Pune (Shivajinagar) recorded only 84.5mm rain this August which is significantly below normal and it is the 3rd driest Aug. in Pune in last decade
See attached graph of Aug. total rain from 2016-2026.
Data IMD
It has been 30 days in a row now since pune recorded double digit rain.
ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño is present
(Update prepared by: Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 24 August 2026).
* Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are above average across the east central and eastern Pacific Ocean.
*The atmospheric circulation anomalies over the equatorial Pacific Ocean are consistent with El Niño.
(NOAA Operational Definitions for El Niño and La Niña
El Niño: characterized by a positive RONI greater than or equal to +0.5ºC. La Niña: characterized by a negative RONI less than or equal to -0.5ºC.
By historical standards, to be classified as a full-fledged El Niño or La Niña episode, these thresholds must be exceeded for a period of at least 5 consecutive overlapping 3-month seasons.
CPC considers El Niño or La Niña conditions to occur when the monthly relative Niño3.4 departures meet or exceed +/- 0.5ºC along with consistent atmospheric features.
anomalies must also be forecasted to persist for 3 consecutive months.)
The other important agency monitoring the ENSO is the Australian Government – Bureau of Meteorology.
For declaration of an El Nino event
SOI: The three-month average SOI is –7 or lower.
Conclusion: El Niño is strengthening, with a greater than 90% chance of a very strong event during Sept/Oct and Nov/dec/Jan 2026-27.
27th August
BB 6 Persists in same region bringing good precipitation
M.P.👇
Prominent Rainfall Amounts (in mm):
Orchha – 205.0 mm
Nalkheda – 165.0 mm
Susner – 132.0 mm
Seondha – 130.0 mm
Prithvipur – 130.0 mm
Agar – 110.0 mm
Indergarh – 110.0 mm
Moman Badodia – 105.0 mm
Niwari – 102.0 mm
Mohangarh – 95.0 mm
Sarangpur – 93.5 mm
Mau – 92.0 mm
Palera – 90.0 mm
Datia – 85.1 mm
Jatara – 84.0 mm
Lahar – 83.5 mm
Bhander – 80.0 mm
Pichhore – 80.0 mm
Lidhora – 72.0 mm
Jirapur – 65.0 mm
Sheopur – 65.0 mm
Bhanpura – 63.0 mm
Vijayraghavgarh – 58.4 mm
Nowgong – 56.0 mm
Tikamgarh – 55.0 mm
Baldeogarh – 53.0 mm
Porsa – 50.0 mm
26th August...
Sambhajinagar: Sunny intervals with light rains at times.
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Monsoon Axis and Current Scenario:
Rainfall from BB 6 as explained yesterday 👇
M.P.
Karera 135.0, Narmadapuram 92.8, Orchha 83.0, Kolar 81.0, Arera Hills 74.2, Rahatli 73.0, Porsa 65.0, Narwar 63.0, Lateri 59.0, Alipur 55.0, Amanganj 55.0, Berli 54.8, Pohri 53.0, Tikamgarh 53.0, Budhni 52.0, Panna 51.1, Mohangarh 50.0, Sidhi 48.0, Budhar 47.0, Karanjiya 45.3, Chanderi 45.0, Berad 45.0, Datia 43.0, Bhopal 42.0, Kesli 41.3, Shivpuri 40.0, Gohparu 39.0, Sohagpur–Shahdol 39.0.
Rainfall commences from System..sent by Mitan from Bhubaneshwar
23rd August :
A Low Pressure has formed in the Bay, BB 6.
This system is too close to the shore, and may not bring the typical rains inland. Rainfall will be restricted to Odisha, East M. P, East Vidharbh.
Konkan winds attraction to Low will hence be weak.
---------—------------------------------------------------------
Few occasional passing showers. Day night Temperatures range between 32° - 26°. Rainfall total of 5 days may stretch to 40 mms.
Pune: Partly Cloudy with sunny periods. Light passing showers in different parts. Temperatures between 28° - 22°
Sambhajinagar: Partly Cloudy with few passing showers and light rains.
Goa: Moderate showers during the week. Thursday may see some increased rain frequency. Accumulated week's rain could be around 80 mms.
Santacruz August Rainfall total as on 20th: 290 mms. (August Normal is 561 mms.)
Colaba August Rainfall total as on 20th : 137 mms...
(August Normal is 472 mms.)
So, August quota not surpassed.. With 10 days left in August... But Mumbai can expect another maximum another 100 mms In August.
And overall season is also in excess Santacruz +24% and Colaba +10% till 20th August.
Mumbai Lakes :
18th August
Maharashtra: No meaningful rains expected in State till 23rd at least.
Current Situation
Mumbai /Pune.. No major change next 4 days and occasional showers with sunny periods.
Colaba rainfall is +11%, Santacruz is +25%, Pune at +48% and Sambhajinagar at - 3%.
Maharashtra Water position
----------------------------—------------------------------National Weather :Depression BB 5 position ___________________---------
BB 5..Depression expected to track NW into South U.P. and adjoining North M.P. bringing heavy rains.
