Friday, February 07, 2025

Our Vagarian, Vineet Kumar Singh won the A.D.Rao Best PhD Thesis award by Ocean Society of India

Congratulations to Dr Vineet Kumar Singh...we are proud to have him with Vagaries 




 7th February:

Minimal Tropical Storm Faida dissipated over northern Madagascar. 

• Cyclones Vince and Taliah churned the open waters of the Indian Ocean


 6th February

Snow blankets Himachal Pradesh’s Shimla, Kullu, Lahaul-Spiti, Mandi; IMD issues cold wave alert as temperature drops

Himachal Pradesh experienced fresh snowfall and rainfall on February 5, causing roadblocks in various areas. 

Written By Fareha Naaz (Mint)
Published6 Feb 2025, 08:03 AM IST

Himachal Pradesh's higher altitudes received fresh snowfall on Wednesday while rainfall was also experienced at many locations in the state.
Himachal Pradesh’s higher altitudes received fresh snowfall on Wednesday while rainfall was also experienced at many locations in the state.(HT_PRINT)

Himachal Pradesh's higher altitudes witnessed fresh snowfall on Wednesday. At the same time, several locations across the state received rainfall. Light to moderate precipitation was observed in most parts of Himachal Pradesh over the past 24 hours, according to the India meteorological department’s (IMD) Shimla office.

According to officials, thunderstorms were reported in Shimla, Kangra, Jubbarhatti, Sundernagar, Bhuntar, Jot and Palampur while shallow fog was observed in Mandi and Bilaspur. During the last 24 hours, an appreciable fall in maximum temperatures at many stations was observed and maximum temperatures of most stations were reported to be above normal

Place that received fresh snowfall

Lahaul-Spiti, Kinnaur, Kullu, Chamba, Mandi, and Shimla received fresh snowfall that resulted in roadblocks at many places. Mandi, Kangra, Solan, Hamirpur, Shimla, Chamba and Kullu districts witnessed rainfall on February 5.

Wednesday, February 05, 2025

Weekend outlook : 6th -9th February. 

Dry and sunny weather ☀in Maharashtra:

Mumbai:

Pleasant weather in Mumbai currently since 3/4 days, with Day/Night range at 32°c- 18°c.

Now, North winds expected to loose the grip. Weekend expected to turn warmer with Day/Night range at 35°- 21c°.

Thane could reach 36°c.

But the winter of Mumbai is not over,  as we may see some cooing down again next week. 

Pune: Also expected to warm up again after the record in January.

Day/Night range between 34°c - 18°c.

Nagpur: Should be warm for the Cricket ODI on Thursday. 
Temperatures on the weekend should be in the range of 35°c - 16°c.

Sambhajinagar: Days around 35°c and 18°c at night.

Delhi NCR : Dry and partly foggy.

Still pleasant around 26°c in the day and 11°c at night.

Gujarat:

Ahmedabad/Vadodara: Warmish around 32°c - 15°c range.

Surat and Bharuch around 34°c - 21°c.


Monday, February 03, 2025

 3rd February 

Southern Indian Ocean will see multiples cyclones this week


Sunday, February 02, 2025

2nd Febraury 

January 2025 was the hottest January for Mumbai.  

Mumbai Santacruz avg.

Maximum temperature this

January was 33.2c, making

it the hottest January for Mumbai in history beating the previous record of 32.9c, set in January 2009.

The normal Maximum average for Jan is 31.2°c.

The average minimum was 18.5°, while the normal should be 17.3°c.

So, comparatively, the nights were a shade better.

But the EastWinds were present only in the day, thus keeping the nights cooler.The coldest night was on 9th .at 13.7° c.

The overall night /day average this year ..which was 25.85°c....thus not very high

Normal average is 24.25°c

January saw a total decrease in western disturbances,  which normally cools the city and Maharashtra. 

The north winds were absent, and replaced by dry warm easterlies.

Easterly winds were a result of a persistent high pressure ( Anti Cyclone) over central India. 

Such anti cyclones are usually shorrt lived in January..about 3/4 days.



Friday, January 31, 2025

 31st January 

January 2025 shows its weather skills on the last day again..Vagaries of the Weather 

Mumbai 29.0°c, was the coolest city in Maharashtra  ( if we consider a hill station  Mahabaleshwar, wee bit lower at 28.8°c.)


The avg max temp of Pune shivajinagar this Jan was 31.56c which is highest in a decade.

Avg. Minimum temperature this Jan is 13.89c, 2nd highest in a decade after 2021
 In 2021 avg min temp was 15.76

Pune stats by Vag Dr.Vineet

Thursday, January 30, 2025

Weather forecast from Thursday 30th January to Monday 3rd February

January Temperatures till date this year:


Mumbai: Nights can get pleasant with minimum temperatures dropping to 16C-17C. Days will remain warm around 32C-33C. Evenings can be breezy and pleasant due to sea breeze. 

