Thursday, August 25, 2011
The sea level axis line of the monsoon now is at its normal position, and passes thru Rajasthan, North M.P. and thru Chattisgarh into the Bay. It is embedded with 2 UACs. One over Rajasthan and another over Chattisgarh.
Another monsoon axis at an upper level now also passes from the Arabian Sea thru N.Maharashtra and Chattisghar into the bay.
Off shore trough along the west coast is fairly active.
Precipitation all along these developments will occur on Thursday.
Expect good rainfall along the axis in Rajasthan, M.P, and Chattisgarh, and heavy falls in Eastern Gujarat and interior Mah. West coast will receive precipitation with heavy falls too.
Interior Karnataka and entire T.N. could benefit with fairly good rains next 24 hrs.
Rainfall creeping into central Nepal on Thursday.Kathmandu will will overcast with some heavy showers for Thursday.
Due to the upper air axis, cloudy weather with medium rains could occur along the Sindh coast line of Pakistan and Southern regions of Sindh. Karachi could get a few spells of rain. Northern and Central Pakistan will get showers due to the sea level trough line.
Mumbai will receive frequent to showers on Thursday, some very heavy. Rain will be continuous till noon, when flooding could be possible. Gusty winds along with the showers could be expected. Rain amounts during day 60-80 mms. Some areas could measure up to 100 mms in 24 hrs.
Pune: Cloudy with spells of rain and some heavy showers in parts of the city.
19th October... Heavy Rains likely again in Kerala and South Karnataka (read Bangalore) from 21st - 23rd October...Then SWM may withdraw.. ...