17th August Post
This WML will keep rainfall active in East U. P. and Adjoining M. P. and moderately active in Konkan.
But Kerala can expect only meagre rainfall this week.
Outlook for 17th to 21st: No major Changes.
Sambhajinagar: Partly Cloudy with a few showers scattered in the region. Possibly the day may get warmer to 31/32°.
Goa: Moderate 10 - 20 mms rain on daily basis.
Gujarat expected to get very moderate to low rainfall this week. Bharuch to remain mostly with light rains.
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Does this 200 level jet stream forecast of 23rd August indicate withdrawal of Monsoon in early September?
Pune: 12th -16th: Partly cloudy and cool days at 26/27c..with passing light showers.
Sambhajinagar: Partly cloudy skies with very little rains..< 5mms /day.
Current Low persists, and another Low formed in the North Bay.👆 👇
The current inland Low Persisted and brought good rains to M.P. and Rajasthan.
M.P. rains from Low Pressure
Byavra 229.0, Khalchipur 205.0, Jirapur 191.0, Rajgarh 112.0, Gulana 102.0, Narsinghgarh 95.0, Pachor 93.0, Kunbharaj 91.0, Sarangpur 88.2.
Rajasthan : Bikni 27 cms, Dipak 26cms, Deeg 15 cms, Ramnagar 14 cms, Jhalarapatan, Bundi 14 cms, Sangli 11 cms, Manahari, Anant 10 cms.
10th August :A land formed Low Pressure suddenly brought rains to M. P.
Rainfall Observed in Madhya Pradesh During the last 24 hours up to 08:30 IST on 10/08/2026
Major Rainfall Amounts (in mm)
Shyampur 210.0, Sarangpur 190.8, Mohgaon 187.2, Bhopal 175.6, Sehore 170.0, Sihora 165.3, Kolar 158.4, Kalapipal 153.0, Ater Hills 151.0, Aron 146.0, Sultanpur 143.4, Pachore 140.0, Badi 134.0, Harda 133.6, Begumganj 132.4, Sohagpur–Narmadapuram 125.0, Itarsi 124.2, Narmadapuram 123.2, Raisen 122.2, Rehti 118.6, Niwas 117.4, Gairatganj 117.4, Rajgarh 112.5, Raghogarh 112.0, Lateri 106.4, Lakhnadon 104.2, Budhni 104.0, Dolariya 103.0, Punasa 98.8, Amanganj 96.0, Chaurai 96.0, Bina 91.2, Shujalpur 90.0, Pachmarhi 87.0, Udaipura 87.0, Moman Barodia 87.0, Hatta 85.1, Gairatganj 85.0, Narsinghpur 83.0, Babai/Makhan Nagar 82.0, Narsullaganj 82.0, Timarni 80.0, Mungawali 78.0, Ichhawar 77.0, Guna 76.2, Pathariya 76.0, Kumhraj 76.0, Seoni Malwa 76.0, Jirapur 76.0, Maksudangarh 75.0, Pipariya 73.2, Vidisha 70.0, Betulgarh 69.0, Kolaras 68.0, Dindori 67.2, Petlawad 66.0, Gulana 65.0, Sabalgarh 64.0, Harda 62.2, Khaniyadhana 60.0, Nateran 59.0, Banakhedi 58.4, Dhamnod 58.0, Ujjain Dev 57.4, Shajapur 57.0, Pichhore 55.0, Badarwas 55.0, Umreth 54.8, Nalchha 54.0, Gotegaon 54.0, Ajaygarh 54.0, Jaisinghnagar 52.3, Malhargarh 52.2, Chicholi 51.0, Chachoda 51.0,
Highest reported rainfall: Shyampur – 210.0 mm, followed by Sarangpur – 190.8 mm and Mohgaon – 187.2 mm.
Today till 5.30 pm, Rajgarh received 96 mms and Ratlam 49mms, Ujjain 34 mms.
Rajasthan Rainfall till 10th Morning :
CHIEF RAINFALL AMOUNTS (cm)
EAST RAJASTHAN:
Neem Ka Thana (Sikar district) 9 cm, Manohar Thana (Jhalawar) 8 cm, Shahabad (Baran) 5 cm, Aklera (Jhalawar) 4 cm, Bakani (Jhalawar) 4 cm, Pirawa (Jhalawar) 3 cm, Mount Abu Tehsil (Sirohi) 2 cm, Karauli (Karauli) 2 cm, Dag (Jhalawar) 2 cm, Chaksu (Jaipur) 2 cm, Asnawar (Jhalawar) 2 cm, Jaipur Tehsil (Jaipur) 2 cm; and less than 2 cm at a few places.
WEST RAJASTHAN:
Barmer Tehsil (Barmer) 3 cm, Dungargarh (Bikaner) 3 cm, Barmer (Barmer) 3 cm, Bhadra (Hanumangarh) 3 cm, Bhopalgarh (Jodhpur) 3 cm, Chohtan (Barmer) 3 cm, Siwana (Barmer) 3 cm,
Pune (Shivajinagar) recorded only 84.5mm rain this August which is significantly below normal and it is the 3rd driest Aug. in Pune in last ...
