going with rains on Saturday 27th. Sunday 28th and Monday29th will be quite heavy. Cool days.
{Will get good rains on 28th/29th...but all areas may not get uniform...North Konkan from Raigad to Palghar belt including Mumbai/Thane have good chance of rain...but live tracking being done}
Mumbai/Pune Monsoon will persist till least 8th October or beyond.
Sambhajinagar: Moderate heavy showers on Saturday, Sunday and Monday.
Expected Cumulative rains around 50-60 mms.
Goa: Moderate to heavy rains from Saturday 27th/28th/29th
South West Monsoon will withdraw from Rajasthan, Punjab, J&K, H.P, Western Haryana and Kutch by 24th...
Heavy Rains from BB 14 Low Pressure:
In Konkan, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada from 27th to 30th. Monsoon will persist till 5th October at least.
Mumbai: 24th/25th/26th: Occasional showers with average rainfall between 25-40 mms /day.
27th/28th/29th: torrential and heavy thunderstorms and gusty winds. Rainfall between 150-200 mms cumulative.
Pune: 24/25/26: Few showers and scattered rains. 27th/28th heavy thundershowers.
Cumulative 3 day rains may exceed 100 mms.
Sambhajinagar: Heavy thundershowers on 26th/27th/28th with gusty winds.
Farmers need to protect their standing crops from gusty winds and flooded fields due to saturated soils
.संभाजीनगर: २६/२७/२८ रोजी जोरदार वाऱ्यासह मुसळधार पाऊस.
शेतकऱ्यांनी त्यांच्या उभ्या पिकांचे सोसाट्याच्या वाऱ्यांपासून आणि संतृप्त मातीमुळे पाण्याखाली जाणाऱ्या शेतांपासून संरक्षण करणे आवश्यक आहे.Jalgaon: Moderate to heavy rains on 28th/29th/30th with upto 20-40 mms/day.
22nd Morning Post:
South West Monsoon Withdrawal from West Rajasthan maintained.
With the BB-14 advancing into Eastern parts, Rains are expected to occur into Delhi NCR and West U.P.
So,Vagaries holds back further withdrawal till this weekend.
The current scenario and development for next 6 days shows the Low BB 14 strengthening and moving inland from the Bay.
Rains and thundershowers an be expected 0n 23rd/24th into Odisha, East M.P. And Chattisgarh.
Long term Forecast for Konkan, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada and South Gujrat Region:
Heavy thundershowers to occur in these regions from 27th weekend till 30th September.
Mumbai, Pune, Sambhajinagar, Surat and Bharuch to possibly get a very wet weekend. Estimates for the weekend cumulative rainfall ; Mumbai 200-250 mms, Pune 100 mms, Surat 100-150 mms.
Marathwada farmers to take full precautions to ( tall) standing crops against heavy rains and gusty winds on the weekend 26th to 29th.
२६ ते २९ तारखेच्या आठवड्याच्या शेवटी मुसळधार पाऊस आणि सोसाट्याच्या वाऱ्यांपासून मराठवाड्यातील शेतकऱ्यांनी (उंच) उभ्या पिकांची पूर्ण खबरदारी घ्यावी.This will be reviewed and clarified on 24th afternoon for surety.
19th September: Maharashtra Rainfall:
Rains In Konkan:
Savarde-arg (dist Ratnagiri) 15, Chiplun (dist Ratnagiri) 9, Mahad (dist Raigad) 7, Sudhagad Pali (dist Raigad) 7, Murud (dist Raigad) 6, Guhagarh (dist Ratnagiri) 6, Malvan (dist Sindhudurg) 6, Matheran (dist Raigad) 6, Wakwali_agri (dist Ratnagiri) 6,
Rains in Madhya Maharashra:
Pune City - Imd Obsy (dist Pune) 10, Gaganbawada (dist Kolhapur) 6, Khandala Bavda (dist Satara) 6
Rains In Marathwada:
Washi (dist Dharashiv) 22, Aundha Nagnath (dist Hingoli) 8, Bhum (dist Dharashiv) 6, Ausa (dist Latur) 6
*Pune Rainfall Recorded (in mm) (from 0830 hours IST of 18.09.2025 to 0830 hours IST of 19.09.2025):*
PASHAN 140.6
SHIVAJINAGAR 97.4
KURVANDE 68.5
LAVALE 54.5
CHINCHWAD 44.0
HADAPSAR 37.5
MALIN 29.0
MAGARAPATTA 29.0
HAVELI 20.5
DUDULGAON 20.5
RAJGURUNAGAR 7.5
DAPODI 6.0
BARAMATI 5.8
NIMGIRI 4.5
DAUND 1.5
TALEGAON 1.0
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On 18th, Local convection type cloud formations around Pune Region ...For Pune, Vagaries( and all) go out of bounds
Heavy Rains lashed parts of Pune
15 UTC Rainfall(mm) dt. 18.09.2025
Zomato:
Bopkhel: 103mm
Aundh: 89.2mm
Pimple saudagar: 84.8mm
Sus: 73.6mm
Baner: 52.6mm
Bavdhan: 33mm
Yerwada: 30.4mm
Sadashiv peth: 33.8mm
Lesser rain in these areas till 5.30 pm👇
HADAPSAR 14.0
LAVALE 6.5
RAJGURUNAGAR 1.5
MAGARAPATTA 1.0
[987.8mm so far is the annual rain for pune shivajinagar since 1jan till 18sep 830pm
[ September rain till 8:30pm for pune shivajinagar is 197.4mm
[Yearwise september rain
2013: 221.7mm
2014: 128.5mm
2015: 173.7mm
2016: 58.5mm
2017: 151.7mm
2018: 30.3mm
2019: 287.7mm
2020: 198mm
2021: 83.6mm
2022: 232mm
2023: 165.7mm
2024: 207.8mm
2025 : 197.4mm (till 8:30pm of 18sep)
This is only the 2nd time since 2014 (1st after 2019) that in September 2 days has recorded 50mm+ rain in pune shivajinagar
In 2019: 3 days were 50mm+
Compiled by Vagarian Vineet Kumar
17th September this year ,2025, the Monsoon All India rainfall has reached the Monsoon annual normal,which is 869 mms on date...(Likely to be about 920 mm this year by 30th September)
Monsoon rainfall from 2016
[In last 10 years Monsoon Rainfall:
4 years had more than 900 mm...2019,2020,2022,2024
Lowest was in 2018 @802.7 mm
Highest in 2019 @971.7 mm,
Average of last 9 years 888.9 mm]
India has seen significant variation in rainfall over the last 120 years, with peak monsoon rainfall recorded in 1917..1124 mm and the driest is 1972..697 mm since records began in 1901.
