Sunday, May 09, 2021

 Vineet's Note:

Interesting stats : only once (year 1998) in the past, Arabian sea has cyclone genesis in the May and June month.

That means statistically if we have a cyclone in Arabian sea in May then there is very rare possibility of another cyclone in June in the Arabian sea. Also once again a fading La-nina is growing to throw a cyclone in the Arabian sea in May.

This relation of May Arabian sea cyclone with decaying La nina has been observed several times in the past also

2 comments:

sset said...

AS cyclone is becoming very common during start of SWM.
Last year we had cyclone Nisarga.

This has impact on strong monsoon onset over Kerala. Last 5 years SWM onset over Kerala has been extremely weak. This is due to AS cyclones which take entire moisture payload to Saudi or Karachi or GUJ / MAHA.

Nilesh Ladhad said...

Sir,any probability of it coming towards Indian Coast?