Punjab rain so far this monsoon (1June-5Sep) is 585.4mm which is already the highest after 2008 with 25 more days to go.
However, as seen from the attached graph, there are several years when Punjab got far more rain than this monsoon. Data: IMD
Vagaries© of the weather.blog written by rajesh kapadia.concentrating on meteorology of the Indian sub continent and extreme world weather since 55 years For Any Information taken from here, due credit must be given to Vagaries.
Punjab rain so far this monsoon (1June-5Sep) is 585.4mm which is already the highest after 2008 with 25 more days to go.
However, as seen from the attached graph, there are several years when Punjab got far more rain than this monsoon. Data: IMD
Huge Rain deficiency in Bihar this monsoon
Bihar got -30% below normal rain so far this monsoon (1 June- 4 September 2025)
Worst performing districts so far this monsoon (rain in % departure from normal)
Sitamarhi: -62%
Saharsa: -58%
East Champaran: -57%
Supaul: -56%
Muzaffarpur: -54%
West Champaran: -53%
Madhepua: -53%
Gopalganj: -52%
Madhubani: -51%
Purnea: -50%
Saran: -47%
Araria: -45%
Sheohar: -40%
Kishanganj: -40%
Bhojpur: -35%
Record-breaking September rains in Jammu and Kashmir
Last 24 hours rain in Jammu Kashmir (3 September) as follows (in brackets is the 24-hour rain record for September)
Pahalgam: 64.4mm (highest rain after 2006, and 3rd highest September rain in recorded history)
Srinagar: 39.3mm (highest rain after 2014)
Katra: 212.1mm (Highest rain after 2014 and 2nd highest overall in September)
Qazigund: 82mm (Highest rain after 2015)
Kukernag: 82.4mm (Highest rain after 2015)
Banihal: 107.2mm (Highest rain after 2015)
Batote: 176.5mm (Highest rain after 2015, and 4th highest overall in September month)
Bhaderwah: 116.2mm (Highest rain after 2014)
Quazingund, Kukernag, Banihal, Batote and Bhaderwah have recorded more than the entire September month rainfall in just 24 hours. Data: IMD
3rd September night post
Update from previous forecast:
While rains are expected to increase in north Madhya Maharashtra and north Konkan, the amount of rainfall from 4th to 6th September could be lesser for
Mumbai region. Occasional moderate showers with a few heavy showers in MMR region, some gusty winds on 5th/6th September. The 3-day rainfall total could be around 70-120 mm.
Thane district may get a bit heavier rain.
No alerts for Mumbai.
Dahanu/Palghar region may get heavier rains than Mumbai.
Pune: Expecting only light showers with sunny intervals. Could be a bit windy on 5th/6th September.
Forecast for Gujarat remains the same as earlier.
Check World weather News Page Updated
Bay System Expected To Give Beneficial Round of Rainfall For Gujarat State: 4th–9th September 2025
બંગાળ ની ખાડી ની સિસ્ટમ ગુજરાત રાજ્યમાં ફાયદારૂપ વરસાદી રાઉન્ડ આપે તેવી અપેક્ષા: 4th–9th સપ્ટેમ્બર 2025
From Ashok bhai
Delhi annual rainfall crosses 1000 mm rain mark, total rain from 1 June-2 September: 1001.4mm
Monthwise rainfall as follows (bracket values denote the climatology rain)
January: 6.6 mm (19.1 mm)
February: 1.4 mm (21.3 mm)
March: 1.8 mm (17.4 mm)
April: 0.7 mm (16.3 mm)
May: 186.4 mm (30.7 mm)
June: 107.1 mm (74.1 mm)
July: 259.3 mm (209.7 mm)
August: 400.1 mm (233.1 mm)
September: 38mm (Till 2 September)
Posted 2nd September:
Very Heavy Rains expected in Gujarat starting from 3rd September - 6th September.
Heavy to very heavy rains at isolated places with isolated extremely heavy falls very likely in the districts of Gujarat region namely Surat, Navsari, Valsad and in Daman, Dadra and Nagar Haveli.
Heavy to very heavy rains very likely at isolated places in the districts of Gujarat region namely Narmada, Bharuch, Dang and Tapi; in the districts of Saurashtra- Kutch namely Amreli, Bhavnagar and Botad.
Moderate to heavy rain/Thundershowers very likely to occur in the districts of North Madhya Maharashtra.
Moderate rain/Thundershowers very likely to occur in Marathwada.( Sambhajinagar, Jalna, Nanded).
Moderate to heavy rainfall likely to occur in Konkan-Goa.
Moderate rainfall very likely to occur in South Madhya Maharashtra.( Pune, Kolhapur, Solapur).
