Monday, November 30, 2020
Posted Monday 30th Afternoon;
BB-14, now a depression and likely to be the Next immediate cyclone after Nivar in 2 days from 30th...Though not as strong as Nivar... !
BB-14 To track West towards North Sri Lanka and South T.N. ...and cross land by 2nd December over these regions. To emerge again in the Arabian Sea in a weaker strength.
BB-15 getting formation stage by 3rd december..in around 8N...due to location, could also re emerge in the Arabian Sea.
Mumbai: Outlook for the period 1st -5th December:
With the developments taking place as explained above, and no WD in the North, we see no major change in the Mumbai weather. Slight feeling of humidity which remains in the 50%-70% range in the mentioned period of Forecast.
Sunny periods, with day warm at 33c and nights at Scruz not falling below 20c.
Last week's Temperature Variation:
Last week's variation:
Record Heat in Sydney: See World Weather News.
Saturday, November 28, 2020
Friday, November 27, 2020
Posted Friday afternoon 27th November:
Bay to sprout new Low , BB-14, East of Sri Lanka at around 87E by 29th...expected to cross Southern tip of India and re-emerge in the South Arabian sea.
BB-15 to form at 95E by 2nd December..Initial track west/North west towards South/Central T.N....more later of the track
Bangalore A.P. saw a high of 20c on Thursday 26th and a Low of 17c on Friday morning with 23 mms rain.
Mumbai: Partly cloudy weekend. No large change..with day around 33 (warm) and night at 20c.
Pune : Partly cloudy with light drizzles in parts of city on weekend. Days around 30/31c and nights at 14-16c.
Goa : Partly cloudy and warm.
Thursday, November 26, 2020
Wednesday, November 25, 2020
Nivar update..posted 10pm 25th
Nivar to cross TN coast between Karaikal & Pondicherry early 26th morning. (Moving along the Southern edge of Ridge)
Wind speed estimated at 120 - 130 kmph
Rainfall till 8.30 pm Wednesday
Tuesday, November 24, 2020
Monday, November 23, 2020
11.30 pm IST... Monday.. Minimum lightening.. Nivar
At 9.30 pm IST.. Nivar
Almost stationary at 3.30 IST monday
Posted Monday 23rd afternoon:
BB-13: Now located at 9.3N and 84.5e...about 630 kms east/South-East of Chennai...as a Depression.
winds speed estimated at 40-50 kmph, and pressure still estimated at 1004 mb.
MJO will support further enhancement of convective activity. With Low Vertical Wind Shear and warm seas , further strengthening is very possible, and possible formation of Cyclone is High by 24th evening
Sunday, November 22, 2020
Category 2-3 cyclone Gati (very severe cyclonic storm by IMD) now making an unprecedented landfall in Bari Region, #Somalia. This is solidly the strongest tropical cyclone to hit Somalia on JTWC, as well as IMD records (which goes back to 1891). Both show no typhoon-equivalent landfall in Somalia before.... From Vagarian Mitan (Bhubaneswar)
Posted Sunday 22nd Afternoon 1 pm:
Cyclone "Gati" forms and moves towards the West..away from the Indian coast...
BB-13 , is near the Indian Coast, as Depression and tracking as shown...becoming into Deep depression before crossing South of Chennai.
Friday, November 20, 2020
Forecast for today 20th November and tomorrow 21st November :
Pune: Possibility of light to moderate rain/thundershowers in and around Pune city today and tomorrow. Other parts of Pune district may also get rains.
Slight chance of drizzle for Mumbai & MMR, more possibilities in interior Raigad/Ratnagiri and Sindhudurg districts and along western Ghats.
Satara and Nashik districts can also get some rain/thundershowers.
Marathwada districts of Aurangabad and those bordering Karnataka/Telangana may get light rain.
Vidarbha region of Nagpur and neighborhood districts can also get light rain/thundershowers.
Minimum temperature will be above normal in most of interior Maharashtra.
Low over the Arabian Sea AS-6 intensifies into a depression and moves westwards towards Somalia.
Another low BB-14 forms in southwestern Bay of Bengal. Intensifying further as it heads towards Sri Lanka and Tamil Nadu. More updates on this by tomorrow.
Sunday, November 15, 2020
Thursday, November 12, 2020
Vagaries team wishes its readers a very Happy Diwali and New Year.
Thanking all for the faith and trust shown towards Vagaries..with the hits reading 31.52 lacs//3.52 Million.
Diwali forecast for the period from 13th Friday to 17th Tuesday:
Mumbai: The range at Scruz will be 35-21c. Colaba will see a range of 33-23c
Partly cloudy skies will be the spoilers. .After enjoying a minimal fall night temperatures to 19c, Mumbai Scruz will see a small rise again to 20-22c in the night.
Pune: Again , partly cloudy skies will see the day/night range of around 31-16c.
Rise in night temperatures by around 5c from current conditions of 10/11c.
Partly cloudy skies with a change in the current conditions for Interior Maharashtra . Cool effect wearing down a bit.
Goa: Range: 33-22c. partly cloudy and light rain expected on 16th , New Year day.
New Delhi: Range 27-15c.
Here also, as the skies get cloudy, we see the night chill wearing ff. But with chances of light rains on 15th and 16th.
Chennai: Showers on daily basis. Ranging daily from 20-35 mms . some heavy in parts of city.
Kolkata: Range; 32-21c. Sunny weather throughout.
A WD expected in J&k, Ladakh and H.P. and Utterakhand hills on 15th..precipitation expected.
Tuesday, November 10, 2020
Some minimum temperatures in Maharashtra on 10th November, 2020:-
Data Source:IMD & Pvt stations
Sunday, November 08, 2020
Thursday, November 05, 2020
Maharashtra's coast Konkan Belt & Goa heats up on 5th November:
Coastal Cities on 5th Max and Min temperatures:
BOMBAY 33.4(-0.6) - 25.0
SCZ 34.8( 0.6) - 22.2( 0.0)
ALIBAG 33.5( 0.1) - 20.9(-1.1)
RATNAGIRI 35.8( 2.0) - 22.2(-0.6)
PANJIM 34.5( 1.3) - 22.2(-1.3)
DHANU 34.7( 1.7)
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Some minimum temperatures in Maharashtra on 5th November, 2020:-
NDA, Pune 14.2c
Mumbai Scz 22.2c