Friday, May 14, 2021
Posted 14th May 11.45 pm IST
The latest image of Cyclone "Tauktae"
This type of an unorganized cyclone (at this stage of initial formation) has been noticed by me after along time..do not remember when in last 5 decades.
Shows more convective clouding and organized bands in the West.
Reason...Low level convergence in the Southwest of the center and there is an Easterly Shear delaying the convection.
Steering ridge at 12.5N.
Recently convection has built-up to the North of the cyclone.
Shown the TPW image earlier which shows good intensification chances.
Hoping to see a proper cyclonic formation, without the dominating wind Shear.(VWS 25-30 knots)
The Mumbai lakes and dams level reported at 6 am on 07th July 2022 is 276129 ML (19%) of the total 1447363 ML . Last year on 07th July...