Mumbai: Orange Alert from 4th - 6th.
A bounce back in rains from 4th to 6th September. (Ganpati Visarjan.)Heavy rains with thundershowers likely from 4th onwards. Expected rain amount 5th/6th cumulative 170 mms.
Monsoon Rainfall of Major Indian cities from June 1 to August 31, 2025:
Srinagar: 195.2 mm
Chennai A.P 260 mm
Bengaluru: 273.7 mm
Visakhapatnam 427.4 mm
Chennai : 471 mm
Pune: 532 mm
Hyderabad: 581.2 mm
Thiruvananthapuram: 626.8 mm
Lucknow 668.7 mm
Guwahati: 712.2 mm
Shillong: 709.5 mm
Ahmedabad: 745.6 mm
Imphal: 746.8 mm
Amritsar: 758.8 mm
New Delhi Safdarjung: 768.9 mm
Chandigarh: 795.2 mm
Raipur: 816.4 mm
Jaipur: 818.2 mm
Minicoy 827.1 mm
Bhopal: 835.0 mm
Patna: 853.9 mm
Prayagraj: 923.7 mm
Bhubaneswar 945.7 mm
Agartala 1179.4 mm
Kolkata: 1194.3 mm
Shimla: 1373.8 mm
Ranchi 1455.3 mm
Gangtok 1517.1 mm
Port Blair: 1530.5 mm
Dehradun: 1652.8 mm
Mumbai Santacruz: 2494 mm
Panjim: 2369.7 mm
Mangaluru: 3538 mm
Cherrapunji: 3839 mm
31st August :
New Low Pressure will form in Bay by 2nd September ...showing effect in Maharashtra, M.P and Gujarat from 3rd.
Mumbai:
1st/2nd September : Moderate occasional passing showers with " bright" intervals. Moderate rainfall of about 10-30 mms/day.
3rd/4th September : Increase in rainfall frequency and intensity with heavy rainfall with gusty winds and some thunder. Local partial flooding to be taken care of. Can expect 40-70 mms/day or more locally.
Pune: Rainfall frequency increasing from 3rd September . Moderate to heavy rains on 3rd/4th in many areas.
Sambhajinagar to get heavy rainfall (> 40 mms/Day) from 2nd to 5th September . Necessary cover up precaution in open field to be taken as winds will gust to 30-40 kmph.Gujarat: Very heavy rains from 3rd-6th September in Gujarat Region and South Gujarat:
Heavy Rain Expected from 3rd to 6th September .
Bharuch will get heavy rains from 3rd to 5th, whilst Surat and Valsad will also get heavy rains from the 3rd to 5th with gusty winds.
————————————
Very Heavy Rains all over India on 30th
Pune Shivajinagar recorded below normal rain in August 2025.
The attached graph shows daily rain variation in Pune Shivajinagar from 1 June-31 August 2025.
Delhi recorded 400.8mm rain this August, this is the highest August rain in Delhi since 2010.
The attached graph shows the daily rain in Delhi Safdarjung this August.
Vagaries underestimated 29th Friday rains for Mumbai...when an average of 80 mms fell against our estimated upto average 30 mms. All from the UAC resulting from the Low.
Colaba 32 mms & Scruz 77 mms in 12 hrs till 8 30 pm
Anyway, for Saturday/Sunday weekend estimate a decrease in rainfall frequency
The unexpected formation of UAC from the Low Pressure has fizzled out.
Occasional showers this weekend would result in average 20 - 35 mms.
---------------------------------------------
Sudden change in winds due to UAC over Vidarbha resulting in afternoon rains
12 Hour rainfall in mm (from 8.30am to 8.30pm) in Mumbai and MMR region in mms
Khairna Village: 139
Ghansoli: 135
Vashi: 149
Paspoli mun school Powai: 101
Malpa dongri mun school Andheri East: 99
Nerul: 91
Marol Fire Station: 90
Tagore Nagar Vikhroli: 90
Malwani Fire Station: 89
Chembur: 86
Pratiksha Nagar Sion: 85
Vagaries Club 34 mm
Haji Ali 26 mm
28th Night 10.30 pm Post:
As mentioned in yesterday's post, Mumbai got some showers on Thursday evening/night. Around 20 mms on an average.
Posted 27th Night:
28th & 29th Outlook for Some Cities in Maharshtra for Ganesh Visarjan.
Mumbai:
28th: Partly Cloudy with sunny periods pre noon. Possibility of occasional showers ( some heavy) from late afternoon till evening hours. Showers will be short duration and not very persistent. More rains in Northern suburbs.
Rains around 15- 30 mms.
