Update on 11th May 11.45 pm

Forecast Low in Arabian Sea update

A "Well Marked Low" Will form near the Lakshdeep Islands by 13th/14th May. 

Will intensify gradually and stage wise become into a Cyclone in about 5 days hence.

As per current study, Vagaries maintains the track mentioned in the morning post. 

Tracking and skirting the West Coast of India. After about 3 days (17th), Near the 15N area (Approximately off Goa), it will move NW ,away from Coast, along the STR. 

Cross Equatorial Winds will be strong as the system develops. 

Enough time for Monsoon to re-organise for timely arrival.