This is how the country's rainfall in the past 24 hours looked like. Almost no rainfall in about 80 to 85 % of the total landmass

Reasons for Break Monsoon Scenario as on 13th JULY          

 👇

925 LEVEL

700 level

HUMIDITY MAP>>DRY AIR INTRUSION👇

 12th Night Posting

The current scenario shows a" Break Monsoon" conditions.

"Break Monsoon " means enhanced rainfall along the Axis which has moved much North of the normal position...and much reduced rainfall South of the Axis... (see images).

East U. P. got excessive rains. 

The overall scene

Monsoon Axis and break conditions expected to remain till 18th July.

Mumbai: As on 12th, rainfall at Colaba Station +61% and at Scruz Station +77%.

Lakes at 49% storage.. or till 15th December 2026.

Outlook for week 13th - 17th

Mumbai will get few passing showers, few short duration and heavy. No persistent Rainfall. No meaningful rains till 17th. Day will hot and night stuffy.

Pune/Sambhajinagar : No meaningful rains this week, in fact almost dry. Hotter days.

Crops can survive this week as soil is wet and storage just enough. (Marathwada crops today 👇) 

 11th JULY

 9th July

Mumbai: After pouring the full July quota in the first 9 days of the month, ( 1146 mms in 9 days. July monthly normal 919 mms)the rains have now eased off (as assured). 

Outlook for Weekend: Mumbai goes in for occasional passing showers with intermittent sunshine.

Pune: Also battered by 409 mms in July... Normal for July month is 190 mms, will now see a decrease to normal July drizzles. 

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Monsoon covers entire India.. Compiled by Vag Gokul

Large parts of country witnessed vigorous monsoon conditions in the past one week; Latest forecasts indicatue gradual setting in of a dry spell in the next 24-48 hrs., especially in the western and central parts of the country:

Meerut and Surat received heavy rains lately

After nearly a month long dry spell in June (when all India cumulative rainfall departure was about -40%), recently most parts of India witnessed active to vigorous monsoon conditions during the first week of July. 
This rainy spell brought in much needed rainfall over many parts of central, west and eastern Indian states(especially in the core monsoon zone). 

The intense rainfall spell resulted in a huge recovery of the country's overall monsoon rainfall has brought up the percentage departure from -40% to -14% as on date. 

Many places in north Konkan(Western Maharashtra) saw some of the most unprecedented rainfall events with Lonavala(a tourist town on the Western Ghats) receiving almost 1290 mm in 48 hours. 

 On the whole, this episode has improved dam water levels across western Maharashtra and to some extent has also probably recharged ground water levels. With the current rainy spell nearing its end, latest NWP model forecasts indicate a gradual setting in of a dry spell in the next 2-3 days. The actual duration and intensity of the upcoming dry spell needs continuous monitoring over the next few forecasts

 Pune area dam storage - excellent gains again in the past 24 hours:

Khadakwasla cluster: 48%

Pawana: 59%

Mulshi: 65%

Bhama Askhed: 65%

Ujjani: 7%

8th Morning 

Colaba IMD 62 mms...(+78% as on date)

Scruz IMD 125 mms...(+94% as on date)

Vagaries Club  52 mms

TOP 15 BMC RAINFALL AMOUNTS in millimeters

24 HOURS (FROM 10.30AM ON 07/07/26 TO 10.30AM ON 08/07/26)

MPS Maharashtra Nagar School, Mankhurd:184

Bandra Fire Station: 175

SWM Santacruz Workshop: 172

Shahaji Nagar Mun. School, Trombay159

G South Ward Office Parel: 157

Cooper Hospital: 154

Borivali Fire Station: 153

Chakala Mun. School, Andheri: 153

Ramabai Mun. School, Ghatkopar: 151

Andheri Fire Station: 148

Gazdarbandh Storm Water Pumping Stn: 146

Mankhurd Fire Staton: 140

Sewri Koliwada Mun. School, Sewri: 138

Maravli Mun. School, Chembur138

Building proposal office Vikroli West: 134

Ghats Rainfall:

Rainfall(mm) Pune from 0830 hrs IST of 7th July 2026 to 0830 hrs IST of 8th July 2026