Pune: Days to remain hotter than normal, with maximum temperature in the range of 33C-35C. Nights pleasant around 15C, but still warmer than normal. Night temperatures may drop to around 14C during 1st-3rd February. 


Gujarat: Nights to get pleasant and cooler during 31st January to 2nd February, Minimum temperatures will be around 14C-15C for parts of Saurashtra and Ahmedabad/Gandhinagar/Baroda regions. Surat/Valsad could see nights around 16C-18C. 

There is a chance of some clouding and light showers in parts of Saurashtra and north Gujarat on 3rd February.

Central India Jan Temperatures👇 


Anomaly👇




Wednesday, January 29, 2025

29th January 

Pune:

Today Pune recorded 35.9°c ( 5°c above normal) as the maximum temperature. 



This is the highest ever day temperature for the month of January.  Previous highest was 35.3°c on 27th January 2009.

See the surprise of the Vagaries of the Weather 

Lowest temperature today was 15.9°c, creating a difference of 20°c between night and day.

And, Mahabaleshwar hills were 17.9°c as the minimum temperature today! Santacruz saw a low of 16.9°c

Mumbai Santacruz was 31.8°c  .( normal)in the day today and Colaba 29.2°c.

 Another Freezing Report from U.S.

Chicago Chill..See World Weather News Page

Tuesday, January 28, 2025

 28th/ January



Clouds of dust darkened the sky as winds swept across southeastern Iran in January 2025. Some of the desert dust was carried across the Gulf of Oman to the Arabian Peninsula, degrading air quality for those in its path.

The MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) on NASA’s Terra satellite acquired this image of several dust plumes on January 22. The airborne material appears to primarily originate in the dried bed of the intermittent lake known as Hamun-e Jazmurian (Hamun-e Jaz Murian), while some may be blown from coastal areas. Along with arid regions such as the Garagum and Lut deserts and the Sistan Basin, the lakebed is a major source of dust in southwest Asia.

Monday, January 27, 2025

 

Video Gets You Up Close To A Pennsylvania Ice Jam

January 27, 2025...https://weather.com/news/trending/video/severe-cold-freezes-hudson-river-new-york

For weeks, huge chunks of ice have covered the Susquehanna River, making it look like a frozen tundra. Now, stunning new video shows you how that ice is cracking, creaking and breaking apart as it moves along the river.

Sunday, January 26, 2025

26th January 

The predicted heat:

Mumbai SCz 35°C

Mumbai Colaba 32.2°c



Konkan max on 26-1-25

Panji 35.5°c

Vasai 36

Ratnagiri 36.5

NaviMumbai & Panvel 37

Badlapur 37

Kalyan & Kudal 37.2

UIhasnagar & Talasari 37.4

Dombivli 37.5

Thane 37.6

Palghar 37.7

Sawarde 38.3

Karjat 38.5

Chiplun 39.4

Konkan compiled by Vag. A.Modak.

Saturday, January 25, 2025

 

Extreme Cold, Unprecedented Snowfall... labeled by AccuWeather as “once in a generation”

In the last seven days alone, another winter storm and an arctic burst have worked their way across the United States — adding to a very active January of winter weather. 

While there were warnings of a potential storm coming through the Gulf Coast, the snow and cold temperatures — labeled by AccuWeather as “once in a generation” — caused upwards of $14 billion in damages, experts at the weather bureau said late Tuesday afternoon. In some areas of the region, blizzard warnings were issued for the first time in recorded history in anticipation of the storm.

Parts of southeast Texas and Louisiana got over 6 inches of snow, while even Mississippi, Alabama, and northern Florida reported substantial snowfall on the ground.

The arctic burst tore its way through the Midwest and the Corn Belt, eventually impacting up to 41 states and over 230 million people, AccuWeather reported. In Colorado, wind gusts jumped to nearly 80 mph in places in addition to temperatures well below zero.

By Noah Rohlfing

Houston rarely sees snowfall. The top five snow events are:

  • Feb. 14-15, 1895, with 20 inches of snow

  • Feb. 12, 1960, with 4.4 inches of snow

  • Jan. 30, 1949, with 3.1 inches of snow

  • Jan. 21, 2025 with 3 inches of snow

Comparing the deadly 2021 freeze to the 2025 snowfall that hit southeast Texas



HOUSTON, Texas (KTRK) -- Stacking up the 2021 freeze to the snowfall in 2025 is an apples-to-oranges comparison.

The first big difference is the size of the storms.

In 2021, the cold weather impacted every single Texas county; this week's storm impacted the southeast. This fact made all the difference in the outcome.

Because the 2021 storm was so widespread, everyone was drawing large amounts of power from the independent Texas power grid.

Unable to borrow supply from other states, people used more than the grid had available, resulting in a catastrophic failure.

In 2021, over half the state lost power, plunging people into the dark and cold for weeks.

People died of hypothermia. Some resorted to using generators at home and died of carbon monoxide poisoning.

A lack of power made it hard for some to cook or follow boil water notices.

