The All India SWM Performance in June 2012:
1. The progress of the SWM itself is behind schedule, and as of end June, covers only about half of India. Normally, it should cover almost complete NW India by end June. The comparison with the normally required progress is shown on the map below.
Reasons have been discussed many a times throughout the month in vagaries blogs. Break Monsoon situation, even before the monsoon sets in, resulting in No Systems form either bay or Arabian Sea.
The actual performance has been disapointing over all. Very crucial for agriculture and economy, as almost 55% of the arable land does not have irrigation facilities and depends on direct rainfall.
The Water storage for the country as a whole is 16% of the live capacity storage.
And for maharashtra it is 13% of the capacity.
June end region wise map shows the deficit and scanty regions, mostly due to non arrival of Monsoon there. Comparison with Vagaries' June forecast put up in early June also shown.
The June end deficit this year is -23%.
Previous years June end performance was: 2011: +11% 2010: -16% 2009: -54% 2008: +11%
Cities figures for June will be discussed and compared with Forecast tomorrow, after taking rainfall details on 30th Morning.
Now what for July ? MJO showing positive signs...?? drafting blog now and will publish by tonite 10.30pm (IST)