Latest Cloud development @ 11/30 am Tuesday around Mumbai from Dundee Sat.Image
All India SWM Toppers from 1st June -24th June compiled by Pradeep put up on Inter Active Page...Must See, and be Surprised !!
Latest Mumbai Forecast Just put up On Mumbai Page..
Mumbai Page & Vagaries Readngs daily updated in the morning with rainfall..Panvel and Thane Updated.
The Monsoon trough along N.India seems "shrunk" in today's (Sunday) MSLP charts. However, the Eastern end seems active with an embedded UAC in Eastern UP region, and a trough runs from this UAC Southwards into W Bengal region.
Charts indicate the Monsoon trough re-establishing position again from Wednesday.
A WD passes thru North Pakistan and Kashmir, precipitating light rains on Monday.
No Further advance of SWM expected this week till Thursday at least.
A weakening of the Monsoon Trough across Northern India could result in the off shore trough along the West Coast strengthening to some extent from Monday thru Wednesday.
But, this could result in increased rainfall along the west coast only. Interior Mah, Karnataka, AP and TN will be practically devoid of rainfall this week. No meaningfull rains.
Forecast Monday thru Thursday:
SWM rains increasing from Monday evening thru Wednesday along the West Coast. Central regions of heaviest rains (over 100 mms/day) will be South Konkan/Goa regions, followed by Coastal Karnataka with around 70-100mm/day, and North Konkan stations will vary from 30-60 mms/day.
Rainfall will be restricted along the West coast to the Monsoon upper limit, that is below 20N.
Rest of interior Peninsula will not get any meaningfull increase in rains, almost dry. (5-10mms in pockets).
Decrease in rains in W Bengal from Monday thru Thursday.
Coastal Gujarat can get some light rain, not much to cheer about in Saurashtra and Gujarat region.
Off shore trough can get weak again fom Wednesday 27th.
MJO shows no signs of leaving weak phase in our seas till 1st July at least.
Mumbai Forecast for Monday 25th/Tuesday 26th/Wednesday 27th: Same as that put up on Mumbai Page Yesterday.
Pune: Monday 25th/Tuesday 26th/Wednesday 27th/Thursday 28th: Partly cloudy skies. Thundery developments on Tuesday. 50% chances of light rain 95-10 mms)on Tuesday. Other days light drizzles (less than 5 mms) in some parts of Pune. Days will be 32c and 23c at night.
Surat: Monday/Tuesday/Wednesday/Thursday: A nominal increase in rainfall in Surat on Tuesday, when around 5-10 mms is possible. Rest of the days will be cloudy with light rains in some parts. Thursday may see a rise in day temperature to 33c with 28c at night.
Delhi: where's the rain? No rain no Monsoon progress towards Delhi till Thursday at least. Hot and "loo" blowing in the night. Days could go to 45c on Wed/Thursday with a hot night at 32/33c.
Pakistan will also have to wait for the Monsoon. Vagaries had put up around 5th July in its forecast map (see on Current Weather Page). The Limit of the
Monsoon is maintained as and when it moves (on Current Weather Page).
Due to the current WD passing over the Northern regions, some dust storms and rain were seen in Northern regions.
Islamabad, which had no rain, but some clouding, gets some relief, from a sizzling 45c down to 42c !
The country high is also at 47c in Turbat. But for the WD, 49/50c was expected !
Sukkur however was very hot at 44c on Sunday, and no respite seen next few days, maybe 45c again. Chances of a dust storm on Monday.