Some parts of Texas don't have snowplows or brine trucks, and iced-over roads cause intense crashes. Emergency crews couldn't get to destinations, and trucks had a hard time delivering food, resulting in a grocery shortage.

In total, almost 250 people died.


Friday, January 24, 2025

 24th January 2025:...FYI....INTERESTING COMPARISON

                                 Max                  Min                      Humidity

Mumbai Scz:          31.5  (+0.7)      17.1 (+0.5 )           77%

Mahabaleshwar :   29.1 (=2.1)      17.0 (+2.4)             66%

Dahanu :                 27.4(+0.2)       17.0 (0)                  71%


A'nagar:                 32.8 (+2.1)      12.5( +1.3)              85%

Thursday, January 23, 2025

Outlook for the weekend ( 24th - 27th) for Maharashtra Cities

An anti cyclone likely to form and strengthen over Maharashtra in the upper levels. 

This will result in blocking of North Winds. Result will be near to calm situation bring in a " halt to winter " conditions. 

Temperature range expected over weekend with clear sunny days.

Mumbai : 35°c~ 20°c

Pune: 32°c~ 13°c

Ahilyanagar: 32°c~ 14°c 

Mahabaleshwar: 29°c~ 15°c

Sambhajinagar: 33°c~ 15°c

Jalgaon: 32°c~ 14°c

Nagpur:  32°c~ 14°c

Panjim: 35°c~ 21°c

                          




Tuesday, January 21, 2025

 FORGET WARMING FOR THE TIME BEING 

IT'S COLD IN THE U.S....⛄☃


www.weather.gov/source/crh/snowmap.html

Washington DC






A rare winter storm so far south

Dry, Arctic air pushing well to the south is forcing the storm and its wintry precipitation to hug the Gulf Coast of the U.S., which rarely experiences even flurries, let alone several inches of snow like the storm is set on delivering.

"This will be a rare and especially dangerous winter storm right along the upper Gulf Coast that will result in major and lengthy disruptions to travel," AccuWeather Chief Meteorologist Jonathan Porter said.

The last time New Orleans experienced more than a few snowflakes was 15 years ago in December 2009. Since 1948, enough snow to measure has only fallen eight times. This could be the biggest storm in a lifetime for the New Orleans area, as well as much of southern Louisiana and the central Gulf coast.

The last time there was enough snow to measure in Jacksonville, Florida, was during the Christmas week storm of 1989. Nearly 2 inches of snow fell during the event.

Snow in Houston is uncommon but not nearly as rare as that of New Orleans and Jacksonville. Houston's last snowfall was in February 2021, during the mega freeze that brought up to half a foot of snow from parts of Texas to portions of northern and central Louisiana and Mississippi.

The biggest snowstorm on record in the now-I-10 corridor was the blockbuster storm more than 100 years ago, from Feb. 14-15, 1895, which dumped a whopping 6-20 inches of snow along the Texas and Louisiana coasts.

A swath of 1-6 inches of snow with locally higher amounts will extend from just inland of the upper Texas coast to the Carolina coast. An AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 14 inches is most likely near and just north of Interstate 10.

"Travel will be dangerous or impossible for hours to days after the storm along vast stretches of the I-10 corridor," AccuWeather Meteorologist Brandon Buckingham said.

Interior South to be on storm's edge

"It's not too often a storm with snow passes Atlanta by to the south, but that is how this southern U.S. storm is shaping up," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Bob Larson said.

With this storm setup, heavy snow will tend to hug the Gulf and southern East coasts. Still, it could deliver spotty snow showers and slippery travel as far north as parts of the Jackson, Mississippi, Birmingham, Alabama, Atlanta, and Charlotte metro areas.

AccuWeather 




 

Monday, January 20, 2025


Why Is It Getting Colder If The Earth Is Getting Hotter Due To Global Warming

Saturday, January 18, 2025

 18th January..

Mumbai and Ratnagiri hottest places in Maharashtra Today....at 35.1°c

4th Hottest in India!



After an initial fall in temperatures, Mumbai weather has become hot again from this weekend (18th Jan). !7th saw a high of 35.5c and as at the time of reporting, Mumbai mercury was 35.1° on 18th .

An anticyclone prevails over Central India, and with the anti -cyclone winds tendency being clockwise, there is a flow of Easterly winds blowing into Mumbai.

East winds into Mumbai are from inland , and not from the sea, hence are warmer and dry. The East winds are likely to persist till 23rd, as the Anti Cyclone holds on. 

The next few days, from 18th - 23rd, Mumbai will see warm weather continuing with days around 33/35c and nights around 19/21c. Warm dry winds, with humidity dropping to 45-50%, normally which is dryier than normal for coastal city of Mumbai.

AQI will remain in the Poor category,around 150-200

Friday, January 17, 2025

 17th January 

Mumbai temperature in yo-yo swing...again on hottest in Maharashtra at 35.5°c ( +4.4°above normal)..and 5th hottest in India 





  8th February