While some regions show increasing rainfall trends, others face increasing deficits, with the IMD providing long-term averages and seasonal data for detailed analysis of rainfall patterns.
16th September;...afternoon Post
Mumbai:
September 16th: Thick cloud cover in the day with few showers in spots. Night also with spotty showers. !0-15 mms
September17th-19th: Decreasing rains with Partly cloudy with sunny periods. some passing showers with gusty winds (10-15 kmph); about 7-12 mms per day.
No Alerts.
Pune:
September16th : cloudy with moderate showers in parts of city.
September 17th-20th: partly cloudy with light drizzles in some spots .
No Alerts.
Sambhajinagar:
16th - 20th: Cloudy skies with few passing showers of moderate intensit by afternoon/evening.
standing crops will need protection from winds next week after 24th.
14th September Evening :
Mumbai: 15th - 18th September, Rain possibilities on Monday. From Tuesday, City will get the occasional showers, with short heavy spells in some areas. Rain amounts will be nominal at around 20 - 35 mms per day.
Pune: 15th - 18 th September :Partly Cloudy with some rain showers in areas of city. Rainfall decreasing from Tuesday. Cooler nights at around 20c on Wednesday/Thursday.
Sambhajinagar: Moderate Rain showers to continue...till weekend.
Jalgaon: Mostly cloudy and humid. Few passing showers of around 7-10 mms/day.
Gujarat: Gujarat Region will be getting no meaningful rain till 19th. Increasing in rainfall in Gujarat and East Saurashtra after 20th.
South West Monsoon has started its withdrawal from Extreme West of country.
12th Evening:
Mumbai: Contrary to earlier estimate, Rain force may be lesser than expected for Mumbai, and on 15th/16th may record upto 40-50 mms per day.
Reason: Strength of Low not as expected and the position of Monsoon Axis holds on to Central Position...👇
Vidharbh getting covered with rains...👆👆
Pune will get increasing rains from 13th..
10th September ....Evening Post
The Monsoon Axis shifting South, with another Low active in the East( See image below), Interior Maharashtra ( Specially South Madhya Maharashtra and Western Ghats ), Konkan and North Interior Karnatak will get enhanced rainfall from 13th.
Mumbai: Rainfall increasing from 14th September. Heavy showers on 14th and 15th, with thunder. Vagaries estimates rainfall in excess of 100-130 mms on 15th.
Pune: Thundershowers expected on 13th and 14th...more likely in the evening. Heavy showers on 14th in the evening.
Sambhajinagar: Rainfall with thunder expected to increase from 13th till 17th.
Gujarat : Rains expected from 14th specially in East Gujarat region. Good showers expected in Bharuch, Surat and Valsad on Sunday 14th and Monday 15th.
8th September 5.30 am 👇
7th September Post 3 pm:
Outlook for 8th September - 11th September;
Mumbai:
* Decrease in Rainfall next week (8th -11th).
* Partly cloudy and sunny periods with few localised passing showers
* Day and night to be warmer.
Pune/Sambhajinagar:
* Partly cloudy with sunny periods and light rains in some areas.
* Day warmish at 29/30c and nights pleasant at 20/21c.
Monsoon persisting in Mumbai /Pune till end September.
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The conclusion of these developments would mean the commencement of the South West Monsoon withdrawal from West Rajasthan by 11th September.
Outlook for 8th September - 11th September;
1. Monsoon withdrawal could commence in West Rajasthan from 11th.Monsoon persisting in rest of the country.
2. Rainfall decreasing in Konkan, Interior Maharashtra, Peninsula and NW India.
9th November 6.30pm IST temperatures V/S 9th November: Scz IMD 19.6°c. First sub 20°c of season Colaba 22.4°c W.S.Club 21.0°c Badlapur 16.5...