29th: Partly Cloudy with some passing showers in varying parts of city. Less frequency than 28th. Rains 10-20 mms
Pune:
28th/29th: Partly Cloudy skies with few light to moderate passing showers in different parts of city.
Sambhajinagar:
28th/29th: Cloudy with heavy Thunder Showers by afternoon/Evening. 20-30 mms per day.
Gujarat: Heavy rainfall to continue in East and South Gujarat Regions till 28th.
NORTH INDIA BATTERED BY VERY HEAVY RAINS
MORNING OF 26TH 👇
Morning of 27th:👇..Udhampur 63 cms !
Jammu has recorded Massive 380 mm rain in the last 24 hours, which is the highest 24-hour rain recorded in Jammu in August in recorded history.
Delhi Safdarjung has recorded 323.8mm rain this August till date (27 August). It is now the 3rd wettest August since 2011.
Year-wise August rain in Delhi since 2011
2011: 210.3mm
2012: 378.8mm
2013: 321.4mm
2014: 139.1mm
2015: 181.6mm
2016: 122.7mm
2017: 173mm
2018: 206.6mm
2019: 119.6mm
2020: 237mm
2021: 214.5mm
2022: 41.6mm
2023: 91.8mm
2024: 390.3mm
2025 (Till 27 Aug): 323.8mm
Data: IMD
Unbelievable Temperature in Vostok Station ,Antarctica on 14th August 2025.
MAX: - 73.5°c
MIN: - 75.0°c
Posted 24th evening:
The Monsoon trough at MSL runs near its normal position. 👇
BB-11: Low Pressure can form in Bay by 26th August...From "Tajiki" Storm in south China Sea👆
BB-10: Low pressure area over Gangetic West Bengal & neighborhood moved west-northwestwards and lay over Northeast Madhya Pradesh & neighborhood on 24th August, 2025.
Heavy rains will persist in Rajasthan, NW India and Kashmir till 26th.
Moderate to heavy rainfall to commence in Konkan, Madhya Maharashtra and Gujarat from 26th.
Mumbai:
Monday 25th; Partly cloudy with some passing showers. Rain amount will be15 mms.
Tuesday 26th-Thursday 28th: Rainfall frequency and intensity increasing with occasional heavy falls. Winds will be WSW at 25-30 kmph. Parts of localised flooding possible.
Rain amount will be between 30-45 mms /day. with heavier local rains possible upto 50 mm 28th.
Cumulative from26th - 28th around 120 -150 mms....No Alerts
Pune : Cloudy skies on Monday. Slight increase in showers from Tuesday 26th and 27th will see some showers of moderate intensity.
Gujarat: Gujarat Region and Saurashtra will get heavy rains from Monday 25th - 28th . Heavy falls likely in North Gujarat Region.
Bharuch will get frequent showers from 25th to 28th.
Interesting Rainfall Totals as on 22nd August...
The Champions are behind..Maharashtra ahead
1. Taminhi: 7680 mms ( Mah)
2. Shirgaon : 6125 mms (Mah)
3. Davdi : 5822 mms (Mah)
4. Amboli: 5740 mms (Mah)
5. Dungarwadi: 5255 mms (Mah)
6. Hulikal: 4923 mms (Karnatak)
7.Mshwar: 4923 mms (Mah)
8. Ambona: 5214 mms (Mah)
The NE King's Lagging behind 👇
Special Bulletin for MCGM: 2..
21st August.
OUTLOOK FOR MUMBAI: 22nd/23rd/24th August.
Friday/Saturday/Sunday weekend will see cloudy skies with some sunny intervals.
Few passing showers in parts of city.
Some areas will get heavy showers on Friday night amounting to 25 - 35 mms by Saturday morning.
Average Rainfall on Saturday and Sunday will be around 10 - 20 mms per day.
Day temperatures around 30° and nights 25/26°c.
No Alerts.
MCGM साठी विशेष बुलेटिन: २..
Special Bulletin for MCGM : 1
OUTLOOK FOR MUMBAI: 21st/22nd/23rd August.
Next 3 days will see reduction in rainfall, from the last 3 days. On an average, city can expect 10 - 20 mms spread in the city.
Winds from SW at 20-30 kmph.
There could be an increase in rain frequency from 27th...shall re confirm on this.
मुंबईचा अंदाज: २१/२२/२३ ऑगस्ट. पुढील ३ दिवसांत गेल्या ३ दिवसांपेक्षा पावसाचे प्रमाण कमी होईल. शहरात सरासरी १०-२० मिमी पाऊस पडण्याची शक्यता आहे. नैऋत्येकडून २०-३० किमी प्रतितास वेगाने वारे वाहतील. २७ तारखेपासून पावसाच्या वारंवारतेत वाढ होऊ शकते... याची पुन्हा पुष्टी केली जाईल.20th August ...