MALIN   156.5

BHOR   100.0

CHINCHWAD    99.0

PASHAN 94.4

SHIVAJINAGAR   84.8

RAJGURUNAGAR      83.5

SHIRUR    72.5

DUDULGAON    60.0

DAPODI      55.0

HAVELI      35.5

BARAMATI    17.6

DAUND    17.5

  8th Night Post

• 
  

Mumbai 

Total Rainfall (1–7 July)

• Colaba: 880.4 mm..( Normal for full July =768 mms)
• Santacruz: 988.4 mm..(Normal for full July =919 mms 
• *The outlook: The incessant daily downpour of the last 3 days ( around 200 mms/day) will now reduce to Round 40 mms/day.
• This forecast is for 8th/9th/10th. Later on Mumbai will further reduced rainfall.
• 
  
• Pune:
• July 6th :108 mms, 7th: 97 mms
• Total till July 7th 309 mms.. ( July normal full month 190 mms) 
• JUNE + JULY (till 7th) = 373 mms.. i.e normal till date! 
• Outlook for 8th - 10th: Much reduced rainfall.. From 100 mms/day to 15 mms/day. 
• 
  
• 
  
  
  
  
  

Mumbai Completes Its Average July Rainfall in Just 7 Days

Heavy rains make up for June's rainfall deficit

Mumbai: After an unusually dry June that had raised concerns among Mumbaikars, the city has witnessed exceptionally heavy rainfall during the first seven days of July. According to Rajesh Kapadia of Vagaries of the Weather, the rainfall received during these seven days has already exceeded the city's average rainfall for the entire month of July.

Both Santacruz and Colaba have crossed their respective monthly July rainfall averages within just one week.

Santacruz normally records an average of 919 mm of rainfall during the entire month of July. However, this year, it has already received 988.4 mm in the first seven days alone—69.4 mm above the monthly average.

Similarly, Colaba, whose average July rainfall is 768 mm, has recorded 880.4 mm during the same period—112.4 mm above its monthly average.

The heaviest rainfall occurred on 5 July, when both observatories recorded more than 200 mm of rain. These torrential spells have effectively erased the rainfall deficit created during the dry month of June, bringing much-needed relief to Mumbai.

Courtesy Dainik Lokmat👆

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Rainfall Recorded (1–7 July)

Date	Colaba (mm)	Santacruz (mm)
1 July	69.6	96.3
2 July	158.2	204.6
3 July	111.8	101.0
4 July	90.2	109.6
5 July	265.6	227.7
6 July	128.0	159.2
7 July	57.0	90.0

Total Rainfall (1–7 July)

• Colaba: 880.4 mm..( Normal for full July =768 mms)
• Santacruz: 988.4 mm..(Normal for full July =919 mm)

Rain for Season till 7th july

Colaba =1321 mms ( +77%)

Scruz = 1405 (+86%)

(Mumbai Lakes Post below this article)

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Pune: 

6th : 108 mms

7th:    97 mms

Total of July till 7th: 309 mms

(July normal; 190 mms)

June: 64 mms

June+ July (till 7th)= 373 mms..

Normal values of June and July (till 7th) = 374 mms

 

Sambhajinagar District (Marathwada ) is receiving good Rains ( luckily) and crops are doing well

*Pune Rainfall continues... 08:30 IST to 17:30 IST Rainfall(mm) 06-07-2026*

CHINCHWAD 132.0

GIRIVAN 119.5

NIMGIRI 72.0

BHOR 69.5

PASHAN 69.0

DUDULGAON 63.0

DAPODI 62.5

SHIRUR 58.0

SHIVAJINAGAR 53.2

RAJGURUNAGAR 50.5

MALIN 42.0

NDA 31.5

NARAYANGOAN 18.0

HADAPSAR 9.5

HAVELI 7.0

TALEGAON 5.5

BARAMATI 5.0

6th July 2026: Mahabaleshwar's daily today:513 mms.. Record for one day in July 594 mm in 2021

Lonavala highest daily Record: 670 mms

 6th July ;Mumbai:

'Red alert' ;- Heavy rains expected to continue on Monday 6th and Tuesday 7th. With gusty winds. Expect cumulative 300 mms . 

last 24 hrs: Colaba 128 mms, Scruz 159 mm.

