Posted 13th May 1.30 pm
Repeating, A Well Marked Low will form off Kerala coast in next 24 hrs.
The effective Monsoon type rainfall has already commenced in Kerala as massive convection is seen. Pradeep has put up the rainfall figures below.
Very heavy rains expeceted in Kerala and South Karnataka Coast on 14th.
The system will intensify to Depression in next 24hrs ( 15th) and soon to Cyclone " TAUKTAE" by 17th or 18th.
From tomorrow, System AS1 Will move along the coastal belt and then from 17th , track North/North West after reaching Goa. Going away from coast after 17th.
Will ,as per conditions seen now, head towards the Kutch International Border. As shown in map yesterday.
Rainfall in the Western Saurashtra Region when the cyclonic approaches the region..17th & 18th.
Mumbai,though no direct hit, will be very windy with gusty winds and rain showers on Sunday 16th and Monday 17th.
Pune, light to moderate rainfall on Saturday 15th and Sunday 16th. Strong gusty winds .
Very heavy rains in Goa on 15th and very windy with cyclonic winds.
Monitoring AS 1 is on.. and major deflection or any variation will be updated.
will this cyclone hit MAHA GUJ or PAK ?
GUJ 2020 Dwaraka received > 1500 mm rains in 3 days !
In contrast to the forecast made by IMD that the country would witness above normal temperatures, the summer season so far has been cool. Talking about North India, there is hardly any heatwave witnessed so far this year. Western disturbances have been hitting North India leading to frequent showers in the hilly states and the plains. I am from Punjab and my area has received light to moderate showers almost daily for the last ten days. It feels like monsoon season. Today the maximum temperatures were almost eight to ten degrees below normal all across Punjab. Going by the forecast, there may be more western disturbances hitting northwest India.
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