Vagaries was invited today to the BMC office by Shri Mahesh Narvekar, Chief Officer at Disaster Management Unit, MCGM.
He was very keen that Vagaries set up a team of 3/4 members to issue weather bulletins for Mumbai only. Also collaborate and help MCGM in tackling weather hazards by timely forecasting.
Shall be going ahead immediately and issuing the 1st Bulletin tonite.
Posted 19th Night
Forecast from Wednesday 20th August to Friday 22nd August:
Mumbai: After sustained extremely heavy rains since last 4 days, rain intensity to reduce.
Interior Konkan likely to get heavier rains than the coastal regions.
Ghats (Lonavala, Tamhini, Mahabaleshwar): Heavy showers and very strong winds likely on 20th August, with very cool weather. Intensity reducing from 21st August, but gusty winds and moderate-heavy passing showers will continue.
Rain and winds reduce from 22nd onwards.
Pune: Rains reducing compared to last two days. Moderate showers with gusty winds on 20th August, around 15-20 mm expected. Rain reducing from 21st onwards, but windy weather and light/moderate passing showers likely.
Rain is expected to reduce further from 22nd August, with sunny periods during daytime.
BB-9 depression has weakened into a Well-marked low pressure area over east MP/Chhattisgarh region. It will travel west across MP over next 1-2 days and weaken.
Gujarat: Moderate/heavy showers likely in south coastal Gujarat near Navsari/Surat/Valsad regions.
Baroda can get light to moderate rain/thundershowers. Ahmedabad/Bharuch regions to get moderate rain/thundershowers on 20th, heavier near Bharuch.
Saurashtra to get moderate-heavy rain. Moderate rains in Kutch, with localized heavy in western parts.
18th Night Posting:
Mumbai:
18th Monday..A day of continuing widespread rainfall, especially in the pre evening session...Rainfall recorded at Scruz
[Santacruz total from start of Monsoon = 1992 mms.( till 8.30 pm of 18th). If include May, when the Monsoon set in, add 387 mms ,annual = 2379 mms.]
The Annual Rainfall total is achieved today as Normally Scruz gets 2373 mms annually. With another 80-120 mms expected on Tuesday, rainfall will be adding to surplus.
With More rains expected on 19th, we can expect localised flooding and heavy spells of frequent rainfall.
Rainfall decreasing on 20th Wednesday.
Frequent showers can be expected in Pune on 19th/20th. with around 50-70 mms in 2 days, expect a Cool day.
Very Heavy rainfall expected in Ghats .
Risk Factor: 👉👉
Gujarat: Heavy rains expected in Valsad and South Gujarat Coast from 19th night. Expect around 100 mms in 2 days.
Surat/Bharuch: Rain frequency increasing from Tuesday Night.
Hurricane #Erin in the Atlantic is now Category 5 (140 knots). It intensified explosively from Category 1 (65 knots) to Category 5 (140 knots) in a span of just 24 hours.
This is now the strongest cyclone on Earth in this year till date. Source: NHC, JTWC
Mumbai recorded extremely heavy 245 mm rain in the last 24hrs.
24hrs highest August rain in the last 13 years:
2025: 245mm
2024: 96.8mm
2023: 44.6mm
2022: 123.6mm
2021: 52.2mm
2020: 268.6mm
2019: 216.4mm
2018: 24.7mm
2017: 331.4mm
2016: 141.7mm
2015: 22.3mm
2014: 88.1mm
2013: 92.3mm
Data: IMD
Posted 15th Evevning:
Very Heavy rainfall expected in Konkan, Goa and Ghats from 16th - 18th.
Heavy rainfall in Gujarat Region on 18th ( Surat,Ahmedabad, Baroda, Bharuch).
Mumbai: Rainfall frequency increasing from 16th and very heavy showers on 17th/18th. Orange Alert for 17th/18th with localised flooding.
Pune: Frequent showers, with some heavy falls on 17th/18th.
Goa: Very heavy showers on 17th/18th.
Effect of Westwards movement of BB 8.
14th August
In Croatia, air temperature records were set in Šibenik, at 39.5C, and Dubrovnik, at 38.9C, while large forest fires raged along its coasts and ripped through neighbouring countries in the Balkans.
The day before, Hungary broke its daily maximum temperature record when a weather station in Körösladány hit 39.9C. The capital, Budapest, also broke its daily maximum record as it sweltered through 38.7C heat.
Courtesy The Guardian.com
Punjab rain so far this monsoon (1June-5Sep) is 585.4mm which is already the highest after 2008 with 25 more days to go. However, as seen f...