As expected Colaba & Scruz received 350-400 mms last 3 days.

Lakes also doing well 101 mms in Modak Sagar, 143 mms in Tansa, 165 mms in Bhatsa, 213 mms in Vehar and 287 mms in Tulsi.

Overall storage improves to 17%. Good rains expected next 24 hrs

On 5th Mumbai got cyclonic speed winds at >70 kmph, uprooting many trees.

Pune; El Nino year delivering 108 mms in Pune on 5th July. Lohegaon A.P. 147 mms ! That is amazing 😀

Even this La Nina  not able to do !

*Pune 03 UTC Rainfall(mm) 06-07-2026*

BHOR 172.0

PASHAN 113.0

DUDULGAON 110.0

SHIVAJINAGAR 108.4

NIMGIRI 99.0

NDA 98.5

RAJGURUNAGAR 95.0

DAPODI 93.0

MALIN 83.0

SHIRUR 74.5

HAVELI 54.0

DAUND 45.0

BARAMATI 15.6

5th July Evening                       MSN Trough

 TOP 15 BMC RAINFALL AMOUNTS in millimeters

*24 HOURS (FROM 11.30AM ON 04/07/26 TO 11.30AM ON 05/07/26)*

Malbar hill: 294 

Building proposal office Vikroli West: 291

Colaba Pumping Station: 290 

Colaba Fire Station: 272

Mandavi Fire Station: 289

Barve Nagar Mun. School, Ghatkopar: 277

Vikhroli Fire Station: 275

Mithagar Mun. School, Mulund: 248

Paspoli Powai Mun. School: 246

T ward off Mulund: 243

Byculla Fire Station: 239

Nair Hospital: 238

Ramabai Mun. School, Ghatkopar: 235 mm

Andheri Fire Station: 234

Frosberry Reserviour: 222

Mankhurd Fire Staton: 207

Massive Rains..5th morning readings..compiled by Vag. Abhijit & Abhishek

4th July...'Alert"day

 Mumbai rain fury Alert on 4th..TOP 10 BMC RAINFALL AMOUNTS in millimeters

12 HOURS (FROM 5.30AM ON 04/07/26 TO 5.30PM ON 04/07/26)

Building proposal office Vikroli West: 246

Tagore Nagar Mun. School, Vikhroli: 233

Bhandup Complex: 224

Vikhroli Fire Station: 223

Mulund Fire Station: 222

Mithagar Mun. School Mulund: 218

Powai  217

T ward Office: 210

Vihar Lake  209

Tembipada Mun. School, Bhandup: 207

Chincholi Fire Station: 205

Gawanpada Fire Station: 203

Mumbai A.P.  178

Ghatkopar  165

Malabar Hill  113

Worli 105

Dadar East  90

Vagaries Club  83

Torrential Rains in Saurashtra....Mangrol topping at 565 mms ! Konkan also get battered...

 3rd Night Post:

Weekend Weather : Red Alert 🌧☔

Mumbai:  Heavy to very heavy rains in regular frequency with gusty winds.

Accumulated 2 day rainfall could vary from area to area.. around 250-300 mms. Chances of flootding in prone areas. The Red Alert issued earlier is self explanatory.

Mumbai Lakes will get good weekend rains around 250 - 350 mms over the weekend. Storage can improve by 5/7%.

Pune: Days cool at 25°. Frequent to constant moderate showers... With around 85-100 mms 2 day accumulated rainfall. Dams Storage can improve. 

Sambhajinagar: Moderate to heavy showers.. Around 60-80 mms.

Bharuch : Moderate occasional showers over the weekend. Could accumulate 80 - 90 mms in the weekend.

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Monsoon has been "over active" In Saurashtra.. 

Last 24 hrs rain 

With over 450 mms in last 48 hrs. Due to a running thru trough. 

Raigad District Talukawise Rainfall (mm) – 03 July 2026

(Highest to Lowest)

Rainfall (mm)

Pen 150

Shrivardhan 145

Tala 137

Uran 125

Mhasala 125

Sudhagad 119

Matheran 117.2

Panvel 116.2

Murud 113

Poladpur 105

Alibag 98

Roha 98

Mahad 89

Mangaon 88

Karjat 72

Khalapur 72

Ratnagiri district rainfall in mm:

Mandangad-160

Khed-88

Dapoli -59

Wakvali-,92

Chiplun-41

Guhagar -32

Sangmeshwar-65

Lanja-57

Rajapur-70

Sindhudurg district rainfall in mm:

Dodamarg-111

Kankavli-38

Malvan-1

Kudal-16

Mulde Agri-18.2

Sawantwadi-50

Devgad-6

Rameshwar Agri-18.2

Vaibhavwadi-51

Vengurla-35

Compiled by Vag.A.Apte

These totals are consistent with the widespread heavy rainfall over Raigad district during the active monsoon spell affecting Konkan on 3 July 2026. 

South June Toppers compiled by Pradeep John:

Karnataka toppers 2026

1. Manki (Uttara Kannada) 966 mm

2. Gokarna (Uttara Kannada) 881 mm

3. Santeguli (Uttara Kannada) 832 mm

4. Kumta (Uttara Kannada) 819 mm

5. Talakaveri (Kodagu) 808 mm

6. Karwar (Uttara Kannada) 803 mm

7. Honnavar (Uttara Kannada) 797 mm

8. Hulikal (Shivamogga) 787 mm

9. Amasebail (Udupi) 772 mm

10. Mulikar (Udupi) 736 mm

Goa Station June Rainfall

1 Canacona 1061.2 mm

2 Margao 773.2 mm

3 Dharbandora 660.9 mm

4 Quepem 603.6 mm

5 Pernem 579.6 mm

6 Mormugao 587.8 mm

7 Sanguem 517.6 mm

8 Mapusa 523.4 mm

9 Valpoi 480.7 mm

10 Dabolim 559.8 mm

 Tamil Nadu SWM Rainfall Toppers June 2026

1. Upper Kodayar (Kanyakumari) 1232 mm

2. Nalumukku (Tirunelveli) 1121 mm

3. Oothu (Tirunelveli) 1040 mm

4. Chinnakallar (Coimbatore) 920 mm

5. Kakkachi (Tirunelveli) 693 mm

6. Chincona (Coimbatore) 620 mm

7. Manjolai (Tirunelveli) 543 mm

8. Valparai PTO (Coimbatore) 527 mm 

9. Valparai VAO Office (Coimbatore) 445.2 mm

10. Mylar (Kanniyakumari) 426.0 mm

MONSOON REPORT 2026

 

JUNE 2026 was the 5th worst month of monsoon rainfall since 1901. 2009 was the worst year of rainfall within this period (1901-2026) with a record low of 85.7 mm. Percentage wise 1926 was the worst June (9.88%) of that year's total monsoon (97.2mm / 983.7mm).

Since 1901 the June rainfall has ranged from about 10% on the lower end to about 28% on the higher end as as percentage of the four month monsoon period. 1918 was the highest percentage June (28%) of that year's total monsoon (206.3mm / 736.5mm). 

(figures given here might differ slightly based on the various IMD/IITM departmental data sites).

Compiled by Vag GSB

 

Significant below normal rain in Pune in June 2026

Pune Shivajinagar recorded 64mm in June 2026. This is the 2nd driest June for Pune after 2016.

June rain in Pune (Shivajinagar) since 2014

2014: 13.8mm

2015: 211.2mm

2016: 59.0mm

2017: 207.8mm

2018: 148.0mm

2019: 197.9mm

2020: 207.7mm

2021: 152.5mm

2022: 35.0mm

2023: 83.9mm

2024: 252.0mm

2025: 207.7mm

2026: 64.0mm

In June 2026 only 3 days Pune Shivajinagar recorded double digit rain (see attached graph).

Maharashtra June Rainfall and deficit %

Compiled by Vag Abhijit👆

Goa details of June from Vagaries Goa by Vag. Atul Naik