tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post8860355528180654655..comments2024-03-28T22:32:17.248+05:30Comments on Vagaries of the Weather ©: Monsoon 2012Rajeshhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08511057956916968156noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-27323644794154475732012-06-29T23:26:20.966+05:302012-06-29T23:26:20.966+05:30Is it possible that Pune will face a drought situa...Is it possible that Pune will face a drought situationthis year?Rohithttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06240710092244653833noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-3015014282613233212012-06-29T23:07:44.686+05:302012-06-29T23:07:44.686+05:30Viravanalluran: All points are correct and i agree...Viravanalluran: All points are correct and i agree.<br />As far as i know, the Mascarene High is always in 3 parts. It has 3 main high pressure zones from Africa to Australia.<br />Point No 2 anomaly happens and is due to weak MJo. Pressure at various stages are -ve in anomaly (see latest blog please).<br />Third point also correct may be due to stronger eastern end of the monsoon axis stuck in the North.<br />Systems are sort of ''discouraged" due to low activity .Result of no monsoon prpogation (weak MJO ?)<br />Thanks for your comments and views. Always appreciate your feedback.<br />Pavan<br />Rohit: somewhat answered you in latest write up.<br />Rohit, i can give July estimate tomorrow.-:))Rajeshhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08511057956916968156noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-4155507498639338282012-06-29T22:10:06.436+05:302012-06-29T22:10:06.436+05:30Back in Pune after longtime, but its getting scary...Back in Pune after longtime, but its getting scary with no rains. What does the month July-Aug-Sept hold for Pune in specific terms.Rohithttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06240710092244653833noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-90156783091199151562012-06-29T21:24:53.166+05:302012-06-29T21:24:53.166+05:30I was out of pune for last 10 days expecting that ...I was out of pune for last 10 days expecting that atleast the city wil receive 50mm rains but its only 7mm when we can expect rains herePavannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-44188561983572838682012-06-29T18:25:37.251+05:302012-06-29T18:25:37.251+05:30Dear Rajesh,
[1] Apart from reasons you mentioned,...Dear Rajesh,<br />[1] Apart from reasons you mentioned, my opinion is that SWM Power source i.e Mascarene High is NOT continuous but broken into three entity with lesser strength. Thus it reduced the cross equatorial flow and the OFF SHORE trough in Arabian Sea is missing or less pronounced.<br />[2]The upper level Maximum [EASTERLY} winds at Chennai latitude is NOT perfect easterly.<br />[3] However the frequent formation of trough in East coast and UAC are indicating active Bay branch of SWM <br />[4] Even though the traditional Ganga Nagar Head Bay trough is visible no system formed in the bay to track along the line and thus to bring rainfall in land places.Viravanalluranhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17350279696927762589noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31136724.post-53465491935754357152012-06-29T14:54:38.059+05:302012-06-29T14:54:38.059+05:30Seems the current MJO phase might last for 20 days...Seems the current MJO phase might last for 20 days and might